Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Very Warm Weather To Continue - Windy Wx Returns By Sunday.




Our current stretch of unusually warm and tranquil late March weather will continue into the weekend. Our afternoon high temperatures are forecast to hover in the upper 80's to near 90 across the southeastern plains into the weekend. A few isolated t-storms may fire along the dryline near the NM/TX state line this afternoon, and perhaps again tomorrow, but overall rain remains an elussive commodity for most of us. 

Our next weather maker looks like it will arrive by Sunday in the form of a mid-upper level trough of low pressure, that is forecast to swing eastward across the state. This mornings 12Z/6 AM MDT GFS computer model forecast depicts a 90-100 knot jet at the 500 millibar level, and a 50-75 knot jet at the 700 millibar level, nosing into the area Sunday afternoon. 

When you combine these strong mid-upper level winds with a tightening surface pressure gradient, an approaching Pacific cold front, surface temperatures near 90, then it appears that another high wind and blowing dust event will rake the local area Sunday. This would also mean that the fire weather danger would escalate also. 

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