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Showing posts from February, 2016

Our Break From Spring Like Weather Is Over - Winter Has Returned.

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Sierra Blanca Peak At Sunset Friday, February 19, 2016. 
Regional Radar @ 9:31 MST This Morning.
NWS Precipitation Analysis As Of 5 AM MST This Morning.
24-Hour Rainfall Totals As Of 9 AM MST This Morning.
24-Hour Lightning Strike Summary As Of 9:30 AM MST This Morning.
24-Hour Reported Peak Wind Gusts. As Of 9 AM MST This Morning. 
As of 9 AM MST this morning a mid-upper level low was centered near Wichita Falls, Texas with a trough of low pressure and embedded disturbances located over New Mexico behind the storm. This is the storm that has produced the snow and rain over the state since yesterday.
A broken line of thunderstorms developed late yesterday afternoon across the Tularosa Basin and extended northeastward into northeastern New Mexico. This line of storms moved southeastward along and ahead of a cold front and into southeastern New Mexico early yesterday evening, producing frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes, light to moderate rain showers, and a few reports of small hai…

You Know When Its 91°F In February In NM Something Is Up. It Is - Winter Returns Mon & Tue.

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Sierra Blanca Peak At Sunset 2-19-2016.
Canadian (GEM) Forecasts.
500 MB Forecast Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.
Temperature Forecast Valid @ 5 PM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.
Storm Total Rainfall Forecast Valid @ 11 PM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.
Accumulated Snowfall Forecast Valid @ 11 PM MST Tuesday, February 23, 2016.
WPC Accumulated Snowfall Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Wednesday, February 24, 2016.
This past Thursday was a rather remarkable day for the local area. Roswell topped out with a high temperature of 91°F at the Airport which not only established a record high for the day (beating the old record of 83°F in 1986) but also established a new all time high for the month of February (beating the old record of 88°F set on Feb 24, 1904). This was also the earliest that Roswell had reached 90°F beating the previous record of 90°F on March 2, 1967. \
Here in Carlsbad I recorded a high temperature of 90°F last Thursday. The Carlsbad Climate Co-Op Station and th…

Ridiculously Warm Today - Downright Hot On Thursday.

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Temps Today & Thursday 15°F-25°F Above Normal.
Forecast Temperature Anomalies Today @ 5 PM MST. 
Forecast High Temps Today.
Forecast High Temps Today.
Thursday's Outlooks.
Forecast Temperature Anomalies Thursday @ 5 PM MST..
Forecast High Temps Thursday.
Forecast High Temps Thursday.
Local NWS 7-Day Forecasts.



Hot, dry, and a bit on the windy side will characterize Thursday's weather across much of the area. A few spots are going to flirt with the 90°F mark believe it or not.  Today's will be abnormally warm as well with highs mostly in the mid-upper 70's.A Fire Weather Watchhas been issued for southeastern New Mexico and nearby areas for Thursday.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Warm Week Ahead - Record High Temps Possible Wed & Thu.

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Temperature Anomaly Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Thursday, February 18,2016.

NWS Albuquerque Forecast Highs/Records Thursday.

Forecast High Temperatures Today.

Forecast High Temperatures On Tuesday.

Forecast High Temperatures On Wednesday.

Forecast High Temperatures On Thursday.

Forecast High Temperatures For Friday.

NWS Forecasts This Week.






High temperatures across the area this week will continue to remain above normal. By Thursday which is forecast to be the warmest day of the week locally our highs will be running some 15°F to 25°F above normal. Notice that the GFS model is even forecasting a high of 90°F in the Wink/kermit/Pecos, Texas area on Thursday. 
Many locations will likely tie or break their daily high temperature records on Wednesday and more so on Thursday. Rather unusual for the middle of February but not totally unheard of.
Local Record High Temps For Thursday, Feb 18, 2016.
Roswell 83°F 1996. Artesia 83°F 1970. Carlsbad 82°F 1977. Carlsbad Arpt 85°F 1996. Tatum 78°F 2011. Hobbs…

Solar Cycle #24 Lowest Activity In 200 Years.

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Current Image Of The Sun - February 13, 2016. 
Our big bright yellow star continues to exhibit lower than average sunspot activity as solar cycle #24 comes to a close in a couple of years. The sunspot number in January was 56.6, which is 71% of the mean this far into the period, calculated using the 23 previously measured solar cycles. The current level of solar activity with solar cycle #24 is being compared to solar cycle #5 which occurred in the beginning of May 1798 and ended in December 1810 (thus falling within the Dalton Minimum 1790-1830).

Weakest Solar Cycle In More Than A Century Now Heading Towards The Next Solar Minimum. 

"The current solar cycle, #24, is the weakest solar cycle in more than a century and it is now heading towards the next solar minimum phase which would be the beginning of solar cycle #25.  The last solar minimum phase lasted from 2007 to 2009 and it was historically weak. In fact, it produced three of the most spotless days on the sun since the middle…

Yesterday Saw 70's & 80's In NM & AZ.

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Temperatures @ 3 PM MST Wednesday, February 10, 2016.



NWS MesoWest Reported High Temps Wednesday.



Yesterday's afternoon high temperatures were some 10-20 degrees above normal across the local area, and there was very little if any wind, it was hard to complain about our weather given that its the middle of February. Today's afternoon highs are forecast to be near 70°F. Compare this to the arctic onslaught currently invading the northern and northeastern areas of the nation.
Temperatures @ 6 AM MST This Thursday, February 11, 2016. (-10°F To -30°F.)


The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Roswell, New Mexico Drops Down To -29°F On February 13, 1905.

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Id Bet More Than One Person Felt This Way In Roswell, NM On The Morning Of Feb 13, 1905.
Roswell, New Mexico Establishes All Time Record Low Temperature. (-29°F On February 13, 1905 - A Record That Still Stands 111 Years Later).







Roswell Daily Record February 14, 1905.




Very few National Weather Service Climate Co-Op weather stations were operating in southeastern New Mexico in February 1905. In June of 1905 a station was opened up in Artesia but too late to record the extreme cold noted earlier in the year.
So based on public reports as well as local climatology records the thermometer has dropped to thirty below zero twice in our known history (1893-2016). The first time was on February 13, 1905 and the second occurrence was on Feb 8, 1933. 
Reported Low Temperatures Feb 13, 1905-
Roswell -29°F (Public reported temperatures as low as -32°F).  Arabela -24°F Carlsbad -5°F Fort Stanton -3°F Elk -1°F
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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