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Connecting The Dots Between Solar Cycles/Volcano Activity & Their Role In Our Planets Weather & Climate Cycles.

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January 9, 2026. Stormy Winter Skies. West Of Hope, New Mexico.  Several years ago, during the middle of the very heated and controversial climate change propaganda and debates, a group of respected scientists publicly came out with this statement: "It's the sun, stupid." That may offend some, but to this day it remains one of my all-time favorite quotes.  The sun and its associated solar cycles drive the planet's climate and weather. Volcanoes also play a major role, and the sun plays a major role in how and when they erupt. When they reach the major or historical eruption stage, they alter the planets short term weather and long term climate cycles.  The solar cycles, especially the solar minima cycles and grand solar minimums have drastically altered our weather and climate throughout history. Most notably during the last Little Ice Age. Many believe we are due or overdue for another such event.  Add to this mix the sun's effects on the world's ocean temper...

Torrential Rainfall & Flash Flooding In Southern-Southeastern-South Central New Mexico 8-17-22-2022.


August 20, 2022.
Flooded Fields Draining Into Rocky Arroyo.
Just North Of The Rocky Arroyo Bridge On US Hwy 285

August 20, 2022.
Many Flooded Arroyo's Near Here.
Just North Of The Rocky Arroyo Bridge On US Hwy 285

August 20, 2022.
Flooded Rocky Arroyo.
Looking East From The US Hwy 285 Bridge.

Saturday, August 20, 2022.
NM State Hwy 137 & Rocky Arroyo.

Monday, August 22, 2022.
US Hwy 380 Bridge East Of Roswell, NM.

August 22, 2022.
Pecos River Flooding.
US Hwy 380 Bridge East Of Roswell, NM.

(7:06 AM MDT August 21, 2022).


(7:10 AM MDT August 21, 2022).


Cannon Air Force Base Dual Pol Doppler Radar Rainfall Estimates.



(As Of 6 AM MDT August 22, 2022).









(As Of 9 AM MDT Sunday, August 21, 2022).

(Wednesday, August 17 through Monday, August 22, 2022).

(9 AM MDT Wednesday, August 17 through 9 AM MDT Monday, August 22, 2022).


New Mexico CoCoRaHS 6-Day Rainfall Totals.
(9 AM MDT Wednesday, August 17 through 9 AM MDT Tuesday, August 23, 2022).


Radar and satellite estimates as per the National Weather Service MRMS site show that 11.41" of rain fell in the area shaded by light blue in the maps above. North of Roswell on the east side of US Highway 285, east of mile markers 39-46, in northern Chaves County.

So far (as of Tuesday, August 23rd) I haven't been able to find any collaborating rainfall reports online to substantiate this. I'm not saying this didn't happen I just don't have anything other than this radar site to verify those rainfall totals. Given the historic flooding on the Pecos River that continues from north of Roswell to south of Artesia due in part to runoff from the excessive rainfall in that area, I personally think these estimates may be valid. No doubt there has to be a rancher or local in that area that actually measured what fell...we can hope right? But getting ahold of that info has been tough so far if in fact, someone did measure that much rain.

Historically New Mexico's official greatest 24-hour rainfall total as measured by the National Weather Service Climate Co-Op Station Network is 11.28" at Lake Maloya in Colfax County on May 19, 1955. 

I am 64 years old and have lived all of my life (except for my time in the US Navy and a short period afterward) in the Artesia, Lakewood, and Carlsbad areas. My mother and stepdad built a grocery store in Artesia in the early 1960's. Our business was predominately with the area ranchers and farmers through the mid 1980's when the family business was sold. I spent my younger years talking with these farmers and ranchers as they shopped in our store...listening to their stories of our floods, droughts, heat waves, winter storms, bitter cold outbreaks, dust storms, etc. Most of this generation has passed away now. 

More than once I've been told that local ranchers have measured rainfall totals (storm totals usually occur over several days to a week, or two) of 10 inches, 20 inches, and even as high as 30 inches of rain in and around the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan mountains. This has happened occasionally throughout the past 100+ years according to these folks, local newspaper articles, and in some cases in our historical climatology records. 

A  couple of recent cases in point. 

A historic rain event for the Guadalupe Mountains from September 9th-13th, 2013. 15.76 inches of rain was recorded during this period at the Pine Springs, GUMO Mesonet station near the National Park Visitor Center. 13.62 inches of rain fell on September 11th-12th (most of this in a 12-hour period during the early morning hours of the 12th). Flash flooding occurred in the Dark Canyon, Rocky Arroyo, and Black River basins on the 12th with many localized areas of high water along the arroyos on the north side of the Guadalupe Mountains. An impressive fourteen-foot rise of water on the Dark Canyon when it reached Carlsbad, New Mexico.



Another historic heavy rainfall and flash flood event occurred in September 2014. A farmer who lives two miles east of Malaga (southeast of Carlsbad) in southern Eddy County measured a storm total (14-day totals) rainfall amount of 25" from this event. Radar verified his totals also. Another total of 22.25" was measured nearby on Durante road one mile east of Malaga. Closer to town a storm total of 21.50" was measured on Derrick Rd & Old Cavern Highway south of Carlsbad. 


Selected Highest 5-Day Rainfall Storm Totals.
(August 17 through Tuesday, August 23, 2022).
Not A Complete List.

Serpentine Bend Ranch Near Carlsbad Caverns 8.00"+
(Courtesy Of Sandi Meador Wilkie).
Rain gauges ran over.

Sacramento Personal Weather Station (PWS) Cabin 7.76"
 Hay Canyon West Of Sacramento  Personal Weather Station (PWS) 7.52"

Roswell CoCoRaHS Station 17.4 Miles North 6.40"

Johnny Waldrip On Rocky Arroyo 
4 Miles West Of The Junction Of St Hwy 137 & US Hwy 285 On The Queen Hwy
 Northwest Of Carlsbad 6.20"

Cloudcroft Climate Co-Op Station 6.33"
Cloudcroft CoCoRaHS Station 2.3 Miles South 6.13"

Cloudcroft CoCoRaHS Station 5.8 Miles West-Southwest 5.55"
Ruidoso CoCoRaHS Station 1.4 Miles South-Southwest 5.50"
Sierra Blanca Snotel Near Ski Apache 5.50"

Whites Sands CoCoRaHS Station 1.3 Miles East-Southeast 5.49"
El Paso CoCoRaHS Station 4.7 Miles North 5.27"
Mayhill CoCoRaHS Station 2.8 Miles West-Northwest 5.21"
El Paso CoCoRaHS Station 5.1 Miles North 5.17"
Roswell CoCoRaHS Station 19.3 Miles North 5.18"
Ruidoso Smokey Bear Raws 5.07"
El Paso CoCoRaHS Station 3.3 Miles North-Northeast 5.02"
Clovis Personal Weather Station (PWS) EW1669 5.01"

Sunspot CoCoRaHS Station 0.2 Miles South-Southwest 4.80"
Bell Canyon Personal Weather Station (PWS) 4.79"
Mayhill Raws 4.73"
Cloudcroft CoCoRaHS Station 0.5 North-Northwest 4.72"
Mescalero Mescal Raws 4.69"

Queen Raws 4.44"
Timberon Development Center Personal Weather Station 4.39"
Cosmic Raws Near Sunspot 4.10"
Nogal CoCoRaHS Station 4.6 Miles South-Southeast 4.09"

Brantley Dam Climate Co-Op Station 3.99"
Sacramento Peak Raws 3.93"

Elk Climate Co-Op Station 2.95"
Lakewood Personal Weather Station (PWS) 2.83"
2.1 North-Northwest Down Carlsbad (PWS) 2.26"

There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.

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