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Showing posts from November, 2013

Another Blast Of Arctic Air Headed South.

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00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF Control 500 MB Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Thursday, Dec 5, 2013
00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF 6-Hourly Min Temp Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, Dec 5, 2013.
00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF Temperature Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Thursday, Dec 5, 2013.
00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF 6-Hourly Max Temp Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Thursday, Dec 5, 2013.
Get ready New Mexico...another blast of frigid air from the arctic is headed our way later next week. The models are all over the place concerning this next storm so the details are up for grabs for now. The European has been trending deeper and further south with the upper-level trough, which would indicate a better chance for more snow for the state if this trend continues and verifies.
A very cold arctic airmass is headed south once again. Temps across the central Rockies are forecast to bottom out Thursday morning somewhere in the neighbor hood of -35F. temps ahead of the front Thursday afternoon in the local area will be near 70F, behi…

Happy Thanksgiving!

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That's Not Snow Its Frost On The Ground. Wednesday Morning At The Beach In Carlsbad, New Mexico.
HAPPY THANKSGIVING EVERYONE!
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction! 
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Satellite Images Of The Snow Cover In New Mexico.

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 Courtesy Of Runyan Ranches Near Elk, NM.
Courtesy Of The Inn Of The Mountain Of Gods In Ruidoso, NM.
Visible Satellite Image Courtesy Of The Lubbock NWS Office.
NASA MODIS Visible Satellite Image Today.
NASA MODIS Visible Satellite Image Today.
Runyan Ranches located just east of Mayhill near Elk experienced an ice storm just like the Pecos Valley. Some of their trees like most of our here in the valley had turned colors but hadn't dropped their leaves yet. The ice and snow storm changed this, 
Sierra Blanca Peak glistens with a fresh coating of snow (10") from the storm.Ski Apache is set to open Thanksgiving Day.
Today satellite images from NASA shows the snow pack over the northern sections of southeastern New Mexico, and across eastern New Mexico. You can also pick out the snow cover over the Guadalupe and Sacramento mountains. Most of our snow has melted here in the Pecos Valley. Storm totals of 2" - 4" were common. A few locations around Portales ended up to 7"…

Look At What The Models Are Seeing For Next Week!

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ECMWF Forecasts Next Week.
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF 500 MB Height Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Max Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Max Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Min Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Min Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Temperature Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
GFS Forecasts Next Week.
18Z/11 AM MST ECMWF 500 MB Height Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013
 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Max Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
18Z/11 AM MST GFS Max Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Min Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Thursday, December 5, 2013.
 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Min Tempera…

Carlsbad's First Snow Of The 2013-2014 Season.

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Blog updated at 4:00 PM MST.
Blog updated at 8:00 AM MST Monday, Nov 25, 2013.

Courtesy Of The Midland NWS Office.

Carlsbad, NM This Morning.

Our Granddaughters Snowman In Artesia, NM.
I have measured .84" of liquid precipitation in the past 24-hours, with a total of 3.2" of snowfall, 3" on the ground in Carlsbad as of 7 AM MST. My liquid storm total is .90", and my storm total snowfall is 3.3"

NWS Albuquerque Snowfall Reports-

7.5" Dora
7.5" 3 SW Portales
6.5" Ski Apache 
5.0" 1 SW Clovis
4.5" 16 E Elkins
4.5" Milnesand
4.5" Elida
4.0" Corona 
4.0" Hagerman
3.5" 3 NE Ruidoso 
2.5" 16 NE Dunken 
2.5" 1 W Roswerll
2.0" Ruidoso 
2.0" 6 NNW Dunken 
1.5" Roswell

NWS El Paso Snowfall Reports-

3.8" 2 NE Alamogordo 
1.1" 3 WNW Mayhill
1.0" Cloudcroft

CoCoRaHS Snowfall Reports-

3.2" My Home In Carlsbad
2.8" 4 NNE Roswell
2.0" 3.5 NNE Artesia

Local Public Reports-

4.0" Cottonwood, North…

The Change Over Sleet & Snow Has Begun In SE NM.

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Blog Updated @ 3:25 PM MST.

Roads Are Getting Slick & Icy In Carlsbad, NM.
Light drizzle has changed over to light sleet and light snow.

IR Satellite Image @ 1:45 PM This Afternoon.
Here we go...we just changed over to snow here in Carlsbad. Take a look at the latest satellite image below. Notice the large area of yellow shaded colors that stretches from south of El Paso, all the way north to southeastern Colorado.

This indicates and area of enhanced lift...which means here comes the sleet and snow. This disturbance is not the main storm...its still west of us, and is centered over southern California. Its forecast to move into the state Sunday afternoon.
My SE NM Radar Snapshot @ 2:30 PM MST.
When you visit my web pageto view this radar please be sure and check the "Winterize Box" at the top of the radar page. This changes the radar viewing mode over to the winter mode. Light snow is showing up near Artesia and Carlsbad in the snapshot above, with light rain southeast of M…

Rare & Beautiful SE NM Ice Storm.

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We don't see ice storms in southeastern New Mexico very often. They can be very dangerous and deadly but at the same time are very beautiful. I took the first photo above yesterday morning at the beach in downtown Carlsbad. Steam fog was forming on the river. The other photos were shot this morning. So far 24 hours of light freezing drizzle, light freezing rain, light sleet, and little bit of light snow has produced only minor icing...hopefully this trend continues today. 
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction! 
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Get Ready - A Major Winter Storm Is Headed Our Way!

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18Z/11 AM MST NAM 500 MB Analysis. Valid @ 11 AM MST This Morning.
12Z/5 AM MST GFS Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.
18Z/11 AM MST GFS Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.
12Z/5 AM MST GEM Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.
12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Total Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.
12Z/5 AM MST NAM Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday.
18Z/11 AM MST NAM/WRF Total Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 11 PM MST Sunday.
Light freezing drizzle, light freezing rain, and freezing fog have been ongoing across the local area since early this morning. Some of our local roadways have icy spots on them with icing occurring on exposed surfaces. This will continue tonight into tomorrow. Our temperatures will continue to hover at or near the freezing mark although the wind chill will make it feel much colder.
As of noontime today our potent upper-level storm (cutoff from the jet stream flow to the north …

Temperatures To Plunge After Dark - Major Winter Storm Coming!

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Arctic Cold Front Has Passed Clayton.
RAP Temperatures @ 9 AM MST This Morning.
RAP Temperatures @ 9 AM MST This Morning.
WRF/NAM Forecast Temperatures. Valid @ 8 PM This Evening.
WRF/NAM Forecast Temperatures. Valid @ 8 AM MST Friday.
WRF/NAM Forecast Temperatures. Valid @ 5 PM MST Friday.
Ice Storm & Heavy Snowfall!
As of 10 AM MST this morning the long awaited strong arctic cold front had moved south of Clayton, New Mexico. At 10 AM Clayton was reporting light freezing rain and mist with a temperature of 28F and dropping. Their wind chill value was 14F and dropping also. 
Current model forecasts indicate that the arctic cold front will be entering southeastern New Mexico by around 8 PM MST this evening. It will then continue to plunge southward, moving south of the local area around midnight.
 A very cold airmass for this time of the year will settle in over the area tonight into at least Sunday. Wind chill values will fall into the teens tonight and tomorrow over the area. High…

Current NWS Watches & Warnings

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