Showing posts from July, 2016

Monsoon Flow Has NM In Its Gunsights - Invest 97L To Continue West.

New Mexico July 2016 Estimated Rainfall. (As Of 6 AM MDT July 31, 2016).
July was not a wet month for most of southeastern New Mexico. In fact here at our home in Carlsbad I've only managed to pick up .27" for the month and 2.82" for the year so far.
NWS MesoWest 24-Hour Rainfall Totals.

The Clines Corners ASOS measured 1.97" of rain over the past 24 hours.
NWS MesoWest Radar Estimated Rainfall Totals.
Past 24 Hours. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Morning).

Past 48 Hours. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Morning).

Past 72 Hours. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Morning).

NDFD (NWS) Total Rainfall Forecasts. (Valid At 6 PM MDT Tuesday, August 2, 2016).

WPC 7-Day Total Rainfall Forecasts. (Valid At 6 AM MDT Sunday, August 7, 2016).

NAM-WRF Total Rainfall Forecast. (Valid At 6 PM MDT Tuesday, August 2, 2016).

Local NWS 7-Day Forecasts.

AZ/NM To Get Monsoon Rains & Invest 97L.

Finally Our Summer Monsoon Kicks In.
NWS Albuquerque Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) This Morning:
"Storm coverage is expected to increase further early next week across all of western and a good portion of central NM. Models still holding to somewhat varying degrees to the eastward shift of the upper high and thus allowing greater amts of moisture to flow in from the s and se. The easterly wave coming slowly west and nwwrd across Mexico should help to some degree with this as well. With the increasing moisture lvls still being advertised decided to add locally heavy rain wording to the scattered/chance to numerous/likely pops areas starting today and for the aftns through Monday. Today may seem a bit too soon for that, but given the uptick of yesterday felt that we could get away with that as early as today. As previous day shifter indicated flash flood watches may be needed for portions of next week depending on antecedent heavy rainfall locations and presence of any discernible d…

Heavy Rains Fell Over Parts Of New Mexico Yesterday & Overnight.

24-Hour Rainfall Totals. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Morning).

Holloman AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar Rainfall Estimates. (Using GRLevel3 Software).

Radar Estimated 24-Hour Rainfall Totals.

24-Hour Lightning Strike Totals.

NWS MesoWest 24-Hour Rainfall Totals. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Morning).

NWS Albuquerque 24-Hour Rainfall Reports. (Last Updated At 7:13 AM MDT This Morning).
• 6 WSW Bonito Lake - 2.52 in.
 • 4 W Bonito Lake - 2.48 in.
 • 5 SW Bonito Lake - 1.89 in.
 • 2 S Bonito Lake - 1.27 in.
 • 5 WNW Bonito Lake - 1.25 in.
 • 2 SW Dora - 0.91 in.
 • 6 WSW Bonito Lake - 0.91 in.
 • 1 SE Gran Quivira - 0.86 in.
 • 13 SE Tolar - 0.84 in.

Just How Far Away Are Those T-Storms Anyway?

We Can See For Miles & Miles In NM.

Just How Far Away Were Those Thunderstorms Anyway?  GRLevel2 Analyst Radar Archived Snapshot.
My wife and I were headed north up US Hwy 285 to Roswell yesterday afternoon when I shot the above two photos. We were looking northwest-north at the Eddy and Chaves County line just north of Artesia at 3:56 PM MDT. 
This morning I pulled up a snapshot archive of the Cannon AFB Dual Pol Doppler Radar from yesterday afternoon at 3:55 PM MDT. The thunderstorms stretching from our northwest-north were anywhere from 115-180 miles from us. We were first able to see the tops of these storms right after we left Carlsbad...placing them some 210+ miles north of us. 
Finally Its Going To Cool Down Some - With T-Storms.
GFS 500 MB Forecast. Valid @ 6 PM MDT Wednesday, July 27, 2016.
Forecast models are showing that the oppressive upper level ridge of high pressure that has been plaguing the local area will shift to the northwest Tuesday into Thursday. This will allow…

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