Will Old Man Winter Take A Another Swing At Us Wednesday?
October 21st, 2018. Looking southwest with Sierra Blanca Peak to my right. Winter Takes Another Shot - First Freeze Next Week? ECMWF 500 MB Forecast. Valid At Noon MDT Next Wednesday. As I publish this my thermometer tells me its a balmy 76º here in Carlsbad at 2:45 PM this beautiful Saturday afternoon. How about close to 80º for a high temp on Sunday, and perhaps a few low 80's on Monday. Enjoy because if this mornings run of the European forecast model is correct old man winter is going to take a another swing at us Wednesday. There are significant differences between the U.S. GFS forecast model and the European (ECMWF) in this mornings runs. The Euro digs a closed low south into New Mexico centered near the Vaughn area by noontime Wednesday. The GFS has a fast moving long wave trough along the NM?TX state line at the same time. Whichever model forecast turns out to be correct will have huge implications upon how our weather turns out next week.