Eddy

Chaves

Lea

A Rare & Dangerous Heavy Snow Event Ongoing In Central & Northern New Mexico.


Courtesy Of Sam Sanborn in Albuquerque, NM.




 





  


 As Of 9 AM MST This Morning.




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
500 AM MST SAT FEB 28 2015

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
CONDITIONS DONT GET MUCH WORSE FOR AVIATION THAN WHAT WE ARE
DEALING WITH THIS MORNING. THE BUSIEST TERMINAL...KABQ...IS ON
THE HEELS OF A TOP 10 3-DAY SNOW EVENT DATING BACK TO 1931. IFR
AND LIFR CONDITIONS ARE IMPACTING MANY SITES IN CENTRAL NM WHERE
TWO IMPRESSIVE SNOWBANDS HAVE SET UP. THESE TWO BANDS WILL LIFT
VERY SLOWLY NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH TERRAIN AND POUND THE
MTS WITH FEET OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY. EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
NM ARE VERY SLOWLY IMPROVING AS WINDS VEER TOWARD THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST. LOWER ELEVATION AREAS WILL CHANGE TO RAIN AS WARMER
TEMPS SLIDE NORTH INTO THE AREA. MANY AMENDMENTS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY TO DEAL WITH PRECIP CHANGES AND IMPROVING CIGS/VSBYS.

GUYER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...327 AM MST SAT FEB 28 2015...
.SYNOPSIS...
A DANGEROUS WEATHER SCENARIO CURRENTLY IMPACTING MUCH OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. BITTERLY COLD
AIR WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. MAJOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL ADD UP THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR THE NORTHERN HIGH TERRAIN...
ON THE ORDER OF SEVERAL FEET. A WARMING TREND WILL TURN SNOW TO
RAIN FOR FOLKS BELOW 7500 FEET SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ANOTHER STORM
WILL SLIDE IN MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND DELIVER EVEN MORE SNOW FOR
THE REGION. A BITTER COLD AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY BEFORE A
MUCH NEEDED WARMING AND DRYING TREND BEGINS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
NOT MANY TIMES DOES MOTHER NATURE DELIVER THE TYPE OF EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS WEATHER THAT IS CURRENTLY ONGOING AROUND NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NM. AN EXCEPTIONALLY IMPRESSIVE STATIONARY BAND OF SNOWFALL
SLIDING RIGHT OVER CENTRAL NM WITH FRIGID TEMPS IS IMPACTING THE ABQ
METRO AREA NEAR THE LEVEL OF THE MASSIVE 2006 SNOW EVENT. FOLKS ARE
URGED NOT TO TRAVEL UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY THIS MORNING.
ATMOSHPERIC DYNAMICS HAVE COME TOGETHER TO PUT ON A SHOW THAT
RESIDENTS WILL BE TALKING ABOUT FOR A LONG TIME. STORM TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL AVERAGE 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO
AREA FOR THE 2 DAY PERIOD.

MADE SIGNIFICANT EDITS TO FIRST 12-24 FORECAST PERIODS TO ACCOUNT
FOR CURRENT SCENARIO. WARM ADVECTION IS STILL EXPECTED TO TAKE SHAPE
IN ERNEST OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. A DEEPLY RICH SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE TAP WILL DELIVER A BAND OF SNOW INTO WESTERN NM THROUGH
MONDAY THAT WILL ADD A COUPLE MORE FEET OF SNOWFALL TO THE NORTHWEST
HIGH TERRAIN. SNOW LEVELS MAY RISE ABOVE 8000 FEET WITH THIS TAP AND
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRUCTURAL PROBLEMS TO ROOF AND WEAKENED
STRUCTURES IN THE HIGH TERRAIN.

COLD ADVECTION WILL THEN DEVELOP AS THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM SLIDES
SLOWLY EASTWARD. WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME BREEZY TO WINDY FOR
THE REGION AND RESULT IN BLOWING SNOW IN THE HIGH TERRAIN. ANY RAIN
WILL CHANGE TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH TUESDAY. YET ANOTHER
UPPER WAVE IS INDICATED TO SLIDE SOUTH BEHIND THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM
AND FORCE A SERIOUS BLAST OF COLD AIR INTO THE STATE. UPSLOPE SNOWS
ARE LIKELY ONCE AGAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY THE TIME ALL IS
SAID AND DONE WE ARE PROBABLY GOING TO BE TALKING ABOUT SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS FOR THE 7 DAY PERIOD FOR THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET!

GUYER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EXTREMELY IMPRESSIVE PERIOD OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS CONTINUES OVER
MUCH OF NM. BITTERLY COLD RECORD TEMPS OVER THE AREA WILL GIVE WAY
TO A SLIGHT WARMING TREND ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40 TODAY. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTH AND PRIMARILY IMPACT THE NORTHERN HIGH
TERRAIN AND THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU.

WARM ADVECTION WILL BEGIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH TEMPS ON
THE REBOUND FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL
SHIFT INTO THE NORTHWEST MTS ABOVE 7500-8500 FEET. ACCUMULATIONS
AGAIN ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED FOR THE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT PERIOD. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING WITH THIS
PATTERN AS WARM AIR SLIDES INTO THE REGION.

MONDAY WILL BE A TRANSITION DAY BEFORE THE NEXT WAVE A PRECIP SLIDES
SLOWLY EAST INTO WESTERN NM. THIS WILL BE ANOTHER HEAVY SNOWFALL EVENT
INTO TUESDAY FOR THE SAN JUAN MTS. OTHER AREAS WILL REMAIN MILD WITH
HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES RELEGATED BY SNOWMELT. THIS WAVE WILL CROSS ON
TUESDAY AND INTRODUCE THE NEXT SURGE OF COLDER AIR WITH TRANSITION
OVER TO SNOW ALL AREAS. WINDS LOOK STRONG BEHIND THE PACIFIC FRONT
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS.

A MAJOR SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL TEMPORARILY IMPACT THE REGION BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM WEDNESDAY BEFORE MODERATING TEMPS AND DRYING DEVELOPS FOR
MID TO LATE WEEK. SNOWPACK VALUES WILL LIKELY RETURN TO NORMAL OR EVEN
BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MTS BEHIND THIS PATTERN.

GUYER

(Last Updated @ 11:24 AM MST This Morning).


• 8 SSW Red River - 21.0 in.
 • 3 ESE Angel Fire - 13.0 in.
 • 1 ESE Sedillo - 13.0 in.
 • 1 ESE Sedillo - 13.0 in.
 • 2 NW Edgewood - 11.0 in.
 • 3 W Los Alamos - 11.0 in.
 • 1 NNE Youngsville - 10.7 in.
 • Ojo Encino - 10.5 in.
 • 4 N Edgewood - 10.0 in.
 • 5 NW Canones - 10.0 in.
 • 4 NE Tijeras - 10.0 in.
 • 8 ENE Albuquerque - 10.0 in.
 • 11 ENE Jemez Springs - 10.0 in.
 • 4 NNW Edgewood - 9.6 in.
 • 1 WSW Sedillo - 9.2 in.
 • 4 SE Albuquerque - 9.0 in.
 • 4 E Sandia Park - 9.0 in.
 • 4 NW Sandia Park - 9.0 in.
 • 6 W Los Alamos - 9.0 in.
 • 8 E Albuquerque - 9.0 in.
 • 8 NE Arroyo Seco - 9.0 in.
 • 5 S Albuquerque - 9.0 in.
 • 5 E Albuquerque - 8.7 in.
 • 5 E Tijeras - 8.6 in.
 • 2 SSE Taos - 8.4 in.
 • 1 N Canones - 8.2 in.
 • 7 E Canjilon - 8.0 in.
 • 1 SSE White Rock - 8.0 in.
 • 6 ESE Albuquerque - 8.0 in.
 • 3 SSE Albuquerque - 8.0 in.
 • Red River - 8.0 in.
 • 9 E Cuba - 8.0 in.
 • 5 WNW Los Alamos - 8.0 in.
 • 1 WNW White Rock - 8.0 in.
 • 2 NW Edgewood - 7.8 in.
 • 1 SSW Tijeras - 7.5 in.
 • 3 NW El Prado - 7.4 in.
 • 2 SSW Los Cordovas - 7.0 in.
 • 6 NE Albuquerque - 7.0 in.
 • 3 WNW Santa Fe - 7.0 in.
 • 3 NW Tres Ritos - 7.0 in.
 • 2 WNW Sedillo - 7.0 in.
 • 7 ESE Chupadero - 7.0 in.
 • 6 NE Albuquerque - 7.0 in.
 • 1 SE Espanola - 7.0 in.
 • 3 NE Farmington - 7.0 in.
 • 8 SW Albuquerque - 7.0 in.
 • 2 WSW Edgewood - 7.0 in.
 • 4 NE Santa Fe - 6.7 in.
 • 2 SE Albuquerque - 6.6 in.
 • 2 WNW Ponderosa - 6.5 in.
 • 8 ENE Albuquerque - 6.5 in.
 • 6 SSE Santa Fe - 6.5 in.
 • 2 SW Agua Fria - 6.4 in.
 • White Rock - 6.3 in.
 • 3 ENE Ponderosa - 6.1 in.
 • 6 SSE Santa Fe - 6.1 in.
 • 6 NNW Lamy - 6.0 in.
 • 3 NE Albuquerque - 6.0 in.
 • White Rock - 6.0 in.
 • 5 NE Albuquerque - 6.0 in.
 • 5 NNW Carnuel - 6.0 in.
 • 5 E Shady Brook - 6.0 in.
 • 3 N Lamy - 6.0 in.
 • 5 NNW Lamy - 6.0 in.
 • Eagle Nest - 6.0 in.
 • Angel Fire - 6.0 in.
 • 5 SSE Llano Largo - 6.0 in.
 • Tres Ritos - 6.0 in.
 • 4 NNW Tres Ritos - 6.0 in.
 • 8 SE Eagle Nest - 6.0 in.
 • 5 SSW Toadlena - 6.0 in.
 • 3 E Red River - 6.0 in.
 • 7 NW Lamy - 5.9 in.
 • 4 NNW Isleta Pueblo - 5.8 in.
 • 4 NNW Lamy - 5.7 in.
 • 2 SW Santa Fe - 5.5 in.
 • 13 NW Taos - 5.5 in.
 • 2 WNW Manuelitas - 5.5 in.
 • 5 NNW Agua Fria - 5.5 in.
 • 7 SW Albuquerque - 5.5 in.
 • 2 NNW Albuquerque - 5.5 in.
 • 2 E Albuquerque - 5.4 in.
 • 4 NE Albuquerque - 5.4 in.
 • 8 NNW Gallup - 5.3 in.
 • 1 SSE Gallup - 5.2 in.
 • 4 NW Santa Fe - 5.2 in.
 • 3 NNE Albuquerque - 5.1 in.
 • 3 SSW Santa Fe - 5.0 in.
 • 4 NW Lamy - 5.0 in.
 • Grants - 5.0 in.
 • 2 ENE Gallup - 5.0 in.
 • 11 S Santa Fe - 5.0 in.
 • 5 ESE Red River - 5.0 in.
 • 5 NW Chama - 5.0 in.
 • 8 WNW Abiquiu - 5.0 in.
 • 2 SE Albuquerque - 5.0 in.
 • 3 WNW Albuquerque - 5.0 in.
 • 7 WNW Canoncito - 5.0 in.
 • 4 W Albuquerque - 4.8 in.
 • 1 ESE Truchas - 4.5 in.
 • 1 NW Corrales - 4.5 in.
 • 8 W Sandia Park - 4.5 in.
 • 5 NE Albuquerque - 4.5 in.
 • 9 NE Albuquerque - 4.5 in.
 • 3 W Rio Rancho - 4.2 in.
 • 1 SW Santa Fe - 4.2 in.
 • 6 NNW Albuquerque - 4.0 in.
 • 3 SW Bloomfield - 4.0 in.
 • 5 NW Lamy - 4.0 in.
 • 6 WNW Tererro - 4.0 in.
 • 1 SW Placitas - 4.0 in.
 • 13 ESE Cuba - 4.0 in.
 • 4 NW Albuquerque - 4.0 in.
 • 11 ENE Red River - 4.0 in.
 • 3 NNW Isleta Pueblo - 4.0 in.
 • Albuquerque - 4.0 in.
 • 3 W Albuquerque - 4.0 in.
 • Corrales - 4.0 in.
 • 5 W Albuquerque - 4.0 in.
 • 9 ENE Shady Brook - 4.0 in.
 • 8 ENE Albuquerque - 3.8 in.
 • 5 NE Albuquerque - 3.8 in.
 • 3 NNE Los Cerrillos - 3.6 in.
 • 1 N Moriarty - 3.6 in.
 • Jaconita - 3.5 in.
 • Chama - 3.5 in.
 • 7 NNW Albuquerque - 3.5 in.
 • 1 NNW Romeroville - 3.2 in.
 • 2 NNE Questa - 3.2 in.
 • 3 SE Las Vegas - 3.0 in.
 • 8 SW Rociada - 3.0 in.
 • 2 N Milan - 3.0 in.
 • 11 NNW Canon Plaza - 3.0 in.
 • 1 SSE Corrales - 3.0 in.
 • 8 ESE Albuquerque - 3.0 in.
 • 5 E El Morro - 3.0 in.
 • 10 SSE Angel Fire - 2.7 in.
 • 5 NW Lamy - 2.7 in.
 • 6 WNW Espanola - 2.7 in.
 • 3 WSW Rio Rancho - 2.6 in.
 • 2 NE Placitas - 2.5 in.
 • 6 NE Rio Rancho - 2.5 in.
 • 2 SSE Peralta - 2.5 in.
 • 2 ENE Rio Rancho - 2.2 in.
 • 2 ENE Rio Rancho - 2.2 in.
 • 1 ENE Corrales - 2.0 in.
 • 1 ESE Medanales - 2.0 in.
 • 8 SSW San Miguel - 2.0 in.
 • 2 E Albuquerque - 2.0 in.
 • 1 E Valencia - 1.9 in.
 • 10 N Farmington - 1.7 in.
 • 1 NNE Aztec - 1.4 in.
 • 1 NW Farmington - 1.3 in.
 • 3 S Farmington - 1.2 in.
 • 2 SSE Valencia - 1.0 in.
 • 13 E Gladstone - 1.0 in.
 • 9 SW Corona - 1.0 in.
 • 2 WSW Rio Rancho - 0.9 in.
 • Torreon Navajo Mission - 0.2 in.
 • 1 ENE Luna - 0.2 in.
 • Rio Communities - 0.1 in.
 • 1 NE Clovis - 0.1 in.
 • 2 SE Manzano - T in.
 • 4 SSE Kirtland - T in.


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