A Few T-Storms This Afternoon - Back To The Furnace Saturday Into All Of Next Week.
A T-Storm Over Queen.
Looking West From Carlsbad Caverns.
Wednesday was, shall we say, toasty.
Selected high temperatures Wednesday and record highs for the day:
Roswell Airport ASOS 109. Record high for the date: 110 in 2017.
Caprock NWS Climate COOP Station 109. Previous record high 105 in 2017.
Artesia Airport AWOS 108. Tied the 108 in 2017.
Carlsbad Airport ASOS 108. Record high 110 in 1977, NWS COOP Station 110 in 1924.
Artesia NWS Climate COOP Station 107. Record high 108 in 2008.
My Davis Vantage Pro2+ PWS 107. On June 17, 2025, I recorded a high of 110.
Hobbs Airport 106. Record high 108 in 2017. NWS Climate COOP Station 109 in 2017.
Brantley Dam NWS Climate COOP Station 105. Record high 108 in 2008.
Carlsbad Caverns Natl Park Visitor Center - Bat Draw Raws 104. Record high 105 in 2011.
Ruidoso NWS Climate COOP Station 92. Record high 95 in 1980.
Sierra Blanca Regional Airport AWOS 92. Previous record high 91 in 2017.
Cloudcroft NWS Climate COOP Station 80. Record high 87 in 2017.
Other recorded highs for Wednesday:
Lakewood PWS 110.
8-Mile Draw Raws NE of Roswell 109.
Seven Rivers (Lakewood) NMCC 109.
Paduca Raws - Near WIPP 109.
Malaga NMCC 109.
Hagerman NMCC 108.
Artesia AG Science Center NMCC 108.
Jal Country Club NMCC 108.
Dexter NMCC 107.
Loving High School NMCC 107.
Eunice XL 1.25 SSE 106.
Burnt Well NMCC - SW of Roswell 105.
Holloman AFB 104.
Whites City XL 103.
Hope NMCC 4.9 W 101.
Carrizozo NMCC 100.
Hondo NMCC 100.
Red Lick Canyon - North of Arabella 100.
Dunken Raws 98.
Runyan Ranches NMCC 97.
Pinery Raws - Guadalupe Mtn's Natl Park 96.
Queen Raws 95.
Mayhill Raws 93.
Nichols Ranch NMCC 93.
Mescal Raws - Mescalero 92.
Smokey Bear Raws - Ruidoso 92.
Weed PWS 90.
Timberon PWS 88.
Bell Canyon PWS NW of Mayhill PWS 85.
Sacramento Peak WSMR 81.
Today will be cooler behind Thursday morning's cold front. But low-level moisture has increased, so it will be muggy east of the central mountain chain. Highs will range from the mid to upper 80's in eastern New Mexico, to the low 90's in southeastern New Mexico. Southwestern, western, and central New Mexico will approach the century mark.
The Sacramento Mountains have a 50% chance of scattered t-storms this afternoon, then the faucet goes dry for the next week. Locally heavy rainfall may produce flash flooding over and downstream of the recent burn scars in the Ruidoso area.
A few widely scattered t-storms will dot the southeastern plains this afternoon with rain chances in the 10% to 20% range.
Back to the furnace starting Saturday with highs reaching 100 in southeastern New Mexico. Sunday looks very hot again with highs ranging from 105 to 108. Little change next week with highs ranging from near 100 to 106.
This morning's run of the GFS model centers the 500 millibar (18,000' MSL) monsoonal mid-upper level high over southwestern and southeastern New Mexico by Tuesday. Eventually, monsoonal subtropical moisture from northern Mexico will rotate northward into New Mexico. The question is when, of course. Long-range models hint that this may start happening in the ten-day to two-week outlook period.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 636 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 635 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026 - Low-to-medium rain chances (20-40%) stick around Friday, mainly along and south of I-10. - Warming trend this weekend with low (10% to 15%) shower/storm chances over the higher terrain Saturday, followed by lower rain chances for most of the area into next week. - Increased downsloping winds over the Guadalupes Sunday along with hot and dry conditions will increase risk of rapid fire spread for any fires that start or are ongoing. &&
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 520 AM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 508 AM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026 - Rapid fire spread will be possible Saturday afternoon from incredibly dry conditions and strengthening westerly winds thru the northwestern quadrant of NM. - Thunderstorm activity will favor areas along and east of the central mountain chain today. There is a moderate risk of heavy rainfall on recent burn scars near Ruidoso. - A moderate heat risk remains for lower elevation areas of western and central NM today, and all lower elevation locales this weekend where highs will flirt with 100 degrees. &&
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 544 AM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026 ...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 535 AM MDT Fri Jun 19 2026 - Thunderstorm chances will be pushed east towards the Sacramento Mountains and Hudspeth County today, as drier and warmer air works in from the west. - Hotter conditions with little to no chance for rain through the weekend as upper level ridging begins to strengthen. Mid-week could bring the hottest temperatures of the year so far. &&
GFS 500 Millibar (18,000' MSL) Forecast.
(Valid At 6 PM MDT Tuesday, June 23, 2026).
NWS Forecast High Temperatures.
Sunday, June 21, 2026.
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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