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Pattern Shift Next Week.

Early this morning, temperatures are ranging from the low-upper 30's across SE NM. Most locations will experience, or at least come close to experiencing, a light freeze. A hard freeze is not going to occur for awhile though.

Our weather today into the weekend is still looking gorgeous...that is if you like balmy, sunny weather for the first of November. I don't, but most people do. We are still looking at our high temps in the low-mid 70's today and Saturday. Sunday will be even warmer with a few spots flirting with 80.

A shift in the upper air pattern is still being forecast by the models for next week. The first upper level trough is forecast to swing across northern New Mexico Monday and Tuesday. For southeast New Mexico, this still means above normal temperatures (highs in the low to maybe mid 80's) Monday and Tuesday. Gusty southwesterly-westerly winds will kick up starting Sunday afternoon, and will likely continue into at least Tuesday. Oh joy, I can't wait. This ought to further aggravate everyones allegories and sinus problems.

What happens from the middle of next week on is still a coin toss. The Jet Stream will send a couple of upper level storms southeastward out of the Pacific Northwest, and into the Desert Southwest. How strong they will be, how wet they will be, and to what extent they will impact the state is not very clear yet. But it appears that we are at least looking at the prospect of a stretch of cooler, if not colder weather, down the road in about a week. If we are lucky the mountains may see some of the white stuff.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!
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2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

2.1 Downtown Carlsbad, NM 30-Day Temps

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