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NWS HPC 5-Day Total Precipitation Forecast.
Water Vapor Satellite Image At 6:45 AM MDT.
NewsWest Channel 9 out of Midland/Odessa carried a story yesterday about the possibility of a tornado touching down in the Hobbs area Monday afternoon. I am waiting for the Midland National Weather Service Office to complete a damage survey of the storm damage area to determine if it was straight line wind damage or in fact a tornado. There were reportedly 11 homes damaged and 11 power poles snapped off.
A cutoff mid-upper level low remains parked over the Baja Peninsula this morning, and is forecast to start its slow eastward crawl today. Current model forecasts have the storm moving into the Texas Big Bend area by around sunset tomorrow.
Abundant low-level moisture is entrenched over the area. This combined with the approaching upper-level storm, will give southeastern New Mexico and west Texas another shot of rain showers and thunderstorms today into tomorrow. Thunderstorms will be on the increase tonight into tomorrow evening across southeastern New Mexico. Once again widespread beneficial rainfall appears likely over the area. Locally heavy downpours may result in localized flash flooding, especially tonight into Thursday.
Many locations have already received an inch of rain or more, and if the model forecasts pan out some of us may see a couple more inches on top of what we have already received. Like many of you, I am really happy to see the rain and cooler weather. The past two years of the excessive drought have been pretty tough.
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