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Showing posts from November, 2015

3" Of Rain Falls Over The Sac's Instead Of 3' Of Snow!

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Our 2 Yr Old Grandson Checking Out Our XMAS Decorations Thanksgiving Night. 
For some New Mexicans this latest winter storm will go down in history as a huge bust as far as snow goes. For others we will remember it for the icing, and the moderate to heavy rains that fell instead of snow. I knew this storm would be full of surprises and it didn't disappoint.

What A Mess!

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This Mornings GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast Map. Valid @ 5 PM MST This Afternoon.
Roughly twenty four hours from now our weather is going change big time here in southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas. So enjoy today's mild highs in the 70's because they are going away. Temps today will be some 10 to 20 degrees above normal and by Friday they will drop some 30 to 40 degrees below yesterday's and today's readings. Highs on Friday will mostly be in the 30's and 40's. 

Still On Track For A Strong Winter Storm.

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IR Satellite Image Of Tropical Storm Sandra. Valid @ 7:45 AM MST This Morning.
Blog Updated @ 2:33 PM MST.
Tropical Storm Sandrawas located near 11.2 North and 106.1 West well south of the southern tip of Baja, Mexico this morning. Sandra is currently moving to the west at 13 mph but a gradual turn to the northwest and north is forecast over the next couple of days. Sandra has sustained winds of 50 mph with a central pressure of 1000 millibars or 29.53 inches of mercury. Sandra is forecast to strengthen into a Hurricane. As she tracks northward into northern into north-central Mexico late this week and into the holiday weekend her remnant moisture will be a major player in our local weather. 

Great Weather Until Thanksgiving - Then Its All Downhill.

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This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS Surface Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Thanksgiving.
What happens when you mix a potent closed 500 millibar low with arctic air, subtropical moisture streaming over the top of this arctic air, courtesy of a potential Tropical Storm (Sandra), and a holiday weekend? Trouble and big travel headaches. But where will be the question. 

Beautiful Thanksgiving Week - Gets Ugly Afterwards?

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My Davis Vantage Pro2 Home Weather In Carlsbad, NM.  This Mornings Low Coldest Of The Season.

Coldest Night Of The Season Ahead - Stormy Thanksgiving Week?

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New Mexico MODIS Visible Satellite Images Yesterday 11-20-2015.
Snow covers some of the higher mountain peaks of western, northwestern, and northern New Mexico. As well as Sierra Blanca Peak west of Ruidoso, New Mexico. A strong winter storm has the potential to bring more snow to the state late next week into the weekend.

I Am An American Man - Don't Get Stupid!

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Friends come and go, such is life. Our families are who we are, they are why we men put up with crap every day that we wouldn't ordinarily put up with. We live for them, because of them, and are willing to die for them.The most important things in my life (our lives) are: God, our wives, our children, our mothers, brothers, sisters, etc. Last but hardly the least of all is our country...America.To the foolish of this world be careful, be very very careful, when you consider attacking/terrorizing any of these. We are not afraid to stand up and defend those who we love. Fear has no place in our hearts, our backs are not yellow, our spines are not weak. We will rush headlong into the face of hell to defend them!
My blood runs red thanks to my Irish and native American ancestry. My loyalty to the above never wavers. My faith, love, and trust in those that I love is unshakable. I am an American man...fear this if you get stupid!Wendell L. Malone 11-19-2015.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fic…

Wild & Windy Yesterday - Blustery Today.

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RTMA Temperatures @ 4 AM MST This Morning.
A wild day yesterday weather-wise. Blizzard conditions in northeastern Colorado, and overnight in northeastern New Mexico.  Severe thunderstorms produced damaging winds, large hail, and even a couple of long track large tornadoes in the Texas Panhandle. Peak wind gusts in the local area were impressive as well. Today will be blustery and cooler. Wind Advisories continue in effect for the local area. 

HIgh Winds S/E/SE NM Today. Heavy Snow Northern NM Mtns. Severe T-Storms In West Texas.

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GFS 250 MB (34,000' MSL) Jet Stream Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Today.
A potent winter storm will slide eastward across northern New Mexico and southern Colorado today. Wild weather will rule the weather today. High winds will impact much of New Mexico. Heavy snows will impact the mountains of northern New Mexico where Winter Storm Warnings are in effect. Blizzard Warnings are in effect for northeastern Colorado. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for much of western and northwestern New Mexico. Late this afternoon severe thunderstorms will erupt across western, northwestern, and north central Texas northward into Oklahoma and Kansas. Discrete supercell thunderstorms will produce large to very large hail and a few tornadoes. Several squall lines are also forecast to develop which will pose and enhanced risk for damaging thunderstorm wind gusts.

Thunderstorms Today Into Tonight. Windy & Turning Colder Monday.

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GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday.
A powerful winter storm developing along the Pacific Northwest Coast early this morning will continue to dive southeastward today into Monday. The storm will be located over central California by sunset today, northwestern Arizona by sunrise Monday, and over northern New Mexico and southern Colorado by sunset Monday.

Rain Showers & T-Storms Return Tonight Into Monday. Potential For A Major Winter Storm To Affect The State Beginning Monday.

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ECMWF 500 Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday.
NWS SPC Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook. Valid from 5 AM MST Monday - 5 AM MST Tuesday.
A weak disturbance riding the subtropical jet stream to our south and southwest will increase our chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms starting tonight and ramping up Sunday into Monday. Severe weather may break out over parts of the area eastward into West Texas Sunday afternoon and more so on Monday.
An unusually strong and cold mid-upper level storm is forecast by the models to dig southeastward to the Four Corners area by Monday afternoon. They then differ on whether or not this powerful winter storm will then slide east across northern New Mexico or continue digging southeastward into southeast New Mexico and West Texas.
Northern New Mexico and possibly northeastern New Mexico are under the gun with this one. If the storm tracks just right the potentially could be looking at 1'-3' of snow (feet not inches) as was mentioned in this morn…

Windy Tonight Into Wednesday. Historic Look At El Nino Winter 1987-88 In S/SE NM.

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Click On This Link For The Latest Updated NWS Watches/Warnings/Statements.
A potent early winter storm will roar out of the Rockies tonight and out onto the central plains states tonight into Wednesday. Ahead of it strong to high winds will impact areas from southeastern Arizona northeastward into New Mexico this afternoon into Wednesday. Winter Storm Warnings, Winter Storm Watches, Blizzard Warnings, and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for parts of Colorado, southeastern Wyoming, southwestern Nebraska, and northwestern Kansas. 

Windy Wx Returns To NM - Blizzards & Severe Wx Across The Plains Tue Night - Wed.

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NWS Storm Prediction Center Day 3 Severe Weather Outlook.
An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms for Wed (11/11)
"Severe thunderstorms associated with hail and wind damage are expected to develop in the Great Plains Wednesday morning. The severe threat should increase by afternoon as thunderstorms with wind damage and tornadoes move quickly eastward across the Mississippi Valley. The severe threat should reach the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys by evening."
Wild weather for early November by mid week. A strong mid-upper level storm is forecast to swing southeastward out of the Pacific Northwest and across northern Arizona on Tuesday. By Tuesday night into Wednesday this next storm will swing eastward across northern New Mexico. This means strong to high winds for much of the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. 
Blizzard conditions are possible for parts of the areas east of Denver, Colorado Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Meanwhile a late season severe weather outbreak will …

Check Out New Mexico From The MODIS Satellite Vantage Point Today.

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How many features can you pick out in these high resolution MODIS visible satellite images? Snow covered peaks and valleys of northern and western New Mexico. Notice how the low clouds are banked up against the central mountain chain of the state including the Sacramento mountains of south-central New Mexico. If you look closely you can see that the highest parts of Sierra Blanca Peak west of Ruidoso still has snow on it. White Sands looks cool too.



The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Cold This Morning In New Mexico.

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Frost @ The Inn Of The Mountain Of Gods Golf Course. 10-31-2015.
Most of southeastern New Mexico did see the first freeze of the season this morning. Some of us did not. My low temp here at the house in Carlsbad was 36°F. 

Freeze Warning For Parts Of SE NM - Decent Snowfall Totals For AZ & NM.

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Downtown Ruidoso, NM 10-30-2015. 
Today was windy across much of New Mexico. In fact this is the first strong wind event for southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas for this fall. These strong winds will die down tonight with clear skies and a colder drier airmass in place most of the local area will see its first frost/freeze of the season. Low temps will fall into the 30's at the lower elevations and the 20's in the higher mountain valleys of the Sacramento, Capitan, and Guadalupe mountains. A Freeze Warning has been issued for Chaves and northern Lea Counties. 

First Frost Freeze Friday Morning - More Snow For Ski Apache.

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Our Grandkids Chalk Art & Falling Leaves. Summer Is Gone...Hello Fall.
Get ready for changes in our local weather. This in spite of the fact that the Carlsbad airport has reached a high temp of at least 80°F so far this afternoon. I've managed to get up to 81°F here at our home in town. Our first freeze/frost of the season will occur late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Ski Apache is going to get some more snow too. 

First Frost Friday Morning? - 2015-2016 NM Winter Outlook.

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November is starting out warmer than normal but this will change later this week. Two cold fronts and an approaching storm will impact the state tonight into Saturday. Snow will spread over the higher mountains of western and northern New Mexico tonight into Thursday. Will southeastern New Mexico see its first frost Friday morning?

Sierra Blanca Peak Ruidoso, NM 10-30,31-2015.

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October 30th, 2015.







October 31, 2015.






Not every year can you see snow on Sierra Blanca Peak west of Ruidoso, New Mexico before Halloween. This year 6"-8" of the white stuff fell on the mountain on the night of the 29th and into the afternoon of the 30th. My wife and I spent a beautiful weekend at the Inn of the Mountain Of Gods where I took most of these photos and the time lapse video. 
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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