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Showing posts from August, 2011

First Fall-Like Cold Front Sunday.

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Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.
Much Cooler By Sunday.
A fairly strong fall-like cold front (the meteorological fall starts this Thursday) is forecast to move into SE NM and W TX on Sunday. This will be the first major push of cooler air into the area of the season. If we are lucky enough we may only see our high temps in the 80's Sunday and Labor Day. Overnight low temps will drop down into the low 60's Monday morning, and a few spots may even dip down into the 50's.  


NWS HPC Surface Forecast. Valid 6 AM MDT Sun Sept 4, 2011.
High Temps Forecast For Sunday.

Low Temps Forecast Mon Morning.
Maps Are Courtesy Of The NWS HPC. 
New Daily Record High Temps Set Yesterday.
Map Is Courtesy Of The NCDC.
Yesterday Was Just Downright Hot!
Yesterday was really hot across SE NM. The highest reading I could find was 110 at the Paduca Raws, which is located near the WIPP Site. Not far behind was my 108 here at the house in Carlsbad, 107 at both the Carlsbad Climate Coop Station, and the Carlsba…

Relief From The Heat Coming.

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Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them. HPC Surface Map Forecast. Valid At 6 AM MDT Sun Sept 4, 2011.
It is one very hot day across SE NM today. As of 2 PM MDT. My thermometer here at my home in Carlsbad was reading 108. The Carlsbad Airport ASOS was registering 106, while the Paduca Raws, located near the WIPP Site was reporting 108. Other temps at 2 PM include, 104 at the Hobbs Airport, and 102 at both the Roswell and Artesia Airports.

Several stations have already broken their daily high temperature records for today, and a few are approaching their all-time monthly records. Its possible that we will see these readings go up another couple of degrees by 5 PM.

Cooler Temps Are Headed Our Way-
FSU 2M Temp Raws Anomalies Aug 30th - Sept 7, 2011.

Relief appears to be on the horizon. The models continue to forecast a fairly decent cold front (the seasons first-remember the meteorological fall begins Thursday)dropping southward down the eastern plains of the state, and into SE NM by around Sunda…

Hot - Isolated Afternoon T-Storms.

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Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them. Map Is Courtesy Of The Midland NWS Office.
Map Is Courtesy Of The Lubbock NWS Office.
Another hot day is on tap for SE NM. We can expect high temps to range from 100 - 104 today into Wednesday. A few spots may see their daily record high temps tied or broken today into Wednesday. Forecast models are still calling for the possibility of a cold front slipping southward into the area this weekend. Should this scenario pan out then we would cool down about 10 -15-degrees and see an increase in t-storms.
Tropical Depression #12.
IR Rainbow Satellite Image Of TD #12 At 6 AM MDT.
HWRF 900 MB 126 Hour Wind Swatch Forecast. GFDL 900 MB 126 Hour Wind Swatch Forecast.
NHC Forecast Of TD #12 (Soon To Be TS Katia).
Tropical Depression #12 has formed about 395 miles south-southwest of the southern most Cape Verde Islands. It is moving off to the west at 15 mph. TD #12 is forecast to strengthen to a Tropical Storm within the next 48 hours, possibly within the next 12 ho…

Record Heat Today - Tuesday.

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Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them. Map Is Courtesy Of The Midland NWS Office.
Map Is Courtesy Of The Lubbock NWS Office.
More heat, and continued very dry. This has been the story of our summer. Speaking of records, a few record high temps will be in danger of being tied, or broken across SE NM today into at least Tuesday. This summer has been one of the hottest on record. Take a look at the average daily high temperatures below.

Roswell Airport ASOS-

June 102.0
July 99.5
August 100.6

Artesia Climate-

June 101.5
July 100.3
August 100.8

Carlsbad Airport ASOS

June 103.9
July 100.8
August 101.5

Hobbs Climate-

June 101.0
July 100.8
August 100.9

Tatum Climate-

June 99.5
July 97.3
August 98.5

A couple of days ago I was talking about a cold front slipping southward down the eastern plains, and into the local area tonight or tomorrow. That's not going to happen. The front just will not have enough of a push to get this far south.

The models are forecasting a similar situation next weekend. The jet stream is…

Radar Snapshots Of Hurricane Irene.

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Here Are A Series Of GRLevel2-AE (Analyst) Radar
Snapshots Of Hurricane Irene. The Red X Marks The
Approximate Location Of Her Eye.

Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.
#1 Hurricane Irene at 6:29 PM MDT. Irene was located about
130 miles SE of the Wilmington, NC Radar. She has sustained
winds of 100 mph with gusts near 120 mph. Her central pressure
was down to 950 millibars or 28.05" of mercury. Irene is moving
off to the north at 14 mph.

#2 Hurricane Irene at 10:10 PM MDT.

#3 Hurricane Irene moving inland near Cape Lookout, NC
at 5:30 AM MDT, Sat Aug 27, 2011.

#4 Hurricane Irene moving inland near Cape Lookout, NC
at 7:00 AM MDT, Sat Aug 27, 2011.

Visible Satellite Image Of Hurricane Irene. 6:45 AM MDT.

IR Rainbow Satellite Image Of H. Irene At 6:45 AM MDT.

#5 Hurricane Irene moving back over the water at 4:47 PM
MDT. Her eye was located about 22 miles SSE of Virginia
Beach, VA at this time. At 5PM MDT Irene had sustained
winds of 80 mph with gusts to near 100 mph. Her central
pressure was 95…

Hurricane Irene!

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Click On The Images To Enlarge Them. Visible Satellite Image Of Hurricane Irene At 8 :45 AM MDT.
IR Funktop Satellite Image Of Hurricane Irene At 8:45 AM MDT.
IR Rainbow Satellite Image Of Hurricane Irene At 8:45 AM MDT.
NHC Forecast Track Of Hurricane Irene.
Hurricane Irene - Is Huge!
At 9:00 AM MDT, Hurricane Irenewas located some 330 miles SSW of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. She is moving off to the north at 14 mph. Irene has sustained winds of 105 mph with gusts to near 125 mph. Her central pressure is down to 946 millibars, or 27.93" of mercury.
Ireneis huge, nearly 500 miles wide, and has to the potential to grow even bigger in aerial coverage.Irene is fixing to move over some very warm waters, as she nears the Outer Banks of North Carolina tomorrow morning. Currently she is forecast to move inland just after daybreak tomorrow, and then continue her track northward Saturday into Sunday into Southern New England.
Irene is forecast to strengthen between now and tomorrow morning …

A Few T-Storms This Evening - Latest On Irene.

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Click On The Images To Enlarge Them. Map Is Courtesy Of The Midland NWS Office.
Map Is Courtesy Of The Lubbock NWS Office.
A weak cold front was draped across eastern New Mexico and West Texas this afternoon. A few widely scattered t-storms are firing up in the vicinity of this frontal boundary, and surface trough in SE NM, as a weak upper level disturbance moves into the area. Widely scattered t-storms should continue to increase across the local area this afternoon before dying out later this evening. These storms will have the ability to produce wind gusts near 50 mph, frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes, and perhaps a few heavy downpours.
Very little has changed in the overall thinking concerning our local weather for the rest of this week, as well as the weather across the area this weekend. Bottom line is that it will continue to remain hot and dry. A few scattered t-storms will dot the mountains but overall most us should not see rain after this evening. High temperatures t…

Heat & Irene.

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Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them. Map Is Courtesy Of The Midland NWS Office.
Map Is Courtesy Of The Albuquerque NWS Office.
Map Is Courtesy of The Lubbock NWS Office.
More Heat For SE NM.
Very little change concerning our local weather is forecast today into the weekend. Hot afternoon temperatures with readings near 100 are forecast for today into Friday. Temperatures are forecast to ramp up a few degrees by the weekend, with readings ranging from 100 - 105.
A few isolated t-storms are expected across the area this afternoon into early this evening. Most places will not see rainfall and the best chances will be over the mountains.

Map Is Courtesy Of The Lubbock NWS Office.
A cold front is forecast by the models to approach the area late Sunday or on Monday. If this front is able to push far enough to the south, and into the local area, we would see cooler temperatures with an increased chance for t-storms. 
Major Hurricane Irene.
Visible Satellite Image Of Hurricane Irene At 6:45 MDT.
IR Rainbo…

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