Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Searing Heat Again Today - Sct T-Storms.

Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.
Valid At 9 PM MDT Tonight.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Thursday.

Southern Plains Radar Map At 3:08 PM MDT.

A weak cold front had entered the Clovis area as of 2 PM MDT. 
The thin blue line on this radar map indicates outflow boundaries
 and the location of the cold front as it moves southward down
the eastern plains of New Mexico, and across the Texas Panhandle.
 This boundary should help to kick off additional t-storms over the 
local area this afternoon and evening.

Another Day Of Searing Heat - Better Chc For T-Storms.

This summer has been one for the record books that's for sure. Later on I will summarize the record heat that we have experienced over the area since June. Yesterday marked the 58th day that Carlsbad has reached or exceeded 100-degrees this summer. Artesia recorded its 52nd day yesterday and the Roswell Airport marked its 47th day of 100-degree or higher temps.

Another scorcher is on tap for the area today with our afternoon high temps forecast to range from 104 - 106. A few spots may be a couple of degrees hotter. It appears that our high temps will continue to reach, or exceed the century mark for the next seven days or so.

There may be a glimmer of hope on the horizon concerning at least a better chance for scattered t-storms across the area. The center of the upper level ridge of high pressure is forecast to shift further to the east over the next couple of days. This should allow for more of a southerly flow into the area, which in turn should transport more monsoonal moisture northward out of Mexico and into New Mexico. A disturbance moving northward out of Mexico should help to destabilize the atmosphere and promote t-storm development.

Meanwhile, a weak cold front was draped across eastern Colorado this morning, and is forecast to slide slowly southward today and tomorrow. Just how far south it comes is questionable at this time. If it can get enough of a push from t-storm outflow boundaries to our north, then it may make it into SE NM tomorrow afternoon or evening. This would enhance our chances for t-storms. Yet another cold front may make a run southward and into the local area this weekend, thus providing us with another shot at scattered t-storms.

Our chances for rain have gone up here in the Pecos Valley in the surrounding areas. Most of us have a 20% - 30% chance of scattered t-storms today into the weekend. A few of these storms will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall, along with localized flash flooding. This will be especially true over and near the mountains and the burn scar areas. Deadly cloud to ground lightning and strong gusty winds will also be possible with these t-storms.

High Temperatures Recorded On Tue, Aug 9, 2011-
(Updated At 9:30 AM MDT)

Roswell Airport ASOS 107
Carlsbad Airport ASOS 107
2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad 106
8-Mile Draw Raws - 18 NE Roswell 106
Artesia Climate 106
Carlsbad Climate 105
Portales Climate 105
Hobbs Climate 105
Paduca Raws - Near WIPP 105
Jal Climate 105
Caprock Raws 104
Clovis Climate 103
Tatum Climate 103
Artesia Airport AWOS 102
NW Hobbs - KM5BS 101
Carlsbad Caverns Climate 100
2 SW Tatum 100

Dunken Raws 97
Capitan Climate 96
Smokey Bear Raws - Near Ruidoso 89
Mayhill Raws 88
Timberon 88
Sacramento Peak Raws - Sunspot 74
Cloudcroft Climate 73

High Temps Are Courtesy Of-

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