Marginal Risk For Severe T-Storms.
Happy Easter everyone. Our first risk (marginal) of this spring for a few severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening is shaping up. Enough low-level moisture, instability, and wind shear will aide in the development of isolated to scattered thunderstorms as a shortwave mid-level trough of low pressure swings southeast across the area.
These thunderstorms will develop first across eastern New Mexico this afternoon as they continue moving to the southeast into this evening. Here in southeastern New Mexico we may also see a few isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms with the best window for these to impact the local area between 6 PM MDT and Midnight tonight.
Any thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing hail, gusty winds, and frequent deadly cloud to ground lightning. The stronger storms may become severe and produce hail the size of quarters and wind gusts over 58 mph. Locally moderate to heavy rainfall may also occur with a few of the stronger storms.
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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