A Few Severe T-Storms - Much Cooler.
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Today's Forecast For NM.
Outlook For The End Of The Week.
Cold Front At Noon Today.
3-Day Forecast Precipitation Totals.
Valid 6 PM Wed - 6 AM Sat.
Big Changes In Our Weather Almost Here.
One more very warm day across SE NM and W TX before a strong fall-like cold front barrels southward into the area this afternoon and evening. Highs today should range from the upper 80's to the low 90's across SE NM ahead of the anticipated cold front.
When the front arrives later today or tonight, our winds will shift around to the north and northeast at sustained speeds of around 25-35 mph, with gusts in the 40 - 50 mph range.
Much cooler air will overspread the area tonight into Thursday. High temps tomorrow should be in the 60's and 70's.
Thursday's weather here in the Pecos Valley, and surrounding areas may be overcast, windy in the morning, with scattered rain showers and t-storms. Damp, dreary, rainy skies may prevail with high temps only in the 60's for most of us.
Localized areas of blowing dust may accompany the frontal passage, along with the expected t-storms as well. Sudden drops in the visibility with little to no advanced warning will be possible. This will be especially true over and near freshly plowed or exposed farmland, open fields and lots, and construction sites.
Severe T-Storms Will Be Possible!
Scattered to numerous rain showers and t-storms are forecast to increase in aerial coverage this afternoon, and continue into Thursday as the front sags southward. Widespread rainfall totals of around one inch will be possible in the Pecos Valley, and surrounding areas, this afternoon into Thursday evening. A few spots may pick up even higher amounts, possibly up to, or exceeding two inches of rain.
Although a widespread severe weather outbreak is currently not anticipated across the local area, severe weather is still possible across E-SE NM, and parts of W TX.
A few supercell t-storms will be possible across the area this afternoon into this evening, and again on Thursday. The main severe weather threats from these t-storms at this time appears to be the potential for large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts, frequent deadly cloud to ground lighting, and heavy rainfall that may produce localized flash flooding.
Flash Flooding Will Be Possible!
Street flooding will also be possible, along with the threat of flash flooding along area arroyo's. The greatest threat for flash flooding will be over, near, and downstream of the burn scar areas from this spring and summers wildfires. Never try to walk or drive across a flooded street, intersection, ditch, or arroyo.
Remember: "Turn Around - Don't Drown"!
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!