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Showing posts from January, 2015

Storm Summary For New Mexico 1-31-2015.

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Moderate To Heavy Rains Tonight Into Saturday.

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Latest Short Term Rainfall Forecasts.
HRRR Rainfall Total Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST.
RAP Rainfall Forecast. Valid @ 9 AM MST Saturday.
NAM-WRF Rainfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.
NCEP NDFD Rainfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM Saturday.
Updated Winter Storm Warning For The Northern Sacramento Mtn's.
An additional 2" - 5" of snow above 7,500'. An additional 6" - 12" of snow above 8,500'.
Updated Winter Storm Warning For The Southern Sacramento Mtn's.
An additional 1" - 4" of snow below 7,000'. An additional 4" - 8" above 7,000'.
An approaching disturbance from northern Mexico will ramp up the rains across southern New Mexico, southeastern New Mexico, and parts of West Texas after sunset. Generally rainfall totals by sunset Saturday should be in the .50" - 2.00" range across the area. A rather rare event for January.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Latest Potent Winter Storm Underway In New Mexico.

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Lessons To Be Learned From The Blizzard Of 2015 - Heavy Rain & Snow Coming To New Mexico.

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Boston Area Snowfall Totals - Blizzard 2015.
Boston Blizzard Of 2015. Dorchester, MA.
There is a powerful lesson to be learned from the Blizzard of 2015! That lesson is that no matter how good we think we are at forecasting the weather, in reality, more often than not, we're not that good at times. Yes we've come a long way in the past few years compared to say 20, 30, 50 years ago with computer model forecasting. But make no mistake Mother Nature still rules in this department. 
The great Blizzard of 2015 tracked just a mere 80 miles east of  the models forecasts and missed New York City but buried parts of New England. Making a fool out of many a forecaster, and politician...that's the nature of the business when dealing with weather forecasting. Just remember that at some point in time, more often than not, even the best of the best forecasters will be wrong. I'm not one to criticize the National Weather Service when their forecasts bust sometimes. Nobody's perfec…

Cold-Sloppy Superbowl Weekend Coming Up.

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Storm Track Forecast.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS (T1534) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday.
Snowfall & Rainfall Forecasts.
GFS (T1534) 6-Hourly Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Sunday.
GFS (T1534) Total Precipitation Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Sunday.
GFS (T1534) 10-Day Temp/Rainfall/Snowfall Forecasts.
Cannon AFB - Clovis, NM.
Roswell, NM.
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport - Ruidoso, NM.
Artesia, NM.
Carlsbad, NM.
Hobbs, NM.
Special Weather Statement. 
How about a sloppy, wet, snowy, cold Super Bowl weekend for southeastern New Mexico and surrounding areas? This appears to be our forecast starting Thursday night and continuing into Sunday at least. This upcoming storm is showing a lot of resemblance to the last storm we endured. The question is whether or not it will get cold enough to produce significant accumulating snows in the lower elevations of southeastern New Mexico. No doubt the mountains could once again get clobbered with 1' - 2' (feet) of…

Yet Another Potentially Strong Winter Storm For NM Next Weekend.

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Storm Track.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST  GFS (T1534) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Saturday, January 31, 2015. 
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST  Canadian (GEM) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Saturday, January 31, 2015. 
Total Rainfall Forecast.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS (T1534)  Total Precipitation (Rainfall) Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday, January 31, 2015. 
Snowfall Forecast.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS (T1534)  Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday, January 31, 2015. 
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST Canadian (GEM)  Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday, January 31, 2015. 
10-Day Temperature & Rainfall/Snowfall Forecasts.
Carlsbad, NM.
Hobbs, NM.
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport - Ruidoso, NM.
First Look At Our Next Winter Storm. 
By this time next weekend New Mexico may once again be dealing with a strong winter storm. Interestingly enough it appears (for now anyway) that our temperatures here in southeastern New Mexico may be on the b…

New Mexico Snowfall Summary 1-23-2015.

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Blog Updated @ 6:00 PM MST.

I don't think that our soon to be two year old grandson (Kason Kole Levario)  was enjoying the snow in Artesia yesterday nearly as much as I was.  Photo is courtesy of our oldest daughter Amanda Levario.

SSEC MODIS Satelitte Images Of New Mexico Today.



Modeled Snow Depths @ 8 AM MST This Morning.
My two day storm total snowfall here at our home in Carlsbad is 4.2". The maximum snow depth on the ground was this morning with 1.5". This was a wet snow with very large flakes at times, and other times tiny snowflakes fell. Most of which melted as it fell. Including the rain that fell my liquid storm total precipitation is .44" which brings my January total to 1.02". My high temp yesterday was 34°F.
Several reports from Artesia indicated that 4" - 4.5"Additional snowfall totals are available via CoCoRaHS. Click On "The Read More Link" To View A Statewide listing of snowfall totals.

Snowstorm Underway In New Mexico.

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Blog Updated @  5:04 PM MST.

Regional Radar Composite @ 8 AM MST This Morning.

Regional Radar Composite @ 11 AM MST Today.

RTMA Temperatures @ 8 AM MST This Morning.

Regional Temperatures @ 11 AM MST Today.
IR Satellite Image @ Noon MST Today.
Water Vapor Satellite Image @ 3:45 PM MST Today.
Courtesy Of New Mexico Roads.  NM Roads Mobile App.

Local Snowfall Reports-

Cloudcroft 11"
W Roswell 8" & 13" Drifts
Queen 8"
7 E Cloudcroft 7"
1 WNW Mescalero 7"
Midway SE Of Roswell 7"
Roswell 6"
Runyan Ranches East Of Elk 5" With 8" Drifts
Artesia 4"
Hope 4"
NW Carlsbad 3.1"
(Max Depth 1" at 5 PM Due To Melting)
Atoka 2"
Brantley Lake 1/2"
NWS Albuquerque Snowfall Totals-
(Last Updated @ 2:42 PM MST).

• 5 S Edgewood - 16.0 in.
 • 5 SW Bonito Lake - 15.0 in.
 • 3 NE Bonito Lake - 14.0 in.
 • 6 WSW Bonito Lake - 14.0 in.
 • 1 ESE Sedillo - 14.0 in.
 • 1 ESE Sedillo - 14.0 in.
 • Tijeras - 13.5 in.
 • 7 WSW Roy - 13.0 in.
 • 3 ESE Ang…

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