Eddy County Skywarn Spotter Training Meeting In Carlsbad, NM Tonight.



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Highs Today Mid-Upper 90's...Highs Thursday 50's.



I topped out at 94F yesterday here at my home in Carlsbad, NM. Today will see similar highs across southeastern New Mexico and west Texas. Some of us may even make it up into the mid-upper 90's. Its possible that a few of us may even tie or break our daily record high temps for today.

Record High Temperatures For April 30th.

Roswell Climate 96 in 2002.
Artesia Climate 98 in 1928
Carlsbad Climate 92 in 2002 and earlier years.
Carlsbad Airport 97 in 2012 and earlier years.
Hobbs Climate 95 in 2002.
Tatum Climate 93 in 2011.
Ruidoso Climate 80 in 1959 and earlier years.
Cloudcroft Climate 70 in 1992. 

Mid 90's Tomorrow - Freezing Temps By Sunrise Thursday....Surely Not.


NAM Forecast High Temps Tuesday @ 3 PM MDT.

As of 2 PM MDT today, I had managed to climb up to 92F for an afternoon high here in Carlsbad, NM. Our forecast high temp for tomorrow in Carlsbad is 95F. Then believe it or not, we will flirt with morning lows near freezing by sunrise Thursday morning, with afternoon highs mostly in the 60's, behind yet another strong cold front.


GFS Forecast Low Temps Thursday @ 6 AM MDT.

ECMWF Forecast Low Temps Thursday @ 6 AM MDT.

I thought we were done with this stuff, didn't you? Wrong again!

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Signs Of Spring.









Spring is trying its hardest to return to southeastern New Mexico. Some of the signs of the times include  a hazy moon-rise Friday night that turned the moon orange, caused by a decent southeasterly low-level upslope flow from the from the Gulf of Mexico, to today's high based thunderstorms over Guadalupe Peak, and this guy sneaking across Church Street in Carlsbad this morning. Apparently Mr. Bullsnake read the "No Parking, Standing, Or Stopping Sign" and kept on trucking into the weeds. 

Today's crop of thunderstorms produced .23" at the Bowl Raws, .20" at the Pinery Raws, and .02" at the Dog Canyon Raws. It wasn't much but it least it was something.

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New Daily Record Cold Temps For SE NM.




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Unusually Cold For Late April.






If you are thinking that its cold for late April then your thinking is correct. A Freeze Watch is in effect for northeastern, eastern, and parts (Chaves County) of southeastern New Mexico for tonight into tomorrow morning. 

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Current Drought Status.




I don't see much hope for any meaningful rainfall for the local area anytime soon in the long range outlooks. The latest ENSO Advisory calls for Neutral conditions across the Pacific Ocean through the summer. So unless we see a significant change in the current upper air pattern, it looks like the current drought will persist into the early part of the summer.

Short Term Relief Coming?



Both the U.S. GFS, and the European (ECMWF) models are forecasting some precipitation for the area over the next week to ten days. Time will tell if this pans out...hopefully so.

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Utterly Ridiculous Temperatures For The End Of April.



Our Crazy April Temperature Roller Coaster Ride Continues.






65-Degree Temperature Spread Across The Cold Front.



What an amazing cold front for the end of April! Temperatures at 1 PM MDT were ranging from the 20's across eastern Wyoming, to 90+ across southeastern New Mexico southward into west Texas.

This next blast of cold air will arrive in southeastern New Mexico late tonight into tomorrow morning. A Wind Advisory has been posted for Chaves County tonight into tomorrow morning for northeasterly winds sustained at around 25 - 35 mph with gusts of up around 50 mph that will accompany the frontal passage. I would not be surprised to see additional advisories or warnings issued this evening for the rest of the local area.

Blowing dust will accompany the frontal boundary passage, and will persists well into the night in some areas. Watch those sudden drops in the visibility down to less than 3 miles in some places, and even down to near zero at times in our more dust prone locations.

Much colder air will overspread the area tomorrow behind the front with most of us struggling to get out of the 50's for highs. In fact its possible that places like Clovis and Lubbock may not even make it out of the 40's. Utterly ridiculous temperatures for the end of April. Id much rather be chasing a supercell thunderstorm.

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Artesia Skywarn Spotter Training Class Monday Evening.



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Up And Down The Thermometer Goes While The Wind Blows.








ECMWF Temperature Anomaly Forecast For Tuesday.

ECMWF Temperature Anomaly Forecast For Wednesday.

Are you ready for another temperature roller coaster ride? Latest forecast high temps for today low-mid 80's, by Monday most of us will be looking at temps from near 90 to the low 90's. Yet another strong cold front is forecast to barrel southward into the area by Tuesday evening. Much cooler temps are in store for Tuesday and Wednesday. We will struggle to get out of the 60's. Another freeze will be possible by Wednesday and Thursday mornings.

Of course the wind will howl and the dust will fly ahead of this next approaching cold front on Monday. Southwesterly winds will gust up to around 50 mph once again. Oh joy!

So Where Is Our Rain?


GFS 10-Day Precipitation Forecast.

Apparently just about everywhere but in southeastern New Mexico.

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Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Current Temperatures

Current Wind Chill Temps

Regional Radar

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Storm Total Precipitation Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

NWS Midland Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

NWS El Paso Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

11-21-2022: World Premiere: Died Suddenly