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Next Winter Storm On It's Way.

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Blog Updated At 5:05 PM MST Saturday, Jan 9, 2021.

(Tonight Through Noon Monday).



(Valid Saturday - Monday Morning).

(Valid At 5 PM Saturday).


European (ECMWF) 500 MB/18,000' Forecast.

Valid At 5 AM MST Sunday.

Our next Winter Storm to impact the state and local area was moving onto the Pacific Northwest at noontime today. The models are in good agreement that it will continue digging to the southeast today through Sunday. And by sunrise Sunday it will be centered over Southeastern New Mexico near Carlsbad.

Meanwhile, at the surface, a strong cold front will sweep southward down the Eastern Plains into the local area on Saturday.

Rain will break out for a brief time across Southeastern New Mexico and West Texas Saturday afternoon but quickly change over to snow Saturday night. As of noontime Friday the models give us a glancing blow from the storm with the heaviest snowfall forecast to fall to our north and northeast. Interestingly enough if the models are correct the will also be a glancing blow for the Sacramento and Guadalupe Mountains.

As always any southward or westward shift in the track of the 500 millibar low and any slowing down of the storm would increase the snowfall across the local area. So there yet could be changes to our local forecasts.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.