Its a rather chilly morning across northern New Mexico and much of the Western US. Angel Fire located in the Sangre de Cristo Mountains of northern New Mexico has been down to at least 16F this morning. Meanwhile our low temperatures here in SE NM have been fairly close to the seasonal norms with readings in the mid 50's to low 60's for the most part.
Severe Thunderstorms are forecast to break out across parts of west Texas this afternoon and evening. Supercell thunderstorms are forecast to fire up along a stationary frontal boundary, as well as along and east of the dryline. Some of these thunderstorms may produce very large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. There currently is a 60% chance for Skywarn Storm Spotter Activation by around Noontime MDT. The best chances for thunderstorms will generally be along and east of a Hobbs-Valentine-Lajitas line this afternoon and evening. There is the possibility that the severe weather threat may shift a little further to the west this afternoon.
As a ridge of high pressure builds over the area tomorrow and Wednesday hot weather is forecast to return to SE NM. We are expecting afternoon high temperatures in the mid-upper 90's today, near 100 to the low 100's tomorrow (104 in Carlsbad), and the upper 90's to near 100 on Wednesday.
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