Showing posts from October, 2018

Will Old Man Winter Take A Another Swing At Us Wednesday?

October 21st, 2018. Looking southwest with Sierra Blanca Peak to my right.
Winter Takes Another Shot - First Freeze Next Week?
ECMWF 500 MB Forecast.
Valid At Noon MDT Next Wednesday.
As I publish this my thermometer tells me its a balmy 76º here in Carlsbad at 2:45 PM this beautiful Saturday afternoon. How about close to 80º for a high temp on Sunday, and perhaps a few low 80's on Monday. Enjoy because if this mornings run of the European forecast model is correct old man winter is going to take a another swing at us Wednesday.
There are significant differences between the U.S. GFS forecast model and the European (ECMWF) in this mornings runs. The Euro digs a closed low south into New Mexico centered near the Vaughn area by noontime Wednesday. The GFS has a fast moving long wave trough along the NM?TX state line at the same time. 
Whichever model forecast turns out to be correct will have huge implications upon how our weather turns out next week. The Euro would bring winter back with…

Unusually Cold For Mid-October!

Blog Updated At 11:35 AM MDT.

October 21st, 2018. On the road to Ski Apache just before you enter the parking lot.
Unusual Cold For October.
New Daily Record Cold High Temperatures.

Not only were a number of daily record cold high temperatures set on October 15th and 16th, but what makes this cold outbreak noteworthy is just how cold it was. Take a look below at some of our local temperature records that were broken and by how much. Suffice to say that this was the coldest outbreak for the middle of the month in 125 years or record keeping. 
Oct 15th- Tucumcari 44º Previous 46º In 2008. Coldest In 113 Years. Oct 15th-Portales 41º Previous 49º In 1941. Coldest In 113 Years.
Oct 15th- Roswell44º Previous 52º (WSO) In 1925. Coldest In 125 Years. Oct 15th- Roswell 44º Previous 60º (Arpt)  In 1974. Coldest In 69 Years.
Oct 16th- Artesia 46º Previous 48º In 1970. Coldest In 113 Years. Oct 16th- Hope 42º Previous 56º In 2013. Coldest In 99 Years.
Oct 15th- Carlsbad Arpt 45º Previous 56º In 1970. Coldes…

Impressive Widespread Heavy Rainfall Overnight.

3:01 PM MDT 10-24-2018. Talk about not being able to see across the street because of the fog...Whites City this afternoon.
2:47 PM MDT 10-24-2018. Looking east just north of the NM/TX State line this afternoon.
2:48 PM MDT - 10-24-2018. Looking northeast just north of the NM/TX State line this afternoon. Visibility at the state line was 1/8th of a mile and that's about as good as it got as I traveled north up US Hwy 62/180 to Whites City...16 miles to the northeast. In places (Whites City included) the visibility dropped down to 25 to 100 yards. 
Heavy Rains Fall Yesterday And Overnight.
Reported 36-Hour Totals & Radar Estimated Totals.

24-Hour Estimated Rainfall Totals.

NM CoCoRaHS 24-Hour Rainfall Totals. (As Of 8 AM MDT This Wednesday Morning).

Southern NM 24-Hour Rainfall Totals. (Courtesy Of The El Paso NWS Office).

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