Fast Moving Thanksgiving Storm.

November 2, 2024.

7 Miles West Of Eunice, NM.

Large Rotating Wall Cloud With A Beavers Tail.

Quick Hitting Storm For Thanksgiving.

My cover photo was taken 7 miles west of Eunice in Lea County on November 2, 2024. Looking west along St Hwy 176 at a rotating large bell-shaped wall cloud with a beaver's tail. A couple of brief tornadoes formed on the southern end of the wall cloud.  

Here is a quick update since Mother Nature has decided to change her mind somewhat concerning our Thanksgiving storm. A rather fast-moving storm will produce up to an additional 5" of new snowfall over the Tusas mountains, including the Chama area today.

Strong westerly winds will continue to rake the central mountain chain and nearby eastern slopes today. Westerly winds sustained to 30 - 35 mph with gusts to 50-55 mph are forecast. 

Westerly winds sustained at 30 - 40 mph with gusts near 65 mph are forecast for the Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy and Culberson Counties.

High temps today will be in the 40's and 50's across the northern one-half of the state. The southern half of the state will see the 60's and 70's. The southeastern plains will be in the upper 70's to near 80 with westerly winds gusting up to around 40 mph. 

 A cold front is currently sliding southward through the state and by sunrise Thanksgiving morning a colder airmass will be settling in over the area. High temps statewide will average close to a little below normal Thanksgiving Day into the holiday weekend. A warming trend will commence next week. 

As the front settles southward tonight areas of light snow, freezing fog, and freezing drizzle are forecast to develop over parts of western, northern, northeastern, and eastern New Mexico. As well as across parts of eastern and the northern sections of southeastern New Mexico. 1" to 2" of snow will be possible over the central mountain chain with less than an inch expected across the lower elevations. 

The Cloudcroft, Ruidoso, Roswell, Artesia, and Tatum areas may see light snow flurries or even a little bit of light snow but overall nothing significant is currently forecast for these areas. 

Have a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving and holiday weekend everyone!

Thanksgiving Week Forecast.

November 2, 2024.

Shelf Cloud NE Of Carlsbad, NM.

Blog Updated At 2:22 PM MST Monday, Nov 25, 2024. 

Surface Map Forecast.

Valid At 5 PM MST Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024.

My cover photo was taken 20 miles northeast of Carlsbad on the Hobbs Hwy (US 62/180) on November 2nd, 2024. A nice shelf cloud formed after this severe thunderstorm became outflow dominant.

A cold front will keep the eastern half of the state slightly cooler than normal today. A quick warmup will occur Tuesday and Wednesday as strong dry downsloping winds kick in along the northern and central mountains and the northeast highlands with gusts in the 50-60 mph range.

It will also be windy across southern and southeastern New Mexico especially on Wednesday with westerly gusts in the 40-50 mph range expected. Highs across southeastern New Mexico Wednesday afternoon will be som 15-20 degrees above normal with readings near 80.

These winds will likely be strong in the Guadalupe mountains on Wednesday...approaching the High Wind Warning category.

Another backdoor cold front arrives just in time for Thanksgiving. Highs across the eastern half of the state on Thanksgiving will range in the 40's in western and northern New Mexico. Near 40 in the northeastern plains, the mid 40's in eastern New Mexico, and 50-55 in southeastern New Mexico.

Light to moderate snow is forecast across parts of western, northern, and northeastern New Mexico Tuesday into Wednesday. The heaviest snows will fall over the northern mountains near Chama and Red River where 8" to 12" of new snow is possible.

Be sure and open the link to my blog post below in order to view the attached forecast maps and graphics. Have a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving everyone!

NM Storm Summary November 19, 2024.

October 11, 2024

 Alamo Peak South Of Cloudcroft, NM. 

5-Day HRAP 4 KM Precipitation Totals. 

Valid At 5 AM MST Monday, Nov 18, 2024. 

5-Day NOHRSC Snowfall Totals. 

Valid At 5 AM MST Monday, Nov 18, 2024. 

72-Hour Precipitation & Snowfall Totals.

Quick Hitting Winter Storm Today Into Monday Morning!

October 19, 2024.

Large Rotating Wall Cloud.

About 12 Miles North Of Dunken, NM.

16 Miles NW of Me Near The Eddy/Chaves Co Line. 

A supercell thunderstorm developed fairly rapidly along the east slopes of the Sacramento mountains north of Dunken, in southwestern Chaves County on the afternoon of Saturday, Oct 19th, 2024. I chased this storm northward along St Hwy 13 all the way to Roswell. It never did produce a tornado as far as I could see but the wall cloud was very photogenic and cycled several times. 

A line of intense thunderstorms developed in this after that evening and very slowly edged northeastward. Multiple training thunderstorms within this line of thunderstorms later produced the historic excess rainfall and the devastating flash flooding in Roswell. Measured rainfall totals in the city generally averaged 4" to 6". Several locations exceed 7" and a couple of reporting Personal Weather Stations (PWS) reported 8" to 10.86". 

Quick Hitting Winter Storm Today Into Monday!

Moderate To Heavy Lowland Rains & Heavy Mtn Snows in Southern NM.

Saturday, Nov 2nd, 2024 Eddy County Hailstorm - Our Next Winter Storm Arrives This Weekend.

November 2, 2024.

1 Mile NW Of Seven Rivers, NM.

Hail, Hail Drifts, And Hail Fog On White Pine Rd.

A severe thunderstorm (rare for November) dropped golf ball to tennis ball size hail in the Seven Rivers and Lakewood areas on Saturday, November 2, 2024. I took my photos nearly an hour after the storm had ended. Even so, I still picked up numerous golf ball to hen egg size hailstones in the area. My brother measured 1.30" of rain along with hen egg-sized hail at his ranch 2 miles north of Lakewood. 

Winter Storm Summary - Saturday, Nov 9, 2024.

October 11, 2024.

Alamo Peak South Of Cloudcroft, NM.

Blog Update Monday, Nov 11, 2024.

Ski Apache.

10:35 AM MST Saturday, Nov 9, 2024.

NWS 72-Hour Snowfall Map.

NWS 72-Hour Snowfall Total Reports.

NOHRSC 5-Day Snowfall. 

Tue Nov 5 - Sat Nov 9, 2024.

Blizzard Warnings For NE New Mexico!

Water Vapor Satellite Image.

At 11:21 AM MST.

RAP 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Analysis.

At 10 AM MST on Thursday, Nov 7, 2024.

New Mexico Roads.

NWS Albuquerque Blizzard/Winter Storm Warnings.

NWS Albuquerque On X.

Major Widespread Winter Storm Underway!

NWS NDFD Storm Total Snowfall Forecast.

Valid Today Through 5 AM MST Sunday.

New Mexico Road Conditions.

As Of 5:30 AM MST Thursday Morning.

New Mexico Power Outages.

As Of 6:30 AM MST Thursday.

Major Widespread Winter Storm Underway.

Road closures, downed Power lines, and a heavy wet snow are already causing problems across the northern one-half of New Mexico early this Thursday morning (7 AM MST). Early snowfall reports this morning indicate that 12.0" has fallen in Las Vegas, 12.0 " 10.1 SSE of Tijeras, 10.0" 1 mile SSW of Moriarty, and 9.1" in Cedar Crest. With much more to come.  

NWS Albuquerque Winter Storm Warnings/Advisories.

Widespread Very Heavy Snowfall From Seasons First Major Winter Storm!

October 11, 2024.

Alamo Peak, South Of Cloudcroft, NM.

NWS Albuquerque Winter Storm Warnings & Forecasts!

Winter Storm Severity Index.

NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Forecasts.

Winter Storm Severity Index.

Updated Forecasts Winter Storm Warnings/Advisories!

A major widespread winter storm is forecast to impact much of New Mexico this afternoon into Friday. Significant travel disruptions, power outages, very heavy snowfall, and blowing and drifting snow with near-blizzard conditions along with near-zero visibility at times, are forecast for parts of the northern half of the state. This storm has to potential to produce life-threatening conditions in the warning areas. Widespread road closures will be possible in these areas. Travel on some roads and highways will become impossible. This will be a three-day long duration event. 

The Albuquerque National Weather Service Office has increased their storm total snowfall amounts across the northern half of the state. Some communities will measure their snowfall totals in feet rather than inches. 

Livestock, range animals, domestic pets, and other animals will be at risk from the heavy snow and cold. Protect them now as much as possible. 

As I mentioned in yesterday's blog post the key to who gets the greatest snowfall amounts and where will be highly dependent upon the storm's track and speed. If it pulls a little further to the north and faster than currently forecast then snowfall totals would be less in some areas. If it slows down and digs further south than currently forecast then snowfall totals would be heavier in some areas.

This is a dangerous winter storm with significant impacts to much of the state expected so please head all National Weather Service Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories. 

Area Road Conditions.

1. NM Roads  - (800-432-4269)
2. Drive Texas  -  (800-452-9292)
3. Texas Roads  - (800-452-9292)
4. Arizona Roads  - (888-411-7623)
5. Nationwide Roads  - (511)
6. NM Rds Mobile App

Buckle Up The Seasons First Major Winter Storm!

Sunset.

November 2, 2024.

Eunice, New Mexico.

Surface Map Forecast.

Valid At 5 AM MST Thursday.

Major Impacts Across New Mexico Expected

 From Seasons First Widespread Major Winter Storm!

Our departing winter storm that dropped heavy snow across the northern mountains of New Mexico as of yesterday afternoon was somewhat of a dissapointment snow-wise in the Sacramento mountains. And rainfall-wise across parts of the southeastern plains.

But our next inbound major widespread winter storm should make up for it at least as far as snowfall is concerned in the Sacramento and Capitan mountains.

Unusual For November - Severe T-Storms/Heavy Rains/Flash Flooding!

October 11, 2024.

Alamo Peak South Of Cloudcroft, NM.

Severe t-storms, heavy rainfall, and a flash flood threat tonight through Saturday across the southeastern plains. The Sacramento mountains will see snow developing Sunday into Monday. Another round of winter weather for the state late next week.