A strong cold front has pushed southward out of southeastern New Mexico and into west Texas as of 7 AM MDT this morning. Overcast skies along with blustery northerly winds now cover the local area. Temps at 7 AM range from 32F at Clovis where mist is being reported, to 39F at Roswell with mist, 43F in Hobbs with mist, 41F in Artesia, and 48F in Carlsbad. I suspect that our high temps will struggle this afternoon to get much out of 40's in most areas.
There is a 60% chance of Skywarn Spotter Activation across parts of southeastern New Mexico and the Permain Basin by around 1 PM MDT/2 PM CDT this afternoon. Isolated to numerous thunderstorms are forecast across the area today into tonight. Some of these are going to become severe and produce large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 58 mph, and possibly an isolated tornado or two. The greatest risk for severe weather will be along and east of a Maljamar-Lovington-Pecos-Alpine-Chisos line.
Simulated Radar At Midnight MDT Tonight.
Areas of fog, light drizzle, and or light rain will occur over the local area today. By tonight some of us may see a few embedded thunderstorms here in the Pecos Valley, with a better chance in Lea County where some of these may become severe. Skies will clear by Wednesday afternoon with a warming trend commencing by Thursday. By the weekend we will be back in the 80's.
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