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Changes Coming New Year's Weekend.

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- December 26, 2016

This Mornings GFS 500 MB Analysis. Valid At 5 AM MST. Changes Coming New Year's Weekend?

NWS Albuquerque Burn Scar Matrix

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My Storm Chasing

. Lea County NM - 4-25-2025
. May 4, 2024 Wink/Kermit Chase
. May 2, 2024 My First Chase Of The Year
. Oct 2nd, 2023 Hwy 137 Supercell
. May 19th , 2023
. June 3rd, 2022
. June 1st, 2022
. May 24th, 2022
. May 1st, 2022
. May 30th, 2021 #4
. May 30th, 2021 #3
. May 30th, 2021 #2
. May 30th, 2021 #1
. May 22nd, 2021.
. May 4th, 2019
. May 22nd, 2018
. Sept 23rd, 2017
. Sept 16th, 2016
. Sept 15th, 2016
. June 8th, 2014 #2
. June 8th, 2014 #1
. June 7th, 2014
. May 23rd, 2014 #2
. May 23rd, 2014 #1
. May 26th, 2013
. May 24th, 2013
. June 15th, 2012
. June 13th, 2012
. May 14th, 2012
. Thoughts May 10, 2012
. May 7th, 2012
. April 11th, 2012

Local Sever T-Storms

. Storm Summary 5-5-2025
. 7-Rivers/Lakewood Hail 11-2-2024
. Carlsbad Wet Microburst 7-4-2022
. Carlsbad Wet Microburst 6-26-2022
. Svr T-Storm 10 S Artesia 6-1-2019
. NM Severe T-Storms 6-3-2018
. Carlsbad's Hail Storm 5-22-2018
. Supercell T-Storm #2 9-23-2017
. Supercell T-Storm #1 9-23-2017
. Carlsbad Hail 5-22-2017
. Artesia Supercell 9-17-2016
. Cottonwood-Lake Arthur 10-21-2015
. Carlsbad Wet Microburst 6-20-2015
. Red Hills Lightning 8-9-2015
. SE NM Severe Weather 3-31-2015
. Pecos Valley 7-20-2014
. Artesia's Hail Storm 6-9-2014
. Carlsbad Supercell 5-24-2014
. Carlsbad Svr T-Storm 6-20-2013
. Nogal Hail 6-23-2012
. Dora Supercell 6-12-2012
. Artesia Shelf Cloud 5-17-2012
. Artesia Supercell #2 5-13-2012
. Artesia Supercell #1 5-13-2012
. Eddy Co Supercell 5-07-2012
. Supercells In SE NM 5-3-2012

Local Tornadoes

. Carlsbad Landspout Tornadoes 5-29-2025
. Artesia Landspout 1-4-2024
. Carlsbad Funnel Cloud - 6-5-2019
. Hope Tornado 6-4-2019
. Dexter Tornado 3-12-2019
. Malaga Tornado 3-12-2019
. Picacho Tornadoes 5-23-2018
. Hope Tornadoes 9-16-2016
. Carlsbad Landspout 6-29-2013
. Ruidoso Landspout 5-26-2015
. Roswell Funnel 5-5-2015
. Tornadoes In SE NM #2 4-6-2012
. Tornadoes In SE NM #1 4-3-2012
. Roswell Funnel 11-13-2010
. Artesia Landspout 7-15-2010
. Roswell Tornado #2 10-21-2010
. Roswell Tornado #1 10-21-2010
. Artesia Landspout 7-15-2010
. Carlsbad Tornado 5-31-1991
. SE NM Tornado Videos
. Could It Happen Here?
. Limited Tornado History In SE NM 1950-2011.

Local Flash Floods

. Roswell Flash Flooding 6-22-2025
. Roswell Catastrophic Flash Flooding 10-19-2024
. Ruidoso Flash Flooding 7-16-2024
. SW Chaves & Eddy Counties 8-31-2024
. Ruidoso Flash Flooding 7-2-2024
. St Hwy 13 Flash Flooding 5-11-2024
. TS Harold Rainfall Summary 8-24-2023
. SE NM Flooding Summary 8-28-2022
. Torrential Rainfall SE NM 8-24-2022
. Roswell 4" Rainfall 6-26-2022
. Dark Canyon During/After 7-6-2021
. Dark Canyon 6-29-2021
. Bonito Lake 8-5-2020
. Historic Rainfall March 4-5, 2020
. SE NM Rain (2"-9") 10-6-2019
. Cloudcroft Rain (3"-7") 8-9-19
. Rio Penasco 10-5-2017
. Record Rainfall Sept 2014
. Flash Flooding 9-25-2014
. Flash Flooding 9-23-2014
. Flash Flooding 9-21-2014
. Eddy Co Flash Flooding 9-19-2014
. Rio Penasco 9-15/18-2013
. Flash Flooding 9-14-2013
. Flash Flooding 9-13-2013
. Flash Flooding 9-12-18-2013
. Flash Flooding 9-12-2013
. Dark Canyon 8-10-2012
. Ruidoso 7-26-28-2008
. Flash Flooding 8-27-2005

Local Winter Wx

. April Snow 4-4/5-2025
. Black Friday Winter Storm 11-27-2022
. Feb 2021 Polar Outbreak #2
. Feb 2021 Polar Outbreak #1
. W TX Snow Dec 30 - Jan 1, 2021
. Historic Oct 2020 NM Snowstorm
. Feb 4-6, 2020 Snowfall Totals
. Cloudcroft & Ruidoso Seasonal Snowfall
. Rcd Cold & Snow Oct 2019.
. 3-Day Storm Dec 26-29 2018
. Svr T-Storms 1-15-2017
. Blizzard 1-1-2016
. Blizzard 12-30-2015
. Blizzard 12-28-2015
. Blizzard 12-27-2015
. White Christmas #2 2011
. White Christmas #1 2011
. Snow B4 Halloween 10-27-2011
. Christmas Snowstorm 1997
. Feb 4,5 1988 Snowstorm
. April 4-9, 1983 Snowstorm
. Heavy Snow Nov 13th-15th, 1961
. Carlsbad Snowfall Records
. Yes It Has Snowed In May Before

High Winds & Dust Storms

. Artesia DS Brownouts 3-18-2025
. Peak Winds/Dust Storms March 14-15, 2025
. Peak Wind Gusts March 3, 2025
. High Winds SE NM - Feb 26, 2023.
. Peak Wind Gust Summary - 2-22-2023.
. Carlsbad Airport 78 MPH 2-14-2023
. Nogal 94 MPH 12-29-2022
. High Winds & Tatum Fire March 29, 2022
. Artesia Blowing Dust - 4-12-2022
. High Winds/Dust Storm 4-10-2019
. Cloudcroft 107 MPH 3-13-2019
. Artesia Dust Storm 2-28-2012
. Widespread Haboob 6-05-2013
. Haboob - Oct 17, 2011
. 128 MPH Gust At Guadalupe Pass Jan 17, 1996 - Wind Farm Gust of 164 MPH

Local Wild Fires

. DEW's Cause Of Ruidoso Fires 7-16-2024
. Ruidoso, NM Forest Fires - June 24, 2024
. Ruidoso NM Forest Fires - June 21, 2024
. Ruidoso, NM Forest Fires - June 19, 2024
. Pine Lodge Fire 6-27-2019
. Little Bear Fire #3 7-02-2012
. Little Bear Fire #2 6-11-2012
. Little Bear Fire #1 6-10-2012
. White Fire #2 4-11-2011
. White Fire #1 4-11-2011

New Mexico Extremes

. *** 2024 Ruidoso Burn Scar StoryMap ***
. NM State Fair Wx History
. Lea County May 31st, 2023.
. Lea Co 130 MPH Winds May 31st, 2023
. Ruidoso High Wind Event 12-28-2022
. Bomb Cyclone March 12-13, 2019
. Eagle Nest Tornado - 8-9-2018
. Feb 2011 Cold NWS El Paso
. High Winds - Dec 8, 2009
. The Decade's Top Weather Events
. 1941 NM Extreme Rainfall
. 1941 - Wettest Year On Record
. Flooding In New Mexico

NWS Regional Summaries

. NWS Midland 2024 Year In Review
. NWS Albuquerque 2024 Year In Review
. NWS Lubbock 2024 Year In Review
. NWS Midland 2023 Year In Review
. NWS Albuquerque 2023 Year In Review
. NWS El Paso 2023 Year In Review
. NWS Lubbock 2023 Year In Review
. NWS Midland 2022 Year In Review
. NWS Albuquerque 2022 Year In Review
. NWS El Paso 2022 Year In Review
. Saragosa, TX Tornado - 35th Anniversary
. Black Friday 11/25/2022
. NM Cold & Snow February 2021
. W Tx Cold & Snow February 2021
. February 2021 Deep Freeze
. Feb 9-16, 2021 Record Cold & Snow
. W Tx Snowstorm 12-30-31-2020
. SE NM & W Tx 2020 Year In Review
. NM 10 Deadliest Tornadoes
. NM Tornado History 1883-2020
. Coldest Night In Texas

Local Holiday Climatology

. 4th Of July
. NM Thanksgiving Weather
. SE NM Christmas Holidays
. NM Christmas Climatology
. NM Historical White Christmas
. Lubbock Christmas Climatology

Record High Temps

. July 12, 2022
. June 11, 2022
. July 11, 2020
. July 10, 2020
. July 9, 2020
. 4th of July High Temp Records
. All-Time Local High Temp Records

Record Low Temps

. SE NM Lowest Temps
. Local Low Temp Records
. Yrs With Low Temps 0 Or Colder
. Arctic Cold Review Feb 2011
. High/Low Temps Feb 4, 2011
. Brutal Cold In NM #2 2-3-2011
. Brutal Cold #1 In NM 2-3-2011
. Coldest Mid-Oct In 125 Years
. Low Temps Jan 11, 1962
. 135 Degree Temp Spread In Feb

Global Cooling Not Warming

. NOAA Fact Check: Debunking Weather Modification Claims - And What I Believe.
. Climate Change & America's Future
. Our Sun Behaving Normally Or Not?
. Fake Weather News!
. The Pause Continues.
. What's Really Coming!
. Forecast For Solar Cycle 25.
. Another Little Ice Age Coming?

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Artesia, NM Mothership Supercell Thunderstorm. 9-17-2016.

- September 18, 2016

Blog Updated 9-19-2016 @ 6:31 PM MDT. Diane & I Chase A Monster Of A Supercell! Saturday, Sept 17, 2016. Courtesy Of Diane J. Malone. My Wife (Diane) And I Took Old Yo Crossing Rd. South Out Of Roswell And Finally Got Out In Front Of This Monster Of A Supercell Thunderstorm On St. Hwy 13. She Took This Photo Near Mile Marker 11. Pretty Much Describes Rural Southeastern New Mexico. 3:09 PM MDT: This Beast Had Multiple Wall Clouds That At Times Showed Slow Rotation And At Other Times Was Spinning Like A Top. This Was A Ground Hugger At Times As Well. Initially When This Storm Developed South Of Picacho It Was Showing A Northeastward Movement On Radar. That Didn't Last Long As It Intensified And Started Heading East Then Made A Right Turn (Right Mover) And Took Off To The Southeast. At Times Moving Southeastward At 15-20 MPH Then It Would Accelerating To 40 MPH. 3:47 PM MDT: We Are About 1 Mile West Of Hope In Western Eddy County On ...

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Monster Of A Snowstorm Coming This Christmas Weekend?

- December 21, 2015

New Mexico This Coming Christmas Weekend? Those of us who live in New Mexico have developed a unique sense of humor when it comes to our weather. I've often said that we live in a place where extremes more often than not are normal. Take for example the rest of this weeks forecast for Carlsbad depicted below. Latest NWS Forecast For Carlsbad, New Mexico. My high temperature here at our home yesterday was 74°F. Contrast that to what's coming this weekend...depicted below. Its not unusual at all to have high temps in the 70's or even the 80's ahead of a strong winter storm locally. We saw this with the major snowstorms in December 1987, December 1997, and February 2011, and with other strong winter storms too. Long Range Model Forecasts On Weekend Storm. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST European (ECMWF) 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. This Mornings 12Z/5 AM MST U.S. GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 11AM MST Sunday, Dec ...

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Powerful Winter Storm Is Hammering New Mexico! Worst Is Yet To Come.

- December 28, 2018

Blog Updated At 9:57 PM MST. Courtesy Of Glen Brazell. Shared On Twitter By Kerry Jones. Nearly 30" The Ground In Ruidoso, NM. Downtown Ruidoso, New Mexico. Ruidoso Web Cam Snapshot At 1:54 PM MST This Afternoon. National Weather Service Watches & Warnings In Effect. As Of 5 AM MST Friday, December 28, 2018. Click On This Link To Open Up The Latest Updated Map. Then Once The Map Opens Up, Click Anywhere On The Map To Be Re-directed To Your Area Of Interest. The NWS Office That Has Forecast And Warning Responsibility For That Location Will Have The Latest Weather Information Posted On Their Web Page. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Analysis. Valid At 11 PM MST Thursday Evening. As of midnight last night a slow moving and powerful closed upper level low was located over northern Arizona. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Today. This winter storm is forecast to continue sinking slowly ...

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25th Anniversary Of The Carlsbad, NM (May 31, 1991) Tornado Coming Up.

- May 27, 2016

Blog Updated @ 3:11 PM MDT. Click On The Photos & Newspaper Articles To Enlarge Them. On May 31, 1991 at 8:39 PM MDT a then rated (F-2 Tornado touched down 2.1 miles southeast of the Carlsbad Airport (as the crow flies) just southwest of the end of Wagonwheel Rd. A day and time that many local residents will never forget. Newspaper articles at the time reported conflicting reports (understandably so) concerning the damage, injuries, and the time of the tornado. To many residents this was a shock...not something that we are used to seeing or dealing with. The tornado touched down right at dusk. Cass Hernandez who was the Carlsbad Airport Security Guard at the time observed the tornado 2 miles southeast of the Airport as power flashes occurred from the tornado destroying power lines and transformers. It was eerie looking contrasted with the darkness and power flashes but there was no mistaking what was happening. The Tornado's path is circled in red...

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Major Winter Storm May Paralyze/Bury Parts Of NM & Nearby Areas Tonight Into Wednesday!

- October 25, 2020

Winter Storm Watches & Warnings Are In Effect - Click On This Link For Additional Details. U.S. GFS Storm Total Snowfall Forecast. Valid At 6 PM MDT Wednesday. Today's (Sunday) noon mdt run of the GFS forecast model is just plain nuts. Its trend has been to produce heavier snowfall totals and aerial coverages with each new run over the past day. This has me worried. 19" for Roswell, 12" for Artesia, 15" for Clovis, 28" for the Fort Sumner area, and 17" for Corona! This would be wild in the dead of winter but is absolutely unheard of in the part of the world in October! The last time we saw something like this come to pass was the Blizzard of December 27, 28, 29th, 2015. Will history repeats itself? I hope not but I will admit that I am worried. My feeling is that we will see snowfall accumulations of around 6" to 12" in SE NM and 6" to 18" in the mountains. GFS Freezing Rain Accumulation Forecast. Valid Tonight Through PM MDT Wednes...

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2011 Skywarn Spotter Training Classes & My Thoughts.

- March 18, 2011

Artesia, NM Skywarn Spotter Training Class. Midland National Weather Service Warning Coordination Meteorologist Pat Vesper. Midland National Weather Service Warning Coordination Meteorologist Pat Vesper. Roswell, NM Skywarn Spotter Training Class. Albuquerque National Weather Service Warning Coordination Meteorologist Kerry Jones. Albuquerque National Weather Service Meteorologist Daniel Porter. Albuquerque National Weather Service Meteorologist Daniel Porter & Warning Coordination Meteorologist Kerry Jones. Summary. Our first Eddy County Skywarn Spotter Training meeting kicked off in Artesia this past Monday night. A total of 16 people attended. This was down a little from the past couple of years. Our second class was held in Carlsbad Tuesday night and there were 17 people in attendance. This was about half as many people that attended last year. I will have to go back and check but there have been some 160 or so people in Eddy County sign up for our ...

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Tonight's GFS Is As Drunk As This Mornings ECMWF. Historic Snowstorm Next Weekend?

- December 20, 2015

GFS Drinking Same Kool-Aid As ECMWF? Tonight's 00Z/5 PM MST U.S. GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 AM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. Tonight's 00Z/5 PM MST U.S. GFS Surface Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Saturday, Dec 26, 2015. Tonight's 00Z/5 PM MST U.S. GFS Accumulated Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. U.S. GFS 10-Day Forecasts. Albuquerque, New Mexico. Clines Corners, New Mexico. Cannon Air Force Base - Clovis, New Mexico. Corona, New Mexico. Sierra Blanca Regional Airport - Ruidoso, New Mexico. Roswell, New Mexico. Artesia, New Mexico. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Hobbs, New Mexico. Guadalupe Pass, Texas. El Paso, Texas. Blog Updated @ 12:15 AM MST: Tonight's 00Z/5 PM MST ECMWF 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 5 PM MST Sunday, Dec 27, 2015. Just took a look at the tonight's run of the European model which just came in. Its forecasting snowfall totals of 26" fo...

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Are We Fixing To Go From Drought To Flood In SE NM?

- May 19, 2018

Blog Updated At 1:45 PM MDT Saturday, May 19, 2018. May 24, 2013. Looking Back To The West Of Hope. Big Changes Coming Starting Tonight. GFS 500 MB (18,000') Forecast. Valid At 6 PM MDT Monday, May 21, 2018. Surface Map Analysis. Valid At 6 AM MDT This Saturday Morning. Temperatures At 10 AM This Morning. Temperatures At 1 PM MDT This Afternoon. Now that's a stout cold front. Take a look at these temperatures as of 1 PM MDT this Saturday afternoon. As Southeastern New Mexico and West Texas climbs up into the 90's the plains of northeastern Colorado, most of Nebraska, Wyoming, and parts of Montana are in the 40's and 50's! NWS MesoWest Reported Low Temperatures This Morning. Surface Map Forecast. Strong Cold Front Arrives Late Tonight. A strong cold front is forecast to move southward down the Eastern Plains of New Mexico late tonight into Sunday morning. Low temperatures across the plains ...

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Major Winter Storm To Hammer New Mexico & West Texas Thanksgiving Week!

- November 24, 2019

Blog Updated At (;15 AM MST Sunday, Nov 24th, 2019. GFS 500 MB (18,000') Analysis. At 11 PM MST Saturday Night. GFS 500 MB (18,000') Forecast. Valid For 2 PM MST Tuesday. GFS 500 MB (18,000') Forecast. Valid For 5 AM MST Thanksgiving Morning. A Thanksgiving To Remember! Thanksgiving week this year will be one to remember it appears. As of this Sunday morning a cutoff upper level low remains parked well southwest of San Diego, California. This storm will get kicked to the southeast, weaken, and eventually get absorbed by a strong upper level trough of low pressure diving southward out of the northern Rockies on Tuesday. By Thanksgiving a large, deep, and cold mid-upper level closed low is forecast to be centered near central California. The other models are coming more in line with the GFS and its forecasts but there still remain differences in the timing, strength, and location of the storms to affect our area next week. Surface M...

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Highly Unusual Heavy Rain - Flash Flood Threat For SE NM & W TX Today Into Wednesday!

- March 03, 2020

NWS NDFD Storm Total Rainfall Forecasts. Valid Today Through 11 PM MST Thursday. NWS Midland Storm Total Rainfall Forecast. Thunderstorms - Heavy Rains - Flash Flooding! A highly unusual weather event (for March) is setting up for today into Wednesday night locally. A strong, slow-moving, mid and upper-level storm will approach the area today into Wednesday. This storm will pass south of the local area on Wednesday. This potent storm is pulling abundant mid and higher level subtropical moisture into the area from off of the Eastern Pacific Ocean and will continue to do so into Wednesday. Meanwhile a cold front located just north of us this morning will work slowly southward into SE NM and W TX today into tonight. A Pacific cold front will approach the area tonight from the west. A few Marginally Severe Thunderstorms may occur on today into this evening (mainly across West Texas to our south) and will be capable of producing large hail (the size of qu...

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This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.

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