My Current Weather

Monday, January 30, 2023

Significant Ice Storm For SE NM & West Texas?

January 29, 2023.
Vaughn, New Mexico.

Snow drifts and patches still left over from a storm that across the area a week ago. These snow fences in the Vaughn area have been up for as long as I can remember. And that's at least fifty years. They were erected to help reduce the deep snow drifting that occurs in this area along the north-south orientated US Hwy 285. Strong westerly winds occurring after a storm create huge drifts that sometimes blocks traffic. 

Thursday, January 26, 2023

Downright Cold Morning Across Much Of New Mexico.

Carlsbad, NM.

Reported Low Temperatures This Morning.

Brrrr. The Angel Fire Airport ASOS reported a low temperature this morning of -31ºF which was the lowest in the nation. A number of local Personal Weather Stations (PWS) across the Sacramento mountains reported low temperatures in the single digits this morning. The Cloudcroft NWS Climate Co-Op Station reported a low of 2ºF.

Selected Local Stations Below Zero This Morning.

Hay Canyon PWS - Southeast of Cloudcroft -2ºF
Pierce Canyon PWS - South of Cloudcroft -3ºF
Sacramento PWS - Mountain Maiden -4ºF

Tonight's lows will be similar to last nights...perhaps a few degrees warmer in some mountain locations, and a few degrees colder across the Southeastern Plains. Wind chill temperatures in the Sacramento mountains tonight will range from near 0ºF to -6ºF.

There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.

Monday, January 23, 2023

Very Strong Winter Storm/Widespread Snow - Some Heavy Tonight Into Tuesday.

 Near Sunspot South Of Cloudcroft, NM.

At 1:06 PM MST This Monday Afternoon.

Water Vapor Satellite Image.

At 1:06 PM MST This Monday Afternoon.

Very Strong Winter Storm Continues Digging South Through Arizona.

An intense closed mid/upper-level low was centered over south-central Arizona this afternoon. As per the Phoenix, Arizona NWS AFD the strength of this storm is near record levels. Looking at the visible and water vapor satellite images above it is easy to pick out the location of this low. 

Thursday, January 19, 2023

One Winter Storm Leaves - Two More Headed Our Way.

January 2, 2023.
South Of Cloudcroft, NM.

At 5 AM MST This Thursday Morning.

ECMWF 500 MB (18,000') Forecast.

Valid At 5 AM MST Saturday.

Valid At 5 AM MST Monday.

Valid At 5 AM MST Tuesday.

Valid At 11 AM MST Friday.

One Storm Departs - Two More Headed Our Way.

Our current active parade of winter storm after winter storm is set to continue into the middle of next week. Our latest winter storm to dump snow on the state was centered over the center of the nation this morning. Storm number two which will impact mostly the western and northern sections of the state Friday into Sunday. Heavy snow is forecast for parts of the northern mountains and the northeastern plains where a Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Friday into Saturday.

This storm isn't expected to impact our local weather much. Once again southwest to west winds will gust up into the 25-45 mph range locally Friday and Saturday especially over the Sacramento and Guadalupe mountains.

Confusion continues to plague the forecast models in this changing upper air pattern. This morning's run of the Euro or European (ECMWF) model depicts a strong winter storm in the form of a closed low cat the mid-levels of the atmosphere (18,000') centred over central Arizona at sunrise Monday morning. By sunrise Tuesday morning the Euro has the center of the closed mid-level low (18,000' MSL) centered over El Paso. The US GFS model and the Canadian (GEM) models have similar forecast tracks but with less snowfall over the state. The Euro spits out moderate to heavy snowfall over the northern two thirds of the state Monday and Tuesday. Including the Sacramento mountains and the eastern and southeastern sections of the state. This isn't set in stone yet so I do expect to see the models dance around this outcome between now and next Monday. A winter storm sees likely but what will it's exact impacts and where is up in the air for now. 

Friday & Saturday's Storm.

Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Line Up The Winter Storms!

January 2, 2023.
Mayhill, New Mexico.

Valid At 5 PM MST Today.

Valid At 5 AM MST This Tuesday Morning.

GFS 500 MB Forecasts.

Valid At 5 AM MST Wednesday Morning.

Valid At 11 AM MST Saturday Morning.

Storm after storm will be our weather theme for awhile. La Nina is dying and we are beginning to enter a neutral phase. The question is how long will we remain in the neutral phase before we transition into El Nino conditions...hopefully by this fall and next winter. 

Anyway whenever the atmosphere undergoes a major pattern shift things get chaotic and crazy. We see this every year with seasonal changes and this current shift out of La Nina conditions will likely be stormy and unsettled into the spring. Computer forecast model mayhem rules as they struggle with the complicated and changing upper air pattern.

Monday, January 16, 2023

Storm Summary Peak Wind Gusts Reported Sunday - Monday, January 16, 2023.

Looking East On US Hwy 70.
Altocumulus Standing Lenticular Clouds (ACSL) West Of Roswell, NM.

Reported Peak Wind Gusts Sunday.
Bowl Raws located just N of Guadalupe Peak 77 mph.
Guadalupe Pass ASOS 76 mph.
3 Cross PWS NE of Elk & N of Dunken 71 mph.
Pine Springs W TX Mesonet 69 mph.
Smokey Bear Raws located 1 mile NW of Ruidoso 66 mph.
Buck Mtn PWS Near Ski Apache 65 mph.
Bat Draw Raws - Carlsbad Caverns Visitor Center 64 mph.
Pine Springs Raws - Guadalupe Mtn's Natl Park 62 mph.
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport 62 mph.
Artesia Airport AWOS 61 mph.
Dunken Raws 60 mph.
Seven Rivers - KOA Campground PWS 60 mph.
Queen Raws 55 mph.
Mayes Ranch PWS - SW of Whites City 55 mph.
Tatum PWS 54 mph.
Hagerman NMC26 54 mph.
Mayhill PWS - W of Mayhill 52 mph.
Seven Rivers NMCC (Located 2 miles NE of Lakewood) 52 mph.

Sunday, January 15, 2023

Winter Is Back With Snow In The Mtns' - High Winds & Blowing Dust For The Plains.

January 14, 2023.
Sunrise Contrails Over Carlsbad, NM.

Winter Storm #1 Today Into Monday.

Valid At 5 PM MST Today.

As of 5 AM MST this Sunday morning the Personal Weather Station (PWS) 3 Cross located northeast of Elk, and north of Dunken, along the foothills of the Sacramento mountains had already clocked a peak gust to 71 mph. Strong southwesterly winds are already in progress at sunrise this Sunday morning. A few of the stronger gusts being reported included:

3 Cross PWS located northeast of Elk and north of Dunken 71 mph.
The Smokey Bear Raws 1 mile northwest of Ruidoso 66 mph.
The Bowl Raws located just north of Guadalupe Peak 63 mph.
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport 59 mph.
Pinery Raws In The Guadalupe Mtn's Natl Park 55 mph.
The Dunken Raws located west of Hope 55 mph.
Guadalupe Pass 44 mph.

Winter Weather Advisories In Effect Today:

Friday, January 13, 2023

A Change In The Storm Track Will Bring Winter Back.

January 11, 2023.
Hagerman, New Mexico.

Valid At 5 AM MST This Friday Morning.

ECMWF 500 MB (18,000') Forecast.

Valid At 5 PM MST Sunday, January 15, 2023.

ECMWF 500 MB (18,000') Forecast.

Valid At 5 AM MST Wednesday, January 18, 2023.

ECMWF 500 MB (18,000') Forecast.

Valid At 5 AM MST Friday, January 20, 2023.

Valid At 5 PM MST Sunday.

A Change In The Storm Track Will Bring Winter Back.

Thursday, January 12, 2023

Peak Wind Reports - Wednesday January 11, 2023.

January 2, 2023. 
Small Rainbow - Cottonwood, NM.

Blog Updated At 1:13 PM MST Thursday, January 12, 2023.

(Wednesday, January 11, 2023.)

(Wednesday, January 11, 2023.)

Peak Gust Wednesday Morning 67 MPH.

A peak wind gust of 73 mph was recorded at the Pine Springs Mesonet Station located in the Guadalupe Mountains National Park. The Queen Raws reported a peak gust to 64 mph and the Carlsbad Airport 53 mph. 

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
315 PM MST Wed Jan 11 2023


Location                     Speed     Time/Date

...New Mexico...

...Bernalillo County...
I-40 Sedillo Hill (NMDOT)    44 MPH    1035 AM 01/11
Albuquerque Intl Sunport     41 MPH    1145 AM 01/11

...Chaves County...
Dunken 2 NE (Dunken)         59 MPH    1136 AM 01/11
Bitter Lake WL Refuge 14 NNE 46 MPH    1137 AM 01/11
Hagerman                     45 MPH    1200 PM 01/11
Roswell Air Center           41 MPH    1118 AM 01/11
Dexter                       40 MPH    1210 PM 01/11

...Cibola County...
Grants-Milan Airport         40 MPH    0935 AM 01/11

...Colfax County...
Raton Crews Airport          56 MPH    1133 AM 01/11
Cimarron                     41 MPH    0935 AM 01/11
Angel Fire Airport           40 MPH    0655 AM 01/11

...Curry County...
Cannon AFB                   60 MPH    0113 PM 01/11
St. Vrain                    56 MPH    1215 PM 01/11
Cannon AFB                   54 MPH    1137 AM 01/11
Clovis                       52 MPH    1238 PM 01/11
Clovis Muni Airport          48 MPH    1132 AM 01/11
Clovis ASC (NMCC)            44 MPH    1220 PM 01/11

...De Baca County...
East Fort Sumner             62 MPH    1220 PM 01/11
Fort Sumner 1 E              59 MPH    1220 PM 01/11
South Ft Sumner              49 MPH    1045 AM 01/11

...Guadalupe County...
Se Vaughn                    67 MPH    1150 AM 01/11
Puerto De Luna 3.3e          59 MPH    1020 AM 01/11
Thompson Cattle              58 MPH    1225 PM 01/11
Newkirk                      54 MPH    1230 PM 01/11
Cuervo 3.5 NE (UPR)          52 MPH    1222 PM 01/11
Santa Rosa Airport           49 MPH    0915 AM 01/11
Pecriv                       45 MPH    0940 AM 01/11
Santa Rosa 2 SW (UPR)        45 MPH    1036 AM 01/11
Santa Rosa Airport           40 MPH    0915 AM 01/11
Pastura 2 NE (UPR)           40 MPH    0953 AM 01/11
Santa Rosa 7 E (UPR)         40 MPH    1046 AM 01/11

...Lincoln County...
Bonito Lake 5 SW             57 MPH    0139 PM 01/11
Sierra Blanca Rgnl Arpt      46 MPH    0855 AM 01/11
Ruidoso 1 NNW (Smokey Bear)  46 MPH    1200 PM 01/11

...Los Alamos County...
Los Alamos Airport           48 MPH    0917 AM 01/11
Los Alamos 5 SSW (LANL)      41 MPH    1215 PM 01/11

...Quay County...
Tucumcari Muni Airport       61 MPH    1037 AM 01/11
Tucumcari                    58 MPH    1225 PM 01/11
Logan                        54 MPH    0935 AM 01/11
Endee 2 SW                   54 MPH    1240 PM 01/11
Tucumcari 9 NE  (UPR)        49 MPH    1137 AM 01/11
Logan 12 NE (UPR)            45 MPH    0953 AM 01/11
Endee 2 SW                   43 MPH    1020 AM 01/11
Tucumcari 4 W (UPR)          43 MPH    1112 AM 01/11
Montoya (UPR)                43 MPH    1137 AM 01/11
Logan 2.2 SE (UPR)           43 MPH    1147 AM 01/11

...Rio Arriba County...
Alcalde ASC (NMCC)           43 MPH    0945 AM 01/11

...Roosevelt County...
Tolar 13 SE                  59 MPH    0118 PM 01/11
Tolar 13 SE (Melrose Range)  48 MPH    1214 PM 01/11
Roosevelt Swcd               47 MPH    1210 PM 01/11
Portales 1 SW                40 MPH    1130 AM 01/11

...San Miguel County...
Tecolotito 6 N               68 MPH    1114 AM 01/11
Las Vegas Muni Airport       56 MPH    0533 AM 01/11
Lower Colonias 5 E (Pecos)   44 MPH    0714 AM 01/11
Apache Springs 1 NE          41 MPH    0644 AM 01/11

...Sandoval County...
Valles Caldera HQ (DRI)      45 MPH    0630 AM 01/11
San Antonio (DRI)            42 MPH    0620 AM 01/11
Cuba 9 SW (Cuba)             40 MPH    0341 AM 01/11

...Santa Fe County...
Santa Fe Muni Airport        47 MPH    1003 AM 01/11

...Socorro County...
Contreras 1 ESE (Sevilleta)  42 MPH    1211 PM 01/11

...Taos County...
Red River 8 S                66 MPH    0600 AM 01/11
Taos Muni Airport            53 MPH    0940 AM 01/11
Arroyo Seco 3 SW             51 MPH    0930 AM 01/11
Taos Swcd                    48 MPH    1050 AM 01/11
Lama 4 NW (Wild Rivers)      46 MPH    0949 AM 01/11
Taos Pueblo Raws             45 MPH    1013 AM 01/11
Talpa 1 NE                   43 MPH    1015 AM 01/11
Taos                         42 MPH    0945 AM 01/11
Taos Muni Airport            41 MPH    0956 AM 01/11

...Torrance County...
Clines Corners 1 SSE         63 MPH    0908 AM 01/11
Edgewood Swcd                47 MPH    1205 PM 01/11
Estancia 2 WSW               46 MPH    0924 AM 01/11
Clines Corners 1 SSE         43 MPH    0853 AM 01/11
Moriarty Muni Airport        41 MPH    0835 AM 01/11
Estancia 7 SSW               41 MPH    0915 AM 01/11

...Union County...
Clayton LRC                  61 MPH    1105 AM 01/11
Sw Clayton                   60 MPH    1035 AM 01/11
Clayton Muni Airpark         60 MPH    1048 AM 01/11
Sedan                        55 MPH    1200 PM 01/11
Amistad                      52 MPH    1220 PM 01/11
South Clayton                46 MPH    1145 AM 01/11
Sedan 5 N                    40 MPH    1147 AM 01/11

Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers
for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.

NWS Midland Peak Wind Gusts.
1005 PM CST WED JAN 11 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

0117 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW WINK               31.78N 103.20W
01/11/2023  M51 MPH          WINKLER            TX   ASOS


01/11/2023  M63 MPH          JEFF DAVIS         TX   MESONET


0124 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE SEMINOLE          32.74N 102.64W
01/11/2023  M56 MPH          GAINES             TX   MESONET


0155 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE LAMESA            32.71N 101.94W
01/11/2023  M50 MPH          DAWSON             TX   MESONET


0215 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE LAMESA            32.75N 101.92W
01/11/2023  M51 MPH          DAWSON             TX   AWOS


1038 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW PINE SPRINGS      31.93N 104.83W
01/11/2023  M59 MPH          CULBERSON          TX   MESONET


0321 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST PINE SPRINGS            31.89N 104.81W
01/11/2023  M73 MPH          CULBERSON          TX   MESONET


0215 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WNW FLUVANNA          32.90N 101.20W
01/11/2023  M53 MPH          BORDEN             TX   MESONET


0146 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SW TATUM              33.24N 103.34W
01/11/2023  M51 MPH          LEA                NM   MESONET


0245 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 ESE HALFWAY          32.47N 103.55W
01/11/2023  M50 MPH          LEA                NM   MESONET


0213 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE QUEEN             32.20N 104.69W
01/11/2023  M61 MPH          EDDY               NM   MESONET


0256 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW OTIS              32.33N 104.25W
01/11/2023  M56 MPH          EDDY               NM   ASOS

Always Check The Home Page For The Latest/Current Watch/Warning/Forecast Information.

Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Our Next Fast Moving Winter Storm Will Be A Wind Bag.

January 2, 2023.
White Pine Road.
Seven Rivers, NM.

Valid At 11 AM MST Wednesday, Jan 11th.

Surface Map Forecast.

Valid At 5 AM MST Wednesday, Jan 11th.

Our Next Fast Moving Winter Storm Will Be A Wind Bag.

NWS Albuquerque Burn Scar Matrix Forecast

Current NWS Watches/Warnings In Effect

New Mexico

Eddy County

Chaves County Plains & Mtn's

Culberson County

Lea County

Lincoln County

Otero County

Current US Temps

Current US Wind Chill/Heat Index Temperatures

GOES-East - Sector view: Southern Rockies - GEOColor

GOES-East - Sector view: Southern Plains - GeoColor

NWS Midland Forecast

NWS Midland Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Forecast

NWS Albuquerque High Temp & Probability Of Precp Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Min Temp & Difference From Normal Forecast

NWS El Paso Forecast

NWS El Paso Forecast

NWS Lubbock Forecast

NWS Lubbock Forecast

NWS Midland Storm Total Rainfall Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Storm Total Rainfall Forecast

NWS El Paso Storm Total Rainfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures & Rainfall

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures & Rainfall

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