Typical Spring Dust Storm For NM Today - Severe Weather Across The Plains.

Still looking for the seasons first widespread significant severe weather outbreak today into Wednesday. very large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, along with tornadoes will be possible in the yellow shaded areas today and Tuesday. Hail in these areas may be at least baseball size if not larger. Some of these tornadoes may be of the large and long track variety. 

Meanwhile across New Mexico...

GFS 500 MB Forecast @ 6 PM MDT Today.

High Winds & Lots Of Blowing Dust Today!

A strong upper-level trough of low pressure digging into Nevada early this morning is forecast to dig southeastward into the Four Corners Region by sunset today. This trough will form a closed upper-level low that will move slowly eastward across New Mexico tonight into Wednesday. A strong cold front will sweep across the area on Tuesday.

A rather typical April dust storm appears to be shaping up for the area today and tonight.

  High Wind Warnings have been issued for the Guadalupe mountains where westerly winds are forecast to increase to sustained speeds of 35 - 50 mph with gusts near 75 mph today into tonight.

High Wind Warnings are also in effect for most of southern New Mexico today into tonight where southwest to west winds will increase to sustained speeds of 35 - 45 mph with gusts in excess of 60 mph. I suspect that some of the more high wind prone areas such as the Organ mountains and the White Sands Missile Range may see gusts around 75 mph or higher. A Blowing Dust Advisory is also in effect.

A High Wind Warning is also in effect today for the northern Sacramento mountains where southwest winds are forecast to increase to sustained speeds of 35 - 45 mph with gusts up to around 60 mph.

Wind Advisories are in effect for Chaves and Eddy Counties today for sustained southwest to west winds of 30 - 40 mph with gusts up to around 50 - 55 mph. 

Areas of blowing dust will also plaque the local area today into tonight. Widespread drops in the visibility down to less than 3 miles will be possible. Across our more dust prone locations such as freshly plowed or open farmlands and fields, lots, and construction sites sudden drops in the visibility down to near zero with little to no advanced warning will be possible.

Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions!

Red Flag Warnings are flying for the area today. Today will be one of those days when we need to be especially cautions with any type of outdoor activity that involves the use of sparks or flame. High winds, the continuing worsening drought, and extremely dry airmass will all combine to make for some Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions today into tonight. Any wildfire that may be accidentally started today will have the ability to rapidly spread and grow in the high winds!

Cold & Snow To Follow The Wind & Dust..

GFS Surface Forecast @ 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

GFS Snow Depth Forecast @ 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

ECMWF Total Snowfall Forecast @ 6 PM MDT Wednesday.

A strong cold front will sweep across the area on Tuesday as the upper-level storm moves across the state. Today's forecast high temperature in Carlsbad, New Mexico is 93F. By Wednesday we will likely only be in the 50's for highs. I suspect that since the upper-level storm is digging a little further to the south than  forecast by the models, that some of us may even end being a little colder on Wednesday with a few spots not climbing out of the 40's.

Light snow is currently being forecast across the Sacramento mountains for Tuesday into Wednesday. This includes the Cloudcroft and Ruidoso areas. The models have been also hinting that some light snow may also fall over parts of the eastern and southeastern plains Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. I don't think that this is all that far fetched and would not be surprised to see it happen.

April 5th - 8th, 1983 New Mexico Snowstorm.

Who in southeastern New Mexico remembers what was going on with our local weather thirty years ago? 

A late winter snowstorm hammered the area from the 5th through the 8th. A heavy wet snow buried us. I was living at Lakewood on our family farm at the time and measured 9" on the ground with a total snowfall of 16".

Capitan Climate 35.0".
Cloudcroft Climate 32.6". 
Ruidoso Climate 24.3". 
Hope Climate 22.5"
Tatum Climate 17.0".
El Paso Airport 16.5". 
Artesia Climate 15.5".
Carlsbad Airport 11.7".
Hobbs Climate 9.0".
Maljamar Climate 8.5".
Roswell Airport 5.3".
Alamogordo Climate 3.5".

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction! 

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