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Showing posts from January, 2016

Dangerous High Winds/Blowing Dust/Extreme Fire Danger - Southern/Southeastern/Eastern New Mexico & West Texas Monday!

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Monday's Winds Have Me Worried!
Today's 18Z/11 AM MST NAM-4KM 700 MB (10,000' MSL) Wind Forecast. Valid @ 2 PM MST Monday, February 1, 2016.
Courtesy Of The Midland NWS Office.
Blog Updated @ 7:12 AM MST Monday, February 1, 2016.
High Wind Warning Chaves & Lincoln Co's. SW-W Winds Today Sustained At 35-50 MPH Gusting To 55-65 MPH.
High Wind Warning Eddy/Lea/Culberson Co's & Parts W TX. SE NM Plains- SW-W Winds Today Sustained At 30-50 MPH Gusting To 70 MPH! Guadalupe Mtns- SW-W Winds Today Sustained At 50-70 MPH Gusting To 100 MPH!
High Wind Warning Southern NM/Southern Sacramento Mtns/W TX. Southern NM Lowlands- SW-W Winds Sustained At 35-45 MPH Gusting To 60 MPH! Southern Sacramento Mtns- SW-W Winds Sustained At 35-45 MPH Gusting To 70 MPH!
Blowing Dust Advisory Today. Eddy/Lea/Culberson Counties & Parts Of West Texas.
Winter Weather Advisory. Southern Sacramento Mtns- New Snowfall 2"-5". Near Blizzard Conditions!
Peak Wind Gusts Already This Morning Across…

High Wind/Blowing Dust Event On Monday Across Parts Of NM & W TX!

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High Winds Raking The Guadalupe's.
Strong winds aloft blowing across the Guadalupe Mountains yesterday created these mountain wave clouds or lenticular clouds southwest-west of Carlsbad, New Mexico. Blowing spray can also be seen coming up over the dam on the river as a result of these gusty southwesterly winds at the surface.



High winds continue to howl across the Guadalupe Mountains early this Sunday morning. As of 4:30 AM MST the Bowl Raws located just north of Guadalupe Peak has already clocked a peak wind gust of 92 mph in the past 24 hours. Guadalupe Pass last reported a peak gust of 79 mph. The ASOS was not reporting as of 4:30 AM MST this morning. Seems like this site goes down every time there is a high wind event up there. Pine Springs has reported a peak gust of 77 mph. Raton has clocked a gust of 70 mph at the airport and the Sierra Blanca Regional airport northeast of Ruidoso has recorded a peak gust of 66 mph. Additional peak wind gusts can be found via this link.
San…

Near Record To Record Warm Temps & Windy Today.

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Our Next Winter Storm Is Southeast Bound.
RAP 500 MB Analysis @ 8 AM MST This Morning.
That yellow X circled in yellow northwest of Seattle, Washington is our next inbound Winter Storm that will have significant and varied impacts upon New Mexico's and surrounding areas weather today into Tuesday. 
Storm's Forecast Track.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST Canadian (GEM) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11 PM MST Monday, February 1, 2016.  This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST US Model (GFS) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11 PM MST Monday, February 1, 2016. 
Last Nights 00Z/5 PM MST European (ECMWF) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday, February 1, 2016. 
Both the US (GFS) and the Canadian (GEM) models have similar tracks and speeds forecasted for this next Winter Storm to impact the area. These models have the center of the mid-upper level storm (500 millibar level or the 18,000' MSL) near the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles by around midnight Monday. The NAM model (not shown above) pretty much agrees with …

Highs Winds - High Fire Danger - Colder Temps & Snow Return To New Mexico.

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PowerHouse Jet Keeps Storm Track Active.
This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST GFS 250 MB (34,000' MSL) Jet Stream Analysis.
A powerhouse of a jet stream (as depicted by the graphic above at the 34,000 foot level) is currently slicing across the Pacific Ocean. A jet stream wind speed max of 231 knots or 266 mph is shown just north of Japan. These really fast winds speeds in the jet stream contain a lot of energy or lift which is forming some potent storms which cycle eastward from Japan to the Gulf of Alaska and the Pacific Northwest US Coastline. So in short the jet stream continues to help produce some powerful winter storms out over the Pacific Ocean (in this very strong El NiƱo winter) which eventually slam into the Western US Coastline. 
Powerful Winter Storm Headed To New Mexico.
This Mornings GFS 250 MB (34,000' MSL) Jet Stream Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday, February 1, 2016. 
This Mornings GFS 500 MB "Heights" Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday, February 1, 2016. 
A p…

Fast Moving Storm To Dump Light Snowfall Across Parts of SE NM.

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Blizzard Of 2016 Snowfall Reports.



Measuring Mix-Up Leaves DC With Unreported Snow Total.
Cooler Today - Colder Tuesday With Some Snow.
GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Tuesday, January 26, 2016.
GFS Temperature Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Tuesday, January 26, 2016.
GFS Surface Forecast. Valid @ 11 AM MST Tuesday, January 26, 2016.
As one upper level disturbance departs the state today a second one will drop southward through New Mexico later today and into southern New Mexico by tomorrow morning. This next system will be a little colder and wetter therefore snow is in our local forecast. Most of the heavier snows are forecast to fall across northeastern and eastern New Mexico late this afternoon into Tuesday.
 A mix of light rain and light snow is forecast for the southeastern plains. Light rain and snow showers should enter the local area (Chaves and Lincoln Counties first) late tonight or early Tuesday morning and end before midnight Tuesday night. 
Courtesy Of The Midland …

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