Cool & Wet Today Through The First Of Next Week.

August 16, 2022.

Carlsbad, New Mexico.

NWS MRMS 72-Hour Rainfall Totals. 

(As Of 8 AM MDT Wednesday).

New Mexico/TX NWS MesoWest 72-Hour Rainfall Totals.

(As Of 8 AM MDT Wednesday).

Early this morning the easterly wave that produced our rainfall yesterday afternoon was located southwest of El Paso. Speaking of rainfall I picked up .65" here at our home in Carlsbad, NM. That's the most rain I've had since June 27th when I measured 1.65". 

The mid-level low or easterly wave now produced heavy rainfall from the Rio Grande Valley of Texas northwestward into the Texas Big Bend over the past several days. It's easy to see the track of the low as it moved to the west-northwest and dumped on those areas.

Dog Canyon (Raws) measured a 24-hour rainfall total this morning of 3.39". Not far behind was the Bowl Raws (7,755') located just north of Guadalupe Peak with 2.20". The Queen Raws (5,605') measured 1.10". 

New Mexico CoCoRaHS 24-Hour Rainfall Totals.

(As Of 9 AM MDT Wednesday).

New Mexico CoCoRaHS August Rainfall Totals.

(As Of 9 AM MDT Wednesday).

New Mexico CoCoRaHS Year-To-Date Rainfall Totals.

(As Of 9 AM MDT Wednesday).

NWS NDFD Forecast High Temperatures.

Today.

Thursday.

Friday.

Saturday.

Sunday.

Cooler Than Normal Temperatures For A Change.

Forecast high temperatures across Southeastern New Mexico today into the weekend are expected to be some 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Most of us will see high temps only in the 80's today through the first of next week. 

Forecast high temperatures in the Ruidoso, Alto, and Mescalero areas are expected to be in the upper 60's to mid 70's today through the first of next week. 

Forecast high temperatures in the Cloudcroft, Sunspot, and Silver Lake, areas are expected to be in the upper 50's to low 60's today through the first of next week. Forecast highs in the Mayhill, Sacramento/Weed, Pinon, Timberon, High Rolls/Mountain Park areas are expected to be in the upper 60's to the mid 70's today through the first of next week.

Weather Prediction Center (WPC).

7-Day Rainfall Total Forecast.

National Blend Of Models (NBM).

7-Day Rainfall Total Forecast.

Wet 7 Days Ahead.

A mid-level short wave trough of low pressure over the northern states will kick a cold front slowly southward through the area today through tomorrow. This will add to the low-level moisture already in place. This trough of low pressure will also aid in the lift and instability of the atmosphere over the area Thursday into Sunday.

With ample surface and mid-level subtropical moisture (monsoonal in nature), we stand a good chance of seeing widespread beneficial rainfall statewide at the end of this week into the weekend. Friday and Saturday look to be really wet and cool statewide. Thunderstorms are expected to be numerous and widespread at times.

Generally, many locations may end up with storm total rainfall amounts between 1.00" to 3.00" today into Sunday. With the setup that will be in place, there will be pockets of heavy to very heavy rainfall statewide. It's not out of the question for some spots to get 4"-6" or more of rainfall during this upcoming wet period. 

Flash flooding is a concern for many areas of the state today through the weekend. As has been the case of late of particular concern are the burn scar areas across the state as well as those locations that have already picked up a lot of rain recently. Please stay abreast of your local weather conditions and forecasts and be prepared to act accordingly should heavy rains and flash flooding affect your area. 

There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.