Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

40 Degree Temperature Drop By Monday.



Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT GEFS Ensemble Control 500 MB Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 06Z/Midnight MDT GFS Temp Anomaly Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 06Z/Midnight MDT GFS Max Temp Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 06Z/Midnight MDT Total Precipitation Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 06Z/Midnight MDT Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.


Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT ECMWF Ensemble Control 500 MB Forecast.
Valid @ 6 AM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT MDT ECMWF Temp Anomaly Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT MDT ECMWF Max Temp Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT Total Precipitation Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT Total Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.


Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT Canadian (GEM) Temp Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT Canadian (GEM) Total Precipitation Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.

Last Nights 00Z/6 PM MDT Canadian (GEM) Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 6 PM MDT Monday, April 14, 2014.








Our current trend of approaching the 90-degree mark each afternoon will continue today and tomorrow across southeastern New Mexico. Sunday won't be quite as warm but close. Strong southwesterly winds will raise the Fire Weather Danger up into the Critically Dangerous Category tomorrow.

  The Bensen Fire located 20 miles southwest of Cloudcroft, or just west of the Sunspot Observatory has consumed 40-50 acres as of 10:00 AM MDT this morning. It is 0% contained at this time.

Southwesterly winds will gust up to around 40 mph tomorrow and Sunday so there may be localized areas of blowing dust. As the cold front plows southward late Sunday night and early Monday morning strong northerly winds may also kick up areas of blowing dust along and just behind the frontal boundary.

A strong upper-level trough of low pressure will sweep across New Mexico late this weekend into Monday. As it does it will drag a strong late season cold front south into our neck of the woods by Monday. 

Much colder weather will overspread the area on Monday behind the cold front. Some of the computer forecast models suggest that we may not get out of the 40's and 50's for daytime highs on Monday. The European (ECMWF) model is forecasting our local temperatures to be some 30-40 degrees below normal by sunset on Monday. Some of us will see a light freeze Tuesday morning also.

We may even see some very light rain shower activity, and perhaps even some very light snow over parts of the eastern and southeastern plains if the models are correct. The higher elevations of the Capitan and Sacramento mountains could even pick up a couple inches of snow out of this storm.

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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