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Updated (July 7th) NWS Albuquerque 2026 Monsoon Outlook

My 2026 CoCoRaHS Precipitation Totals/Averages.

My 2026 CoCoRaHS Precipitation Totals/Averages.
As Of June 6, 2026.

My Current Weather Conditions

NWS Temperature Forecasts

NWS Albuquerque High/Low/& Preicp Chances Forecasts

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Incredibly Wet Summer Monsoon Of 2014 - 1941 New Mexico's Wettest Year/El Niño Year.

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September 22, 2014. Normally Dry Four Mile Arroyo - Lake Rd, Lakewood, NM. Looking back at our wettest summer monsoon in 45 years (1981-2026) here in Eddy County should remind all of us that when this drought finally does bust, it likely will do so with a bang just as it did in September of 2014.  The summer monsoon of 2013 was also impressive, but 2014 saw some incredible rainfall totals that produced widespread flash flooding across the area.    Selected heavier rainfall totals from June 15th - September 30th, 2014 include: 1 Mile East Malaga 25.50+" Sierra Blanca Snotel 25.10" Cloudcroft CoCoRaHS 4.9 NE 24.89" Cloudcroft CoCoRaHS 4.0 E  22.98" Sunspot CoCoRaHS 0.07 N 22.96" Durante Rd 1 Mile East Malaga 22.25+" Derrick Rd/Old Cavern Hwy 21.50+" Elk NWS Climate COOP Station 21.06" Cloudcroft CoCoRaHS 0.4 ESE 19.22" Mayhill CoCoRaHS 2.8 WNW 19.22" Bowl Raws Located Below Guadalupe Pk 19.13" Cloudcroft NWS Climate COOP Station...

Seasonably Hot With Mountain T-Storms.

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July 5, 2026. East Dayton Rd- Near Lakewood, NM. Severe T-Storm Impacts Mayhill Area Friday Afternoon. A severe thunderstorm produced quarter-inch (1" in diameter) hail and flash flooding west of Mayhill Friday afternoon. Radar estimates and weather station reports indicated that one to three inches of rain fell west and north of Mayhill, producing localized flash flooding. Not unusual for this time of the year in the Sacramento Mountains.  Summertime thunderstorms can and do dump heavy amounts of rain across New Mexico in most years. Sometimes this causes localized flash flooding even outside of the mountains and burn scar areas. During these afternoon and evening cloudbursts, rainfall totals can easily reach or exceed one to two inches per hour.  Seasonably hot temps are in our forecast for the southeastern plains today through the week. Highs today and Tuesday will range from 98 to 100. Highs Wednesday through Friday will range from 101 to 105. Heat Advisories may be needed...

All-Time 4th Of July Record High Temperatures.

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June 30, 2026. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms continued to break out across the eastern slopes of the Sacramento, Capitan, and Guadalupé Mountains over the past week. A few of these have become severe over the eastern and southeastern plains with damaging winds.   Radar estimated that 2" to 3" of rain fell southwest of Hobbs, west of Monument. Multiple power lines were downed by damaging t-storm winds south of Monument.  The XL Automated Station 8.5 miles south of Hobbs measured 1.56" The Tatum CoCoRaHS Station 0.9 miles east measured 1.50" The Monument CoCoRaHS Station 1.2 miles west measured 1.31" The XL Automated Station 9 miles southwest of Hobbs measured 1.20" The XL Automated Station 17.25 west of Eunice measured 1.02" The XL Automated Station 6.25 miles north of Knowles measured .94" The Lovington NMCC Golf Course NMCC measured .80" The Carlsbad Airport ASOS measured .65" The XL Automated Stat...

Seasonably Hot This 4th Of July Week & On The 4th - Hottest Day In Our History.

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June 19, 2026. Between Mayhill & Cloudcroft. Come Wednesday (July 1st), the year will be half over; our daily high/low/average temps will slowly start trending downward; and we lose a little more daylight each day, and normally our annual summer monsoon is underway.  When I was a kid in the 60s, the oldtime farmers and ranchers used to tell me this. If it hasn't rained by the 4th of July, it's going to be a dry year. There is a lot of truth in that saying, given that's around the time our monsoon ramps up, producing afternoon and nighttime thunderstorms (t-storms) statewide.   July normally sees a big increase in thunderstorm activity statewide with the advent of the summer monsoon. This means an increase in the humidity, and this means July can be very muggy and miserable some years.  Average rainfall really ramps up in July, especially over the mountains.  Elk normally averages 1.62" of rainfall in June. July averages 3.14". Mountain Park normally averages...

Continued Hot With Scattered T-Storms Today & Thursday - A Few Severe!

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June 23, 2026. T-Stomrs Near Dunken.  June has been a hot one so far, with Roswell and the Caprock Raws topping out at 109. Close behind are the Artesia and Carlsbad Airports with 108. Today will be another rinse and repeat day as far as heat goes, with highs across southern and southeastern New Mexico ranging from near 100 to 107. As the monsoonal high shifts east of New Mexico into the Tennessee River Valley by next Tuesday, our highs will start easing down a few degrees next week...mid to upper 90's.  As the high shifts east, an unusually deep and strong late-season upper-level trough of low pressure will dig southward into the Great Basin and northern Rockies by this weekend. This will increase the southwesterly flow aloft over New Mexico. Dry and windy weather will impact central and northern New Mexico this weekend with an increased risk of rapid fire spread.  A few widely scattered to scattered t-storms will dot the southeastern plains, Guadalupe, Sacramento, and C...

A Few T-Storms This Afternoon - Back To The Furnace Saturday Into All Of Next Week.

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June 15, 2026. A T-Storm Over Queen. Looking West From Carlsbad Caverns. Wednesday was, shall we say, toasty.  Selected high temperatures Wednesday and record highs for the day: Roswell Airport ASOS 109. Record high for the date: 110 in 2017. Caprock NWS Climate COOP Station 109 . Previous record high 105 in 2017. Artesia Airport AWOS 108 . Tied the 108 in 2017. Carlsbad Airport ASOS 108. Record high 110 in 1977, NWS COOP Station 110 in 1924. Artesia NWS Climate COOP Station 107. Record high 108 in 2008. My Davis Vantage Pro2+ PWS 107. On June 17, 2025, I recorded a high of 110. Hobbs Airport 106. Record high 108 in 2017. NWS Climate COOP Station 109 in 2017. Brantley Dam NWS Climate COOP Station 105. Record high 108 in 2008. Carlsbad Caverns Natl Park Visitor Center - Bat Draw Raws 104. Record high 105 in 2011. Ruidoso NWS Climate COOP Station 92. Record high 95 in 1980. Sierra Blanca Regional Airport AWOS 92. Previous record high 91 in 2017. Cloudcroft NWS Climate COOP Station 8...

June Rainfall Totals & Year-To-Date Rainfall Totals - Near To Record Heat Wednesday.

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June 12, 2026. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Over the past week, multiple clusters of thunderstorms and Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS) have formed along the central mountain chain and then moved out onto the eastern and southeastern plains. Southeast New Mexico has been the big winner recently as far as heavy rainfall goes.  Here at our home in Carlsbad, my June rainfall now stands at 3.49" after this morning's early round of thunderstorms that left .26" in my rain bucket. I now stand at 2.87" above normal for the month, or 564% of normal to date for June, bringing my year-to-date rainfall to 5.80", which is 3.60" above normal, or 161% of normal for the year.  Overall rainfall over the eastern half of the state for May and so far this month has been above normal for most locations but not all. This month has had pockets of heavy rainfall while some nearby locations haven't fared so well. Typical summertime thunderstorm behavior. Hit-and-miss storms are comm...

It's Official - El Niño Has Arrived - Wet Weather Ahead.

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May 10, 2026. Cloudcroft, New Mexico. It's now official: El Niño has developed in the eastern Pacific Ocean. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center announced this morning. El Niño starts with westerly winds across the equatorial Pacific. Those winds blow warm surface waters eastward, creating a warm pool in the eastern tropical Pacific. That heats the air above, causing it to rise and triggering a chain reaction that reshuffles key weather patterns in the global atmosphere. This could be one of the strongest, if not the strongest, El Niño since recordkeeping began in 1950. Some have speculated that it may even be stronger than the historic El Niño of 1877 that killed over 50 million people. The 1877–1878 El Niño event was the strongest El Niño on record. It contributed to widespread drought and famine in multiple countries, causing the death of more than 50 million people. Disasters associated with it include the Great Famine of 1876–1878 in India, the Grande Seca in Brazil, and ...

24-Hour Rainfall Totals & Hot This Weekend Into Next Week.

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May 26, 2026. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Cumulonimbus Mamatus (CBMAM). Smoke Trail From A Tank Battery Fire Underneath. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Lincoln County for Friday afternoon, including the Ruidoso area.  It was pretty cool to wake up to thunder this morning in Carlsbad from 4:30 through 6:30 AM. I still have moderate rain falling at 7 AM. Selected 24-hour rainfall totals as of 7 AM this morning include: Our home in NW Carlsbad .20"; 2.09" for June; Year-to-date 4.40". Las Cruces CoCoRaHS 6.9 ESE 2.12" Clovis PWS - Biscuit 2.01" Talavera Fire Station ALERT MISC- SE of Las Cruces 1.88" Clovis PWS 1.86" RIO GRANDE AT CANUTILLO HADS 1.80" Clovis CoCoRaHS 1.7 NE 1.68" Lovington PWS White House 1.42" Carrizozo 1.38" Las Cruces/Mesilla Hills Lower Bilbo Pond ALERT-MISC 1.18" Lovington NMCC 1.17" Dona Ana County Govt Center ALERT MISC 1.14" Mayes Ranch PWS - SW Whites City 1.13" Malaga XL Automated Statio...

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25th Anniversary Of The Carlsbad, NM (May 31, 1991) Tornado Coming Up.

Major Winter Storm May Paralyze/Bury Parts Of NM & Nearby Areas Tonight Into Wednesday!

2011 Skywarn Spotter Training Classes & My Thoughts.

Tonight's GFS Is As Drunk As This Mornings ECMWF. Historic Snowstorm Next Weekend?

Major Winter Storm To Hammer New Mexico & West Texas Thanksgiving Week!

Cloudcroft & Ruidoso, NM Seasonal Snowfall Totals.

Are We Fixing To Go From Drought To Flood In SE NM?

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My Precipitation Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

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My Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

My Snowfall Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

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This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.