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Showing posts from December, 2012

Snowfall Totals From Last Nights Storm.

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Ruidoso, NM Today.

Cloudcroft, NM This Evening.
Map Is Courtesy Of The Albuquerque NWS Office.
New Mexico Snowfall Totals.
Southern New Mexico Snowfall Totals.
New Mexico CoCoRaHS Snowfall Totals.
Bonito Lake reported 9" of new snow while Ski Apache reported 6" of new snow. 3.6" of new snow was reported 4.7 miles east of Cloudcroft, 3.5" was reported 1.8 miles southwest of Cloudcroft, while 2.9" was reported in Cloudcroft.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!
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Windy Today...Chilly This Week.

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Pretty Much The Theme For Our Weather This Afternoon.
24-Hour Rainfall Totals As Of 5 AM MST. 



 A mix of light rain, sleet, and snow was reported across the southeastern plains overnight. As far as I know there were no significant accumulations on the ground. Snow also fell in the Sacramento mountains and I will post those totals later today.
Winter Weather Advisory For The Sac's.
Wind Advisory Today For Eddy/Culberson Co's.
High Wind Warning Today For The Guadalupe Mountains.
 06Z/11 PM MST NAM 500 MB Analysis Last Night.
Dense Freezing Fog covers parts of southeastern New Mexico early this morning. Visibilities in the Carlsbad and Artesia areas are reported to be down to 1/4 of a mile or less. Some of are roads are glazed over with ice so please be careful out there this morning.
By mid-day the fog will have burned off. Strong downslopping southwesterly winds are forecast to kick up later this morning. These southwesterly winds will become sustained at around 30 - 40 mph with gust…

A Mix Of Rain, Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow Tonight Into New Years Eve Day.

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Today's 18Z/11 AM MST NAM 500 MB Analysis.
Today's 12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF 500 MB Forecast. Valid At 5 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.
NAM Temperature Forecast. Valid At 6 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.
NAM Max Snow Depth Forecast. Valid At 7 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.
NAM Max Snow Depth Forecast. Valid At 9 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.
NAM Simulated Radar Valid At 5 PM MST Today.
NAM Simulated Radar Valid At 11 PM MST Tonight.
NAM Simulated Radar Valid At 6 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.
Winter Weather Advisory Northern Sacramento Mtn's.
Winter Weather Advisory Southern Sacramento Mtn's.
A strong winter storm will be moving into northern Arizona by sunset tonight. This winter storm will move across New Mexico tomorrow. There are still some questions as to just how far south this storm will track...so its possible to still see some additional adjustments to our local forecasts tonight into tomorrow.
Remember that these are a computer model forecast, these snowfall amounts may be higher in…

Wintry Mix Possible Tonight Into New Years Eve Morning.

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Hooves & Horns Cowtoons. 
First Winter Storm Arrives Tonight.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM 500 MB Analysis.
This Mornings IR Satellite Image At 7:00 AM MST.
Messy weather for New Mexico today into tomorrow. A trough of low pressure (see the NAM 500 MB map above) was located over the Great Basin at sunrise this morning. A closed mid-level low was trying to form over northwestern Arizona, southwestern California, and southern Nevada. 
Meanwhile a deep plume of mid and high level tropical moisture can be seen streaming northeastward into the local area from well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja Region. Hence the overcast skies this morning.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM 500 MB Forecast. Valid At 12Z/5 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.
This closed mid-level low is forecast by this mornings NAM model to move slowly eastward towards the Four-Corners Region by sunrise tomorrow morning.
Wintry Mix Possible Tonight Across E & SE NM.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM 4KM Temp Forecast. Valid …

Canadian & European Models Shifting Storm South.

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Just as I have been suspecting all along, this mornings 12Z/5 AM MST run of the Canadian (CMC) model, and the European (ECMWF) model, are shifting the potent mid-upper level storm futher west, and south through Arizona on New Years Day, and into northwestern Mexico by Wednesday. This of course favors a colder and snowier Winter Storm for Arizona, New Mexico, and parts of west Texas.
 This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF 500 MB Analysis.
Valid At 5 AM MST Sunday December 30, 2012.
Valid At 5 AM MST New Years Eve December 31, 2012.
Valid At 5 AM MST New Years Day.
Valid At 5 AM MST Wednesday January 2, 2013.
Valid At 5 AM MST Thursday January 3, 2013.
Next Weeks ECMWF/GFS Temp-Precip Forecast. (This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST Run).
ECMWF Albuquerque, NM.
 GFS Albuquerque, NM.
ECMWF Santa Fe, NM.
 GFS Santa Fe, NM.
ECMWF Ruidoso, NM.
 GFS Ruidoso, NM.
ECMWF Roswell, NM.

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