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May 10, 2026. Cloudcroft, New Mexico. It's now official: El Niño has developed in the eastern Pacific Ocean. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center announced this morning. El Niño starts with westerly winds across the equatorial Pacific. Those winds blow warm surface waters eastward, creating a warm pool in the eastern tropical Pacific. That heats the air above, causing it to rise and triggering a chain reaction that reshuffles key weather patterns in the global atmosphere. This could be one of the strongest, if not the strongest, El Niño since recordkeeping began in 1950. Some have speculated that it may even be stronger than the historic El Niño of 1877 that killed over 50 million people. The 1877–1878 El Niño event was the strongest El Niño on record. It contributed to widespread drought and famine in multiple countries, causing the death of more than 50 million people. Disasters associated with it include the Great Famine of 1876–1878 in India, the Grande Seca in Brazil, and ...

May 26, 2026. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Cumulonimbus Mamatus (CBMAM). Smoke Trail From A Tank Battery Fire Underneath. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Lincoln County for Friday afternoon, including the Ruidoso area.  It was pretty cool to wake up to thunder this morning in Carlsbad from 4:30 through 6:30 AM. I still have moderate rain falling at 7 AM. Selected 24-hour rainfall totals as of 7 AM this morning include: Our home in NW Carlsbad .20"; 2.09" for June; Year-to-date 4.40". Las Cruces CoCoRaHS 6.9 ESE 2.12" Clovis PWS - Biscuit 2.01" Talavera Fire Station ALERT MISC- SE of Las Cruces 1.88" Clovis PWS 1.86" RIO GRANDE AT CANUTILLO HADS 1.80" Clovis CoCoRaHS 1.7 NE 1.68" Lovington PWS White House 1.42" Carrizozo 1.38" Las Cruces/Mesilla Hills Lower Bilbo Pond ALERT-MISC 1.18" Lovington NMCC 1.17" Dona Ana County Govt Center ALERT MISC 1.14" Mayes Ranch PWS - SW Whites City 1.13" Malaga XL Automated Statio...

May 26, 2026.  Rotating Wall Cloud. 12 Miles WSW Of Carlsbad, New Mexico. Round two today with scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing over the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan Mountains, then drifting east and again coalescing into another thunderstorm complex,  a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS)  late this afternoon into tonight.  A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for Eddy, Lea, Culberson Counties and parts of the Permian Basin. Another 1" to 2" of rain with locally higher amounts may fall on top of what fell yesterday and overnight.  A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for Lincoln County through 10 PM MDT this evening for additional heavy rainfall on top of what has fallen the past couple of days. Flash Flood Warnings are already being issued for the Ruidoso area as of this writing (2 PM MDT). Numerous thunderstorms developed Tuesday afternoon over the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan Mountains. These coalesced into a thunderstorm complex...

May 31. 2026. Looking East From C-Hill. A Haboob Approaching Carlsbad From The East-Southeast. Note: To all of my Facebook subscribers, I am unable to share this blog post with our local groups once again. Facebook has throttled me again. So go to my timeline to view this blog post or see it on my weather web page. Feel free to share it on Facebook or X.  Welcome to the beginning of the meteorological summer (June 1st - Sept 30th). And a wet one at that. Is this also the start of our much-talked-about and anticipated El Niño? Maybe.  This week promises to be wet to very wet across much of the state starting today. A cluster of thunderstorms (mesoscale convective system or MCS) developed along the east slopes of the northern Sacramento Mountains yesterday afternoon, then drifted southeast out into the Pecos Valley. As of sunrise this morning, a few scattered showers from this complex continued north of the Ruidoso area.  A messy upper air pattern exists over the Desert So...