I topped out at 94F yesterday here at my home in Carlsbad, NM. Today will see similar highs across southeastern New Mexico and west Texas. Some of us may even make it up into the mid-upper 90's. Its possible that a few of us may even tie or break our daily record high temps for today.
As of 2 PM MDT today, I had managed to climb up to 92F for an afternoon high here in Carlsbad, NM. Our forecast high temp for tomorrow in Carlsbad is 95F. Then believe it or not, we will flirt with morning lows near freezing by sunrise Thursday morning, with afternoon highs mostly in the 60's, behind yet another strong cold front.
Spring is trying its hardest to return to southeastern New Mexico. Some of the signs of the times include a hazy moon-rise Friday night that turned the moon orange, caused by a decent southeasterly low-level upslope flow from the from the Gulf of Mexico, to today's high based thunderstorms over Guadalupe Peak, and this guy sneaking across Church Street in Carlsbad this morning. Apparently Mr. Bullsnake read the "No Parking, Standing, Or Stopping Sign" and kept on trucking into the weeds.
Today's crop of thunderstorms produced .23" at the Bowl Raws, .20" at the Pinery Raws, and .02" at the Dog Canyon Raws. It wasn't much but it least it was something.
If you are thinking that its cold for late April then your thinking is correct. A Freeze Watchis in effect for northeastern, eastern, and parts (Chaves County) of southeastern New Mexico for tonight into tomorrow morning.
I don't see much hope for any meaningful rainfall for the local area anytime soon in the long range outlooks. The latest ENSO Advisory calls for Neutral conditions across the Pacific Ocean through the summer. So unless we see a significant change in the current upper air pattern, it looks like the current drought will persist into the early part of the summer.
What an amazing cold front for the end of April! Temperatures at 1 PM MDT were ranging from the 20's across eastern Wyoming, to 90+ across southeastern New Mexico southward into west Texas.
This next blast of cold air will arrive in southeastern New Mexico late tonight into tomorrow morning. A Wind Advisoryhas been posted for Chaves County tonight into tomorrow morning for northeasterly winds sustained at around 25 - 35 mph with gusts of up around 50 mph that will accompany the frontal passage. I would not be surprised to see additional advisories or warnings issued this evening for the rest of the local area.
Blowing dust will accompany the frontal boundary passage, and will persists well into the night in some areas. Watch those sudden drops in the visibility down to less than 3 miles in some places, and even down to near zero at times in our more dust prone locations.
Much colder air will overspread the area tomorrow behind the front with most of us struggling to get out of the 50's for highs. In fact its possible that places like Clovis and Lubbock may not even make it out of the 40's. Utterly ridiculous temperatures for the end of April. Id much rather be chasing a supercell thunderstorm.
Are you ready for another temperature roller coaster ride? Latest forecast high temps for today low-mid 80's, by Monday most of us will be looking at temps from near 90 to the low 90's. Yet another strong cold front is forecast to barrel southward into the area by Tuesday evening. Much cooler temps are in store for Tuesday and Wednesday. We will struggle to get out of the 60's. Another freeze will be possible by Wednesday and Thursday mornings.
Of course the wind will howl and the dust will fly ahead of this next approaching cold front on Monday. Southwesterly winds will gust up to around 50 mph once again. Oh joy!