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Wednesday Afternoon & Wednesday Nights Local Rainfall Totals.

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El Paso NWS Dual Pol Doppler Radar  Estimated Rainfall Totals Wednesday Afternoon.

Holloman AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar  Estimated Rainfall Totals Wednesday Afternoon.

Tularosa Basin Rainfall Totals. Wednesday Afternoon.

Pecos Valley Rainfall. Wednesday Night.

CoCoRaHS Rainfall Totals. In The Northern Sacramento Mountains Wednesday Night.



CoCoRaHS Rainfall Totals. In The Pecos Valley Wednesday Night.

Weather Underground Rainfall Totals Wednesday Afternoon.


Rainfall Totals From Wednesday Night.

A Brief Break Wednesday & Thursday.

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8-11-2019. High Based T-Storms Southwest Of Hope.
Wide swatches of the local area remain parched and burnt from the lack of rain and heat.
NAM 3K Forecast High Temps.
Today.

Wednesday.

NAM 3K Composite Radar Forecast.
Valid At 5 PM Wednesday Afternoon.
NAM Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.
Valid At 6 AM MDT Thursday.
So far this summer I've reached 100º or higher on 31 days here at our home in northwest Carlsbad. Forecast highs today in the Pecos Valley will average around 99º to 103º.
A couple of the forecast models offer some brief relief from the heat late Wednesday afternoon into Thursday night. A complex of thunderstorms (MCS) is forecast to move southward down the plains and into the Pecos Valley late Wednesday. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with a the stronger storms possibly producing rainfall totals of around 1" to 2". 
Notice that the NAM forecast model (depicted above) shows this complex of thunderstorms rolling into the Roswell and Artesia areas before 6 PM Wednes…

SE New Mexico's Flash Flood Threats.

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Flash Flooding In The Last Chance Arroyo.
8-11-2019. Last Chance Arroyo Flooding This Morning. Courtesy Of Teresa McDonald Brogdon Of Queen.
Last Chance Arroyo Crossing Location.

State Highway 137 (the Queen Highway) crosses the Last Chance Arroyo (Normally Dry) just below Queen and west-southwest of Carlsbad. 
Local Radar/Satellite Estimated Rainfall Totals.
Estimated 24-Hour Total. (As Of 9 AM MDT Sunday, August 11, 2019).

Estimated 48-Hour Total. (As Of 9 AM MDT Sunday, August 11, 2019).

Estimated 72-Hour Total. (As Of 9 AM MDT Sunday, August 11, 2019).


Heavy Rains Fall On The Guadalupe Rim Above Sitting Bull Falls.
 Yesterday afternoon radar and satellite data estimated that around 1.60" of rain fell on top of the Guadalupe mountain rim west of the Last Chance Arroyo crossing on St. Hwy 137. 
But going back 72-hours it was estimate that nearly 3" of rain has fallen over this same exact spot. Highly localized but with potential deadly results. Localized thunderstorms producing heavy to…

Excessive Rainfall (3" - 7") Fell Southwest Of Cloudcroft, NM - Friday, August 9, 2019.

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GRLevel3 2.0 Storm Total Rainfall Estimates.
(As Of 8:55 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019). NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Dual Pol Doppler Radar.
(As Of 8:05 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019). NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Dual Pol Doppler Radar.
(As Of 9:08 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019). NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Dual Pol Doppler Radar.
(As Of 8:55 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019). Holloman AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar.
(As Of 8:03 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019). Holloman AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar.
(As Of 9:12 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019). Holloman AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar.
NM CoCoRaHS 24-Hour Reported Rainfall Totals. (As Of 10 AM MDT Saturday, August 10, 2019).

I will update my blog post later as additional rainfall totals and information about this event become available. Note how isolated this excessive heavy rainfall event was. Only a small area around the Cloudcroft area received the heaviest rains Friday afternoon! This is typical for New Mexico.
 Regional Radar Estimated 24-Hour Rainfall …

100º Temps Of The Dog Days Of Summer Drag On.

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Regional RTMA Temperatures.
 At 4 PM MDT Wednesday, August 7, 2019.
NWS NDFD Forecast High Temperatures.
Thursday.

Friday.

Saturday.

Sunday.

NWS Forecast For Carlsbad, New Mexico.

So the dog days of summer drag on. Just about the only hope for relief in the near term will be an isolated shower or thunderstorm roaming around in the late afternoon or overnight hours. Such was the case this morning in the Roswell and Carlsbad areas. And across the mountains this afternoon.
PWS Rainfall Totals Since Midnight Tuesday.


Local CoCoRaHS 24-Hour Rainfall Totals. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Wednesday Morning).
Cannon AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar.

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