Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Cool Wet Fall Weather To Start October. More To Come.

Blog Updated At 4:15 AM MDT Wednesday.

October 7th, 2018.

San Francisco Peaks and Flagstaff, Arizona as seen from 34,000' this past Sunday. My wife and I were returning home from our vacation in Boston (visiting her family and friends). A line of thunderstorms had moved through the Phoenix area causing an Air Traffic Control (ATC) hold of all flights coming into the Sky Harbor Airport in Phoenix. So we flew around in circles across northern Arizona for about 30 minutes before we were allowed to land and I took these photos. 

24-Hour Rainfall Totals.

Weekly Rainfall Totals.

Just like that our fall is rapidly turning cooler and much wetter than our summer. Thanks in part to remnant moisture for former Hurricane Rosa, a deep and cold mid-upper level trough of low pressure, and several cold fronts. Notice that the Eastern and Southeastern Plains for the most part have thus far received the heaviest rains over the past week or so...not at all that untypical for fall. 

Listed below are some of the local National Weather Service Climate Co-Op Stations totals and averages for the month and year as of October 8th.

October .60" 
Year-To-Date 5.98"
Average Year-To-Date 10.84"

October .86"
Year-To-Date 9.88"
Average Year-To-Date 10.62"

October .79"
Year-To-Date 8.22"
Average Year-To-Date 11.21"

Even though September and now October are turning out to be wet so to speak we are still below average as far as our local average rainfall totals to date are concerned. Hard to complain though...this is better than not getting anything.

Light snow was falling at Ski Apache (base elevation of 9,600') west of Ruidoso this afternoon.

Valid At 3:30 PM MDT This Tuesday Afternoon.

NWS NDFD Forecast Low Temperatures Tonight.

A southward moving cold front will drop our overnight low temps tonight into tomorrow morning down into the 40"s. The Sacramento Mountains will drop down into the upper 20's at the higher mountain valleys to the 30's elsewhere. 

Remnant Moisture From Hurricane Sergio.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Monday.

As Segio dies a slow death southwest of the Baja Region and his remnant moisture gets pulled off to the northeast and over the area we may see heavy rains Friday night into Saturday. Model forecasts indicate 1" to 3" totals but this will likely vary and change with time. Bottom line is more rain is on the way and perhaps more localized flash flood issues.

Model forecasts are calling for a strong cold front to drop southward into the area by Monday knocking our daytime high temps down into the 50's through Wednesday. Id bet maybe even cooler than this. You guessed it, more rain to boot.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!


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