Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Not Much Hope For Meaningful Rainfall Anytime Soon.


5-30-2020.
West Of Hope, NM Looking West.
Our Century Plants (Agave) Are In Bloom.

Wet February & March - Bone Dry Since.

Today (Sunday, May 31st) marks the last day of the meteorological spring. Therefore Monday will be the first day of the meteorological summer. Here at our home in Carlsbad, New Mexico I only recorded a trace of precipitation during April and also in May. February was wetter than normal with a monthly precipitation total of .77". March saw 1.77" which is way above normal and the wettest March at our home in the past 13 years. After that its been bone dry with no significant relief or hope in sight for meaningful rainfall.


As Of May 26th, 2020.

As Of May 28th, 2020.



New Mexico's drought conditions continue to slowly worsen over much of the state, especially over the northern, central, and eastern areas. Long-range forecasts for June and the summer (June-July-August) do not offer much hope for relief either.


June 2020.


Sumer 2020.
(June-July-August).


According to the Climate Prediction Centers' long-range summer outlook at best we can expect close to normal rainfall over the state and local area this summer. Just for the record, I am not nor have I ever been much of a fan of long-range weather forecasting. Especially in today's political environment where weather and climatology have been weaponized.

ENSCO-neutral conditions are developing out over the Equatorial Pacific. Normally this means close to average rainfall for the state. That would certainly be welcome but I have my doubts that this is going to happen.


Roswell, NM.


Carlsbad, NM.


Sierra Blanca Regional Airport Near Ruidoso, NM.


Weather Prediction Center (WPC) 
7-Day Total Rainfall Forecast.


Will A Tropical Storm Develop In The Gulf Of Mexico Next Week?



Both the European (ECMWF) and the U.S. Models (GFS) are hinting that a Tropical Storm could potentially develop in the Gulf of Mexico late this upcoming week. Each line on the ECMWF's forecast graphic from last night is a potential track should one develop. Time to pay attention to the Gulf.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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