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Showing posts from February, 2014

142-Degree Temperature Spread Forecast Tomorrow Morning!

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Temperatures @ 2 PM MST Today.





Forecast Temperatures @ 5 AM MST Saturday.





Today marks the last day of the 2013-2014 meteorological winter. As of 2 PM MST temperatures ranged from 91F in south Texas to -26F in southern Canada. That's a temperature spread of 117-degrees.  
Saturday marks the beginning of the meteorological spring. According to the RAP computer forecast model temperatures at 5 AM MST tomorrow morning will range from 81F in south Texas, to a bone chilling -61F in southern Canada. That will be an incredible temperature spread of 142-degrees!
Welcome to spring folks.
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Now That's A Front!

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GFS Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.



An amazing temperature contrast will exist along and behind the arctic cold front on Saturday. Temperatures Saturday afternoon will vary from the 80's across southeastern New Mexico and west Texas to -25F in North Dakota. At least a 110-degree difference between the two air masses separating the frontal boundary. 
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100-Degree Temperature Differences Saturday.

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Temperatures @ 3 PM MST Today.



A colder airmass lies banked up along and east of the central mountain chain of New Mexico at 3 PM MST. Its 20-degrees colder in Roswell than it is in Alamogordo.
Arctic Air Invades The U.S. This Weekend.
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Wind Chill Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.
Our latest National Weather Service forecast high temperature for Carlsbad, New Mexico on Saturday is 85. Compare this to temperatures as cold as -15F in Montana with wind chill values down to -35F. That's a 100-degree temperature difference! Id say that we ought to consider ourselves pretty lucky given the fact that its still February.
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Cooler Today - Colder Tonight With A Possible Light Wintry Precipitation Mixture.

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Temperatures @ 8 AM MST This Morning.




A cold front slipped into southeastern New Mexico earlier this morning. This front will stall over the area today with a stronger surge of colder arctic air arriving tonight. Most of us will see high temps today in the 50's to near 60.
Forecast Temperatures.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM-WRF Forecast Temps. Valid @ 4 PM MST This Afternoon.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM-WRF Forecast Temps. Valid @ 7 AM MST Tomorrow.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST NAM-WRF Forecast Temps. Valid @ Noon MST Tomorrow.
Slight Chance Of Wintry Mix Tonight Into Tomorrow.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS Precipitation Type Forecast. Valid @ 11 PM MST Tonight.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS Precipitation Type Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Tomorrow.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS Precipitation Type Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Tomorrow.
Special Weather Statement.
As colder air moves in later tonight low clouds and perhaps a few areas of light precipitation are forecast to break out …

Arctic Cold Front Comes Knocking Tuesday Night.

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Temperatures @ 4 PM MST.




We've experienced yet another day in February with temps in the 70's here in southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas. But if you take a look at the current temperatures maps posted above you can easily see that an arctic cold front is draped across northeastern Colorado, and extends southeastern into northern Texas. 
Cold Front Arrives Tuesday Night.

18Z/11 AM MST NAM-WRF Temperature Forecast. Valid @ 2 PM MST Wednesday.
This cold front will work its way southward and westward into southeastern New Mexico Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Much colder air will overspread the area on Wednesday with most of us not getting out of the 40's for highs.
Slight Chance For A Wintry Mix.
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Precipitation Type Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Wednesday.
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST GFS Precipitation Type Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Wednesday.
Low clouds and perhaps an area of very light wintry precipitation may develop behind the cold fron…

Where Is The Snow?

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Blog Updated @ 9:25 AM MST Monday, Feb 24, 2014.

Looking West At 12,003' Sierra Blanca Peak Ruidoso, New Mexico.
Looking Northeast At 12,003' Sierra Blanca Peak From Tularosa, New Mexico.

Looking Northeast At Sierra Blanca Peak From Near Apache Summit.
Grindstone Lake Southwest Of Ruidoso, New Mexico.
Ski Apachehas only received 45" of snow thus far this season with 15"on the ground at mid-mountain. Their average seasonal snowfall is 200+ inches. Just another testament of the affects of the ongoing drought.
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Warming Back Up Into The Weekend - But More Arctic Air By The Middle Of Next Week.

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Peak Wind Gusts Yesterday.

Low Temps This Morning.

We Are Not Done With Winter - More Cold Next Week.






Last Nights 00Z/5 PM MST GFS Temp Forecast. Valid Next Wednesday, February 26, 2014.
Other than the blustery conditions with the wind, blowing dust, and cooler temps yesterday's weather wasn't so bad. Our brief cool down will end starting today. We can expect to see our afternoon temps climb back into the 70's into the weekend. Saturday will be the warmest day over the next week with most of the southeastern New Mexico plains reaching the low-mid 80's.
Winter is not over with by a long shot. Another blast of arctic air will invade the northern plains early next week and by mid-week will have worked its way south into our next of the woods. 
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Severe Weather Outbreak Today.

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Severe Weather Outbreak Today.
NWS Storm Prediction Centers Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook.
Severe weather is forecast today from the Ohio Valley to the Central Gulf Coast. Squally line thunderstorms are forecast to produce damaging winds. A few tornadoes will also be possible. A bit on the unusual side for February.
Snow Cover.
Only 32% Of The Nation Has Snow On The Ground.
Temperatures At 6 AM MST This Morning.



Once again its fairly easy to see that a cold front is sliding southeastward across the area.
Yesterday's High Temperatures.

Today Will Be Cooler.
12Z/5 AM MST WRF Temp Forecast. Valid @ 3 PM MST This Afternoon.
This morning is going to be a little bit on the windy side with northwesterly winds gusting up to around 25-35 mph behind the cold front. Higher gusts will be encountered in the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan mountains. A High Wind Warningremains in effect until 10 AM MST for the Ruidoso area for northwesterly winds that will gust up to around 60 mph.
Highs this afte…

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