Welcome To The Dog Days Of Summer.
Seven Cabins Burn Scar.
North Side Of The Capitan Mountains.
As forecast, the oven has been turned back on across much of the area. No doubt the Dog Days of Summer have arrived. Typically, the Dog Days of Summer occur from July 3rd through August 11th.
High temps are expected to climb as high as 107 across Eddy and Chaves Counties today, where a Heat Advisory is in effect. A Heat Advisory is also in effect today for parts of southern New Mexico, including the Las Cruces and El Paso areas, where high temps of 106 are expected.
A few daily record highs may be tied or broken today. Record high temps for today include:
Artesia NWS Climate COOP 108 in 1958
Carlsbad Airport 107 in 1958
Tatum NWS Climate COOP 107 in 1958
Alamogordo NWS Climate COOP 107 in 1963
Roswell ThreadEx 106 in 1958
Carlsbad NWS Climate COOP 105 in 2018
Hobbs Airport 105 in 1958
Hobbs NWS Climate COOP 104 in 1983
Alamogordo Airport 104 in 2016
Artesia Airport 102 in 2016
Hope NWS Climate COOP 102 in 2023
Mountain Park NWS Climate COOP 94 in 1963
Elk NWS Climate COOP 94 in 2023
Ruidoso Airport 91 in 2023
Ruidoso NWS Climate COOP 91 in 2023
Cloudcroft NWS Climate COOP 83 in 2016
No relief is in sight either, as our daily forecast highs are expected to be in the 100 to 105 range this coming weekend, all of next week, and into the first weekend of August. A few locations may exceed 105 degrees during this time frame. At least we aren't living in the DFW Metroplex area where high temperatures Wednesday afternoon were in the low 100's with dew point temperatures in the low to mid 70s, which produced heat indexes in the 115 to 120 range. That's ridiculously torrid heat.
Yesterday was hot across the area, and some of the reported high temps include:
Roswell Industrial Air Center ASOS 103
Hagerman NMCC 103
Artesia AG Science Center NMCC 103
Lakewood/Seven Rivers NMCC 103
2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad PWS 103
Loving High School NMCC 103
The Artesia and Carlsbad Airports 102
Brantley Dam NWS Climate COOP 102
Dexter NMCC 102
Jal NMCC 102
Holloman AFB AWOS 102
Hobbs Airport AWOS 100
The Hondo NMCC 100
Alamogordo Airport AWOS 100
Hope NMCC 4.9 W 99
Bat Draw Raws - Carlsbad Caverns 99
Carrizozo NMCC 97
Runyan Ranches NMCC 95
Smokey Bear Raws in Ruidoso 94
Pinery Raws - Guadalupe Mtns Natl Park 94
Mescal Raws in Mescalero 91
Cloudcroft NWS Climate COOP 79
A few popcorn t-storms flared up in the Ruidoso area yesterday afternoon. Storms will be more widespread but still scattered in nature across the Sacramento and Capitan Mountains today into the weekend. The northern Sacramento Mountains are in the Slight Risk Outlook for Excessive Rainfall on Saturday. There is a threat for burn scar flash flooding with a few of the heavier t-storms producing rainfall rates in excess of an inch per hour.
A complex of t-storms is forecast to form across eastern New Mexico this afternoon and work its way southward into at least the northern parts of the southeastern plains tonight. How far south this complex manages to survive is questionable. A few locations may see rainfall totals of .50" to 1.50" from these storms. The Roswell area has a 30% chance of getting wet tonight.
The Clovis/Portales and Tatum areas are under a Marginal Risk for severe t-storms this afternoon and evening. The primary severe weather threat will be damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 58 mph.
Disorganized Tropical Bertha died inland along the upper Texas Coast yesterday afternoon, and her remnant moisture is forecast to slide west into north-central Mexico and should not be a factor in our local weather.
Scattered t-storms and rain showers will favor the central mountain chain, western, and northern New Mexico today through the weekend. Localized heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be a threat to some areas. Rainfall totals by the end of this weekend may be in the 1" to 3" range in a few areas.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 - Heat Advisory remains in effect from noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ to 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ Friday this evening for Eddy County, as well as the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. - After a slightly cooler weekend, temperatures next week will climb into the triple digits most locations each afternoon. Additional Heat Advisories are likely, as the effects of heat are cumulative, and present an increasing risk of heat-related illnesses. - Rain chances will be slim to none. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 WV imagery this morning shows the upper ridge centered over southern New Mexico, and still extending coast-to-coast across the southern CONUS. This resulted in highs in the triple digits most locations yesterday afternoon, ~ 7-9 F above climatology. The 00Z KMAF RAOB came in with a PWAT of a whopping 1.84", easily beating the daily record of 1.70" and the 100th percentile of 1.73". Unfortunately, this was wasted moisture, as much of the area was capped in an absence of triggers. A few cells tried to get going in the Permian Basin, but to no avail. Today, the upper ridge is forecast to develop WNW, bisecting Arizona and New Mexico, shifting the heat over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico to the northwest, especially the New Mexico Pecos River Valley. As such, a Heat Advisory is in effect for Eddy County, as well as the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains. Farther south, isolated afternoon convection is possible over the Presidio Valley/Chinati Mountains. Tonight, the ridge begins orienting SW-NE, from eastern Arizona to eastern Colorado. Models develop convection in northeastern New Mexico, and bring it east into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Some of this convection could develop down into Eddy Lea Counties during the evening. This may be the overall best chance for rainfall this forecast. Otherwise, a 30 kt LLJ is set to develop, and will combine with a modest amount of high cloud to retard radiational cooling, yielding unseasonably warm overnight minimums ~ 5-7 F above normal. Saturday, with the ridge centered over Colorado/New Mexico, taking the focus off of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, highs most locations will dip back into the double digits, but just barely. For those who prefer this cooler weather, don`t get too comfortable, as this easily looks to be the coolest day this forecast. Once again, convection north of the area could dip down into northern Lea County. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 The extended is fairly straightforward, hot, and dry, with temperatures most locations climbing into the triple digits each afternoon, and lows remaining unseasonably warm each night due to the LLJ. The upper ridge will park itself more or less just east of the Four Corners, with minor temperature fluctuations dependent on where it shifts each day. At this time, Monday looks to be the warmest day this forecast, similar to yesterday`s highs. However, this is prone to change and the whims of the upper ridge. "Cooler" temperatures over the weekend should negate the need for Heat Advisories after today, but they`ll be back in play Monday through the extended. Rain chances will be minimal, and typical for late July. &&
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 - Heat Advisory remains in effect from noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ to 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ Friday this evening for Eddy County, as well as the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. - After a slightly cooler weekend, temperatures next week will climb into the triple digits most locations each afternoon. Additional Heat Advisories are likely, as the effects of heat are cumulative, and present an increasing risk of heat-related illnesses. - Rain chances will be slim to none. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday afternoon) Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 WV imagery this morning shows the upper ridge centered over southern New Mexico, and still extending coast-to-coast across the southern CONUS. This resulted in highs in the triple digits most locations yesterday afternoon, ~ 7-9 F above climatology. The 00Z KMAF RAOB came in with a PWAT of a whopping 1.84", easily beating the daily record of 1.70" and the 100th percentile of 1.73". Unfortunately, this was wasted moisture, as much of the area was capped in an absence of triggers. A few cells tried to get going in the Permian Basin, but to no avail. Today, the upper ridge is forecast to develop WNW, bisecting Arizona and New Mexico, shifting the heat over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico to the northwest, especially the New Mexico Pecos River Valley. As such, a Heat Advisory is in effect for Eddy County, as well as the Guadalupe/Delaware Mountains. Farther south, isolated afternoon convection is possible over the Presidio Valley/Chinati Mountains. Tonight, the ridge begins orienting SW-NE, from eastern Arizona to eastern Colorado. Models develop convection in northeastern New Mexico, and bring it east into the Texas Panhandle/South Plains. Some of this convection could develop down into Eddy Lea Counties during the evening. This may be the overall best chance for rainfall this forecast. Otherwise, a 30 kt LLJ is set to develop, and will combine with a modest amount of high cloud to retard radiational cooling, yielding unseasonably warm overnight minimums ~ 5-7 F above normal. Saturday, with the ridge centered over Colorado/New Mexico, taking the focus off of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, highs most locations will dip back into the double digits, but just barely. For those who prefer this cooler weather, don`t get too comfortable, as this easily looks to be the coolest day this forecast. Once again, convection north of the area could dip down into northern Lea County. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 The extended is fairly straightforward, hot, and dry, with temperatures most locations climbing into the triple digits each afternoon, and lows remaining unseasonably warm each night due to the LLJ. The upper ridge will park itself more or less just east of the Four Corners, with minor temperature fluctuations dependent on where it shifts each day. At this time, Monday looks to be the warmest day this forecast, similar to yesterday`s highs. However, this is prone to change and the whims of the upper ridge. "Cooler" temperatures over the weekend should negate the need for Heat Advisories after today, but they`ll be back in play Monday through the extended. Rain chances will be minimal, and typical for late July. &&
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 601 AM MDT Fri Jul 24 2026 ...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 525 AM MDT Fri Jul 24 2026 - Monsoon moisture continues to diminish Friday, with just isolated storms mainly over higher mountains. - High pressure settling over the region will bring the heat. Temperatures will peak near 105 around El Paso, the Mesilla Valley, and other lower elevation areas on Friday. Triple digits look to continue through the weekend and into early next week. - Slightly better storm chances return Saturday and Sunday, but still mainly over the mountains and out west. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 828 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026 Begin LAST transmission: The high pressure aloft is now centered directly over South Central New Mexico, and that was evident today with another large significant reduction in shower and storm activity across the lowlands and Sacramento mountains. Looking at both surface observations and tonight EPZ upper-air sounding, the atmosphere has become much drier at all levels, and warmer aloft, both adding to atmospheric stabilization. Over EPZ, the surface dewpoint has dropped low enough, that even with a 100 degree max temperature, surface parcels could not break through warm capping layers aloft. The deeper and better moisture is now pushed to the Gila, with much drier air now settled in across the other 80% of the forecast area. If you believe the GFS and ECMWF models, they think today was as dry as it will get through the forecast period, with daily minimal increases in moisture, from the north (of all places) going forward. And that looks reasonable, given the pattern and position of the high aloft. The slowly returning moisture, will be a repeat visitor ,from the same moisture the upper high shoved out, and has now spun W, N, E, and back south into New Mexico, on the anticyclonic flow around the high pressure centered over NM. This should mean slightly better chances Friday for some convection over the Sacs, and continued storms over the Gila region. We will see a shift in storm motion tomorrow, from SE to NW to a motion from NE to SW. Despite the small increases in moisture, most of the lowlands will still have minimal rain/storm chances, with another day of lowland 100 degree max temps. Through the weekend, we a mix of moist and dry air over the forecast area, trapped under the high, and recycled each heat cycle into scattered mountain and isolated (at best) lowland showers and storms. We will likely struggle to get widespread airmass destabilization with the high overhead, and are looking to the east for the presence of any approaching disturbance to enhance rain/storm chances. Former TS Bertha passes to our south, but so far south we don`t look to get any moisture or dynamic help over our area. Next week doesn`t look real good for MOST of the Borderland, if you are hoping for more rain, clouds, and cooler temperatures. The upper high remains locked in over the Southern Rockies to Southern Plains, with the bulk of any monsoon moisture plume concentrated to the west over AZ and W NM. Thus, it appears shower/storm activity will be slight chance at best over our eastern and central areas, and scattered over the Bootheel/Gila areas. Temperatures look to remain quite warm, with 100 degree daily highs continuing across the lowlands. End LAST transmission: BIRD OUT &&
(Today Through Monday Morning).
(Today Through Monday Morning).
(At 6 AM MDT Friday, July 24, 2026).
(June 15th - July 23, 2026).
(June 1st - July 23, 2026).
(June 1st - July 24, 2026).
Public Information Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 958 AM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026 ...48 HOUR PRECIPITATION REPORTS FROM 10AM TUESDAY (JULY 21) TO 1OAM THURSDAY (JULY 23)... Location Amount Time/Date ...New Mexico......McKinley County... Gallup 0.7 ENE 3.21 in 0800 AM 07/23 Gallup 1.5 NE 3.10 in 0700 AM 07/23 Gallup 1 WNW 2.85 in 0800 AM 07/23 Zuni 3.6 ENE 2.69 in 0700 AM 07/23 Zuni Pueblo 0.5 S 2.22 in 0730 AM 07/23 4 NE Zuni 2.21 in 0400 PM 07/21 ZUNI 1.40 in 0915 AM 07/23 Zuni Airport 1.34 in 0915 AM 07/23 Gallup Airport 0.94 in 0853 AM 07/23
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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