Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Critical Fire Weather Conditions Thursday!

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Critically Dangerous Fire Conditions.

Peak Wind Gusts Reported Tuesday-

San Augustin Pass - E Of Las Cruces 65 mph
Guadalupe Pass 55 mph
Bowl Raws - Just N Of Guadalupe Pk 55 mph
Artesia Airport 52 mph
Carlsbad Airport 50 mph
Dunken Raws 50 mph
Queen Raws 50 mph
2 SW Tatum 49 mph
Smokey Bear Raws - Near Ruidoso 49 mph
Bat Draw Raws - Carlsbad Caverns Nat'l Park 46 mph
Caprock Raws 45 mph

It seems like the wind, dust, and fire weather threat will never end across southeastern New Mexico and west Texas. Eventually it will but not anytime soon. The latest La Nina outlook from the Climate Prediction Center is calling for the continued weakening of the current ongoing La Nina, with the possibility of the return to Neutral Conditions by June. 

Meanwhile, the polar jet stream remains very active and continues to send storm after storm into California from the Pacific Northwest, which in turn sweep eastward across the southern Rockies and into New Mexico. The storm track remains anchored to the north of southeastern New Mexico, and as long as it continues to do so, then our chances for meaningful rainfall remain slim.

Thursday will see a return to temperatures in the mid-upper 80's accompanied by gusty southwesterly winds int eh 20-30 mph range across the local area. A stronger and colder upper-level storm is forecast to sweep across the northern sections of the state this weekend...so more  wind and critically dangerous fire weather conditions look to be on tap for southeastern New Mexico.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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