Another Hot, Very Dry, Windy Day On Tap For SE NM. Severe Weather Outbreak In Tornado Alley.


High Temperatures Reported Tuesday.

Another day of hot, very dry, windy and dusty weather is on tap for southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas today. Widespread areas of blowing dust will plaque the area later today into this evening before a strong cold front arrives and clears the air.

Severe Weather Outbreak Today-


SPC Severe Weather Outlook Today.

Forecast Severe Weather Parameters At Noon MDT Today.

NAM Supercell Composite Forecast @ Noon MDT.

NAM Significant Tornado Forecast @ Noon MDT.

NAM Simulated Radar Forecast @ Noon MDT.

Forecast Severe Weather Parameters At 3 PM MDT Today.

NAM Supercell Composite Forecast @ 3 PM MDT.

NAM Significant Tornado Forecast @ 3 PM MDT.

NAM Simulated Radar Forecast @ 3 PM MDT.

Forecast Severe Weather Parameters At 6 PM MDT Today.

NAM Supercell Composite Forecast @ 6 PM MDT.

NAM Significant Tornado Forecast @ 6 PM MDT.

NAM Simulated Radar Forecast @ 6 PM MDT.

Forecast Severe Weather Parameters At 9 PM MDT Today.

NAM Supercell Composite Forecast @ 9 PM MDT.

NAM Significant Tornado Forecast @ 9 PM MDT.

NAM Simulated Radar Forecast @ 9 PM MDT.

Today has the potential to be a rough one across parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri and northeastward to the Chicago area. Severe thunderstorms appear on track to break out in these areas, with north Texas, much of Oklahoma, southern and southeastern Kansans being the bulls eye for supercell thunderstorm development today into tonight.

Discrete supercell thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening from north Texas northward into Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas. A squall line may develop later tonight along a strong southeastward surging cold front.

Some questions remain as to exactly where the best severe weather parameters will be located today and tonight. A battle between the unstable conditions of the airmass and the cap will take place today, and could limit the severe weather outbreak in some of these areas. Then again today has the potential to see a lot of activity that fires up very quickly this afternoon, and continues well into the night.

 Large hail, some of which may be very large, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, and heavy rainfall that may cause flooding and flash flooding will be possible in the highlighted areas above. Tornadoes, some of which may be large, violent, and of the long track variety will also occur especially withing the Moderate Risk shaded area.

Click on this link to visit a National Weather Service Office in your area.

Meanwhile across New Mexico Today-

GFS Surface Map Forecast @ 6 PM MDT Today.

Today's Lubbock NWS Outlook.


Widespread blowing dust is anticipated by this afternoon which may reduce the visibility in many areas below 3 miles. Sudden drops in the visibility down to near zero with little to no advanced warning may also occur in some of our more dust prone locations such as- freshly plowed or open farmlands, fields, lots, and construction sites.

A High Wind Warning is out for the Guadalupe mountains for southwesterly winds sustained at 40 - 55 mph with gusts near 70 mph today.

A High Wind Warning is also in effect today for southern New Mexico for southwesterly winds of 35 - 45 mph with gusts near 60 mph.

A High Wind Warning is also in effect for today for Lincoln County for southwesterly winds sustained at 35 - 45 mph with gusts near 65 mph.

Wind Advisories are in effect for Chaves, Eddy, and Lea Counties for southwesterly winds sustained at 25 - 35 mph with gusts near 50 mph.

Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions are also expected today. Simply put please if at all possible refrain from any type of outdoor activity that involves the use of sparks or flame. Any type of outdoors burning will be a very bad idea today. Any wildfire that may get started will have the ability to rapidly spread and grow in today's high winds.

GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast @ 6 PM MDT Thursday.

A strong cold front will sweep across the state tonight and tomorrow morning. Colder air will arrive with the frontal passage. Most of the local area will only see high temperatures in the 50's on Thursday. Temperatures are expected to fall below freezing in many areas Thursday night and Friday morning.

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