RUT ROW IS RIGHT- If This Mornings 12Z Model Forecasts Pan Out.


Blog Updated @ 3:11 PM MDT. 


No kidding "Rut Row" if this mornings 12Z run of the US GFS forecast model pans out. Trouble ahead this weekend into the first of the week from El Paso northeastward into southeastern New Mexico. Its forecasting 5" to 7" rainfall totals for the lowlands and 10+" for the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan Mountains. That would lead to a serious flash flood event!


Valid @ 6 AM MDT Tuesday, August 16, 2016.

(Storm Total Rainfall Amounts - Courtesy Of Pivotal Weather).

Valid @ 6 AM MDT Tuesday, August 16, 2016.

This graphic depicts two excessive rainfall bullseye's. One over the Queen area in the Guadalupe Mountains west of Carlsbad with a storm total by next Tuesday morning of 13.63". The second just south of Cloudcroft in the Sacramento Mountains with 14.54".

 Again its too early to try and pinpoint exactly where and how much the heaviest rains will be. But the current theme is "The Potential For Widespread Excessive Rainfall That May Lead To Flash Flooding" this weekend into early next week.

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