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Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Fast Moving Thanksgiving Storm.


November 2, 2024.
7 Miles West Of Eunice, NM.
Large Rotating Wall Cloud With A Beavers Tail.

Quick Hitting Storm For Thanksgiving.

My cover photo was taken 7 miles west of Eunice in Lea County on November 2, 2024. Looking west along St Hwy 176 at a rotating large bell-shaped wall cloud with a beaver's tail. A couple of brief tornadoes formed on the southern end of the wall cloud.  

Here is a quick update since Mother Nature has decided to change her mind somewhat concerning our Thanksgiving storm. A rather fast-moving storm will produce up to an additional 5" of new snowfall over the Tusas mountains, including the Chama area today.

Strong westerly winds will continue to rake the central mountain chain and nearby eastern slopes today. Westerly winds sustained to 30 - 35 mph with gusts to 50-55 mph are forecast. 

Westerly winds sustained at 30 - 40 mph with gusts near 65 mph are forecast for the Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy and Culberson Counties.

High temps today will be in the 40's and 50's across the northern one-half of the state. The southern half of the state will see the 60's and 70's. The southeastern plains will be in the upper 70's to near 80 with westerly winds gusting up to around 40 mph. 

 A cold front is currently sliding southward through the state and by sunrise Thanksgiving morning a colder airmass will be settling in over the area. High temps statewide will average close to a little below normal Thanksgiving Day into the holiday weekend. A warming trend will commence next week. 

As the front settles southward tonight areas of light snow, freezing fog, and freezing drizzle are forecast to develop over parts of western, northern, northeastern, and eastern New Mexico. As well as across parts of eastern and the northern sections of southeastern New Mexico. 1" to 2" of snow will be possible over the central mountain chain with less than an inch expected across the lower elevations. 

The Cloudcroft, Ruidoso, Roswell, Artesia, and Tatum areas may see light snow flurries or even a little bit of light snow but overall nothing significant is currently forecast for these areas. 

Have a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving and holiday weekend everyone!


Northern 2/3rd's Of New Mexico:

Damaging wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph will continue across the east
slopes of the Sangre De Cristo and nearby highlands this morning.
Wind gusts of up to 55 mph will shift to the central and southern
part of the central mountain chain late morning and this afternoon.
Meanwhile, rain and mountain snow across northern NM along a cold
front today. Lingering flurries, sprinkles and patchy freezing fog
across the east slopes of the central mountain chain behind the
backdoor front Wednesday night into Thanksgiving morning. Colder
with clearing skies and light winds Thanksgiving Day. Pretty benign
and slightly milder weather Thanksgiving Weekend into the first week
of December.

Winter Weather Advisory


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
339 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

NMZ210-271930-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-241128T0000Z/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
339 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Up to 5 inches of additional snow
  accumulation expected above 8500 feet. West wind gusts up to 40
  mph in the morning.

* WHERE...Tusas Mountains Including Chama.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Some roads
  may be closed, including Highway 64. Significant travel delays are
  possible. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing snow in the morning may
  reduce visibility below one mile.  Snow drifts nearly 2 feet deep
  possible on Highway 64 over the mountains.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. For the latest road
conditions, dial 511 or 1.800.432.4269, or visit http://nmroads.com.

&& $$ 44

Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
759 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

NMZ223-233-272300-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-241127T2300Z/
Central Highlands-Guadalupe County-
759 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Central Highlands and Guadalupe County.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow will develop late tonight with
  accumulations of 1 to 3 inches possible. This may create a period
  of slick travel for Thanksgiving morning travel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&& $$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
759 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

NMZ226-239-240-272300-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0048.241127T1500Z-241127T2300Z/
South Central Mountains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves
County-
759 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected.

* WHERE...Eastern Lincoln County, South Central Mountains, and
  Southwest Chaves County.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&& $$ Guyer

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
759 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

NMZ222-272300-
/O.EXA.KABQ.WI.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-241127T2300Z/
Estancia Valley-
759 AM MST Wed Nov 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Estancia Valley.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs may be blown down. Expect strong crosswinds on area roadways.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow will develop late tonight with
  accumulations of a dusting to around 1 inch possible. This may
  create a period of slick travel for Thanksgiving morning travel.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&& $$
   Eddy/Lea/Culberson Counties & Parts Of West Texas:

   Strong westerly winds are expected Wednesday across most of the
   area. A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe and
   Delaware Mountains through Wednesday evening. You will have a
   difficult time driving through Guadalupe Pass.

 - Areas of sprinkles and/or flurries may be possible for northern
   portions of Southeast New Mexico tonight through Thursday
   morning. Warm ground temperatures are expected to prevent any
   travel impacts with any precipitation.

 - Much of the higher elevations and along and north of the Pecos
   River can expect near to below freezing temperatures Friday
   morning. Areas across the central and eastern Permian Basin
   that have not seen their first freeze may see a Freeze Watch
   issued.

High Wind Warning


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1155 PM MST Tue Nov 26 2024

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-280300-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0028.241127T0700Z-241128T0300Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Guadalupe Mountains Above
7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Pine Springs, Guadalupe Mountains
National Park, and Queen
1155 PM MST Tue Nov 26 2024 /1255 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2024/

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected.

* WHERE...Guadalupe Mountains of west Texas and Southeast New Mexico.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles like campers, vans, and tractor trailers. Severe
  turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying
  light aircraft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds will be particularly hazardous at higher elevations where the
strongest winds are likely to occur. Be especially careful driving
in these mountainous areas. People driving high-profile vehicles
should strongly consider postponing travel in these areas until the
winds subside.

Delay travel through Guadalupe Pass or find another route, if
possible.

Use caution if flying low near the mountains as severe turbulence is
possible.

&& $$ Devin Chehak
Southern New Mexico:

- Breezy and very warm conditions today before a cold front moves
  in on Thursday

- Gradual warming this weekend with dry weather into next week


Valid At Noon Today.


Valid At 5 AM MST Thanksgiving Morning.


At 8 AM MST Wednesday, November 27, 2024.


It's not hard to pick out the cold front by looking at the real-time temperature map above.

Valid Today Through 5 AM MST Black Friday.













There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.

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