Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Cooling Down Late This Week.

Blog updated at 2:30 PM MDT.

Additional rainfall totals can be viewed here.
View my summary of the event here.

What is the best way to break the back of a historic drought? Have the left over moisture from a Hurricane move over the area and that's exactly what happened this past Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. 

This type of widespread heavy rainfall event does not occur very often, here in southeastern New Mexico we can expect to see these events on average about once every ten years. Obviously the heavier rains fell over west Texas, but these heavy rain have also happened here in southeastern New Mexico numerous times over the past 120 years. Widespread flash flooding occurs when you dump 4" - 12" of rainfall over the local area from the Guadalupe and Sacramento Mountains eastward to the southeastern plains. Some of our more notable flash flood events here in Eddy County have occurred in the following years- 1893, 1904, 1911, 1915, 1919, 1925,1916, 1941,1958, 1964, 1966, 1974, 1976, 1980, 1986, 2004.

The greatest three day total I have been able to come up with is the Beals Creek Raws located near Westbrook, that automated station is reporting 8.41" of rain! A weather station located 4 miles east-northeast of downtown Midland, Texas recorded an incredible three day rainfall total of 7.33". Big Springs recorded 6.25", the CRN site located near Monahans recorded 6.23", and a weather station located 5 miles west-southwest of Odessa recorded 5.36"

Cooler By The End Of The Week.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Thursday Oct 4, 2012.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Sunday Oct 7, 2012.

Valid At Noon MDT Monday Oct 8, 2012.


Update at 2:30 PM MDT- 

Added this mornings (below) GFS 12Z/6 AM MDT 
surface temperature departure from normal forecast 
valid at noontime this coming Saturday. If this models
forecast pans out, we could only be looking at daytime
 highs in the 50's and 60's Saturday and Sunday.

Surface Temperature Departure From Normal.
Valid At Noon Saturday Oct 6, 2012.

A fairly tranquil start to October is expected for most of this week. By Thursday a cold front will move through the area cooling us down somewhat. A stronger cold front will arrive by Sunday, which may cool us down some 20 - 30 degrees below normal by next Monday.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction! 

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