Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Near Record Heat Today & Wed - End Of The Week Chill.


Temperatures At Noon MDT Sat Oct 27, 2012.


Overall not a whole lot has changed in the model forecasts concerning this weeks big chill. A strong cold front still appears on track to arrive in the local area by Thursday night or Friday.

But before the colder air arrives, we will continue to bask in summer-time warmth. Most of southeastern New Mexico should see an afternoon high temp of 90 today. If that's not hot enough for you then how about the mid 90's for Wednesday?

Current model trends point to highs on Friday in the 50's. Depending upon the arrival time of the front, this could either be a little cool, or not cool enough for some areas. Saturday still looks downright chilly with highs in the 40's, and maybe a few readings near 50 in a few of the normally warmer spots. But if the approaching cold airmass is deeper than the models are forecasting, and the low clouds do not break up during the day, our highs may be a little colder than what is currently being forecast. Bottom line is get ready for fall and a huge drop in temperatures. 




Tropical Storm Sandy was located 345 miles south-southwest of Kingston  Jamaica as of 3 AM MDT this morning. Sandy is drifting off to the north at 3 mph. She has 45 mph sustained winds with higher gusts. Her central pressure is down to 29.47 inches of mercury, or 998 millibars. 

Sandy is forecast to continue strengthening and should reach Hurricane strength by Wednesday. What is problematic is Sandy's future track and strength. Take a look at the model forecasts below, and pray that the European forecast model (ECMWF), and the Canadian forecast model (CMC) are not correct.

850 MB Forecast Valid At 6 PM MDT Mon Oct 29, 2012.

Surface Forecast Valid At Noon MDT Sun Oct 28, 2012.

A note of caution here...the future track and eventual strength of Sandy is still very much uncertain at this time. Please keep abreast of this evolving scenario by visiting the National Hurricane Center Web Page for all of the official updates and discussions concerning Sandy.

Sandy has the potential to do a lot of damage along the eastern seaboard of the U.S. should she come inland as a strong Hurricane. Residents living along the coastline from Florida to New England are urged to keep an eye on this one.

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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