Heavy Rainfall Possible This Weekend.
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Update 2:30 PM MDT Fri Oct 7, 2011-
New Mexico Visible Satellite Image
(At 2:02 PM MDT.)
Late This Afternoon Into This Evening.
5-Day Rainfall Outlook.
(Fri - Wed)
The Rest Of The Afternoon-
The best chances for severe t-storms will be along and east of a Tatum-Kermit-Marathon-Big Bend National Park line late this afternoon and evening.
A few scattered t-storms will still be possible across SE NM late this afternoon. Some of these could still become severe and produce large hail, damaging t-storm wind gusts in excess of 58 mph, frequent deadly cloud to ground lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.
The dryline has mixed eastward to just east of the state line. Dew point temperatures have fallen into the 20's & 30's across the Pecos Valley with southwesterly winds at around 20 mph.
This has pretty much killed our chances of rain here in the Pecos Valley for this afternoon. However, we should see an increase in low-level moisture tonight into the weekend, which will help to increase our chances for some badly needed rainfall.
Tonight Into Saturday Morning-
T-Storms are forecast to increase in coverage later tonight as the potent mid-upper level storm approaches from the west. Some of these t-storms could possibly become severe overnight as the atmosphere continues to destabilize, and better lift and dynamics come into play over the area. Again, the best chances for severe t-storms will be east of the Pecos Valley tonight.
A Pacific cold front will move into SE NM later tonight and then stall over the area tomorrow. Scattered to numerous showers and t-storms are forecast to break out tomorrow into Sunday. The further east you go the better the chances of seeing heavy rainfall. Flash Flooding may become an issued in some parts of SE NM and W TX this weekend. Very heavy rains could easily fall in some areas.
Please Visit These National Weather Service Links
For More Details Concerning Today's Severe Weather Potential.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!