Northwest Of Artesia, NM.
High Based Dissipating Thunderstorm.
Blog updated at 3:23 PM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2024.
(At 11:46 AM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2024).
At 6 AM MDT Sunday, September 8, 2024.
GFS 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Forecast.
Valid At 6 PM MDT Wednesday, September 11, 2024.
GFS 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Forecast.
Valid At 6 PM MDT Saturday, September 14 2024.
Series Of Upper Level Storms Over The Next Week.
Our monsoonal upper-level ridge of high pressure was located over the Four-Corners Region this Sunday morning. It will break down by Wednesday as a strong short wave trough of low pressure at the mid-upper levels of the atmosphere drops southward out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest.
Southwesterly flow aloft will help keep us high and dry this upcoming week. A typical more fall-like pattern. Without the moisture until late next week maybe. A tropical storm is forecast by some of the models to develop south of the Baja Peninsula and move northward to the southern tip of the peninsula by next Friday. Whether or not its remnant moisture gets pulled northward and northeastward into New Mexico in a week to ten days is still questionable at this time.
Carlsbad.
Warming Back Up Next Week.
Our high temps across the southeastern plains will be in the 80's today into Tuesday. Wednesday we approach 90 again and by next weekend the upper 90's. Sorry summer hasn't completely given up just yet...it just won't be ridiculously hot.
The Ruidoso area will see the mid 70's today and Monday. Near 80 on Wednesday. And near 80 to the low 80's Thursday into the next weekend. The next real chance for t-storms will be next weekend.
The Cloudcroft area will see the mid 60's today into Tuesday. Then the upper 60's Wednesday and Thursday. Near 70 next Friday into the weekend with another chance for t-storms.How much rain could potentially fall will in part be dependent upon whether or not tropical moisture returns back into the state from the south and southwest.
Gulf Of Mexico May Have A Hurricane This Week.
Tropical Storm/Hurricane Francine
In The Gulf Of Mexico This Upcoming Week?
An area of disturbed weather (AL91) is located in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this morning. It is forecast to slowly strengthen into a tropical depression in a couple of days and perhaps a tropical storm the first or middle of next week. Forecast models are indicating that hurricane could then develop off of the Texas Gulf Coast
Since the storm hasn't formed into a tropical storm yet the models are struggling with its future track and strength. Thinking as of this Sunday is that AL91 could develop into a hurricane and make landfall generally somewhere between Galveston and New Orleans around this coming Wednesday or Thursday.
(Sunday, Sept 8, 2024).
(At 7 AM MDT Sunday, Sept 8, 2024).
Enjoying Our Cool Days & Mornings.
It has been a wonderful past week temperature-wise locally. Not only have our days cooled down significantly so have our morning lows. Here at our home in Carlsbad this morning my low temp was 59. We haven't been in the 50's for morning lows since the 25th of May. Lots of 50's for low temps were reported across the southeastern plains this morning. With 40's across the Sac's.
Cloudcroft has recorded a couple of morning low temps in the 30's recently. The NWS Climate Co-Op Station dropped down to 38 on the 5th of this month and 39 this morning. The normal daily high temp for Cloudcroft on the 8th of Sept is 62 and the normal low is 39. The Ruidoso NWS Climate Co-Op Station dropped down to 42 for a low temp on the 3rd and 4th. Their normal daily high temp for Sept 8th is 76 with a normal low of 46.
Roswell ThreadEx Station 30 on Sept 27, 1901.
Hope NWS Climate Co-Op Station 35 on Sept 28, 1936.
Artesia NWS Climate Co-Op Station 32 on Sept 28, 1968.
Carlsbad NWS Climate Co-Op Station 29 on Sept 23, 1909.
Tatum NWS Climate Co-Op Station 28 on Sept 28, 1973.
Hobbs NWS Climate Co-Op Station 35 on Sept 22, 1939.
Jal NWS Climate Co-Op Station 37 on Sept 28, 1996.
Elk NWS Climate Co-Op Station 26 on Sept 26, 2000.
Cloudcroft NWS Climate Co-Op Station 22 on Sept 30, 1965.
Mountain Park NWS Climate Co-Op Station 28 on Sept 22, 1975.
Ruidoso NWS Climate Co-Op Station 21 on Sept 20, 1971.
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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