GFS 500 MB Analysis At 11 PM MST Last Night.
A cold trough of low pressure at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere is swinging eastward across the area early this morning. This first storm has produced snow across parts of New Mexico and the Sacramento Mountains. Snowfall updates will be posted late today.
GFS 500 MB Forecast.
Valid At 5 AM MST Tuesday, Nov 29, 2016.
A second short wave will swing eastward across the state tonight into Tuesday. This will bring more snow to parts of the state especially across the mountains of the north.
A Winter Weather Advisory continues in effect for the southern Sacramento Mountains until 7 AM this morning. Ski Apache could see storm total snowfall amounts of around 6" by tomorrow. Winter Weather Advisories are also in effect for the northwestern one third of the state today into Tuesday.
(Caution These Are Experimental Products).
Our main weather impacts today in southeastern New Mexico and surrounding areas will be the strong westerly winds. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for the Guadalupe Mountains today into this evening for westerly winds sustained at 40 to 55 mph with gusts to around 75 mph.
A Wind Advisory is in effect for Eddy and Culberson Counties today until sunset for westerly winds sustained at 25 to 35 mph with gusts near 50 mph. Wind Advisories are also in effect for Lincoln County, eastern New Mexico, and parts of southern New Mexico. Localized areas of blowing dust may also occur and yes the needle grass will fly again today in southeastern New Mexico.
A cold front will sweep southeastward across the area tonight into tomorrow morning bringing colder temps with it. Our forecast highs Tuesday into Friday will be in the 50's with lows in the 20's across the southeastern plains.
Valid Today Into 11 AM MST Wednesday.
GFS 500 MB Forecast.
Valid At 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 4, 2016.
All three long range models (GFS, ECMWF, GEM) drop a strong cutoff low into the Baja region this upcoming weekend. That's about all they are agree on too. The models are all over the play with the location, track, speed, and outcome of this storm. So its impacts upon the region are still up in the air. There remains the potential for snow over the area some of which could be heavy especially in the mountains.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!