Cool Today - Warmer Tomorrow Into The Weekend.


Cooler Today.

Today is starting out seasonably chilly across SE NM with most locations reporting low temps ranging from 25-32 degrees. As of 7 AM MST, low temps reported range from 18 in Crossroads in northern Lea County, to 22 at Willow Wells and Tatum, 25 at the Dunken Raws, 25 at the Hobbs Airport, 28 at the Roswell and Artesia Airports, to 30 at the Carlsbad Airport. My low temperature here at my home in Carlsbad has been 31.

Low temperatures across the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Captian Mountains have ranged from 13 at Fort Stanton, 22 at Weed, 22 at Silver Lake (NE of Cloudcroft), 22 at the Cloudcroft Fire Station, 23 in Ruidoso (Hodge Podge Lodge), 24 at the Smokey Bear Raws near Ruidoso, 24 at the Mayhill Raws, 26 at the McKittrick Canyon Raws in Pine Springs, 27 in Timberon, 30 at the Sacramento Peak Raws at Sunspot, 30 at Arabela, and 30 at the Bat Draw Raws at Carlsbad Caverns.

Today will be a little cooler with our afternoon high temps ranging from the upper 50's to the low 60's across the southeastern plains. With clear skies, light winds, and a dry airmass in place, our overnight lows will be fairly close to this mornings readings tomorrow morning.

Friday Into The Weekend.


A quick warm-up is anticipated for tomorrow as our daytime highs climb up into the upper 70's to near 80. Our afternoon high temperatures will continue in the upper 70's to low 80's Saturday and Sunday. The weekend will also be warm as leeside troughing sets up along the eastern and southeastern plains, and an upper-level disturbance zips across northern New Mexico and southern Colorado. Southwesterly breezes will kick up each afternoon, generally in the 15-25 mph range, with perhaps a few higher gusts, especially over the mountains.

First Blast Of Arctic Air For The Northern Plains.

North American Surface Temperature Forecast Map.
Valid At 5 AM MST Sun Nov 20, 2011.

Arctic air will grip the northern plains states along the US and Canadian border tomorrow into the weekend. The teens are forecast as daytime highs with overnight lows dipping down to below zero in a few places. By Sunday morning it looks like the coldest air will reside over northwestern Canada where low temperatures are forecast to drop to as low as -45F.

This is the first surge of arctic air for the season for the northern plains states. If this trend keeps up, then it appears that it could be a cold winter for these areas. It has been unusually cold over most of Alaska. Some of the colder readings across Alaska as of 9:00 AM MST this morning include; -47F at Bettles Field, -47F at Fort Yukon, and -47F at Telida. Long-range models continue to forecast deepening extremely cold temperatures across interior, and northern Alaska over the next couple of weeks.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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