First Major Cool Down Of The Fall By Friday.

Temperatures At Noon MDT Friday Oct 26, 2012.

Temperatures At Noon MDT Saturday Oct 27, 2012.

Temperature Departures From Normal.
Valid At Noon Friday Oct 26, 2012.

Temperature Departures From Normal.
Valid At Noon Saturday Oct 27, 2012.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Friday Oct 26, 2012.

Summer is desperately hanging on for one final round of 90-degree temps this week in southeastern New Mexico. We are looking at highs today into Wednesday ranging from the upper 80's to near 90.

Then its good night summer as a strong cold front arrives in the area by Friday. The latest model trends of knocking our daytime highs down by some 30 to 35-degrees below normal by the upcoming weekend continues. Its possible that many of us may not get out of the 40's on Saturday...and perhaps a few of our northern locations may struggle to see these temps. 

Gusty northerly winds will likely accompany the frontal passage on Friday, and I suspect that we will see low clouds develop Friday night and Saturday, which will add to the gloomy fall-like feeling in the air this weekend. Break out those sweaters and jackets, you will no doubt need them. When skies clear I think its possible that many of us may see our first freeze of the season this weekend, or early next week.

Will Hurricane Sandy Threaten East Coast?

A tropical depression may be in the process of forming over the Caribbean Sea about 300 miles south of Jamaica this morning. Conditions are favorable for continued strengthening of this disturbance and the National Hurricane Center gives it a 90% chance of strengthening into a tropical cyclone within 48 hours.

Valid At 6 PM MDT Monday Oct 29, 2012.

There is a fairly strong probability that the tropical depression mentioned above will eventually strengthen into Hurricane Sandy if the models are to be believed. I posted a snapshot of the European (ECMWF) 850 millibar forecast valid next Monday (Oct 29th) above. It is forecasting a powerful Hurricane (Sandy?) to be located just east of North Carolina a week from today. 

No doubt its a little early to get too freaked out about this potential monster of a storm, but if I lived anywhere along the eastern seaboard of the US, I would be keeping a wary eye on this situation as it continues to unfold. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction! 

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