Another Blistering Hot Day Saturday - Cold Front & T-Storms Saturday Night.

Santa Teresa Dual Pol Radar Estimated Rainfall Totals.
(Using GRLevel3 2.0 Software).

As of 3 PM MDT most temperatures outside of the mountains were ranging from the upper 90's to a little over 100ºF. However a few scattered thunderstorms dotted the Sacramento mountains this afternoon dropping temps down into the 60's and 70's. The Sierra Blanca Snotel automated weather station (10,280') located next to Ski Apache was reporting a temp of 60ºF at 3:30 PM. 

Tomorrow Promises To Be Hotter.




With a stout ridge of high pressure parked overhead forecast high temperatures locally here in the Pecos Valley Saturday are expected to range from 100ºF to near 105ºF. A few locations may get close to tiring or breaking a few local daily high temp records.

Record High Temps For August 3rd-

Roswell 106ºF in 2012.
Artesia 107ºF in 1930.
Carlsbad 110ºF in 1944.
Hobbs 106ºF in 2012.
Tatum 105ºF in 2012.
Alamogordo 105ºF in 1944.

Elk 94ºF in 1998
Ruidoso 92ºF in 1944
Cloudcroft 82ºF in 1980

Weak Cold Front Saturday Night May Bring T-Storms.

Valid Tonight Through 6 PM MST Sunday.

NWS NDFD Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.

Valid Tonight Through 6 AM MDT Monday.

WPC Storm Total Rainfall Forecast.

Valid Tonight Through 6 PM MDT Thursday.

After another blistering hot summer day tomorrow there is a little bit of relief from the heat coming. A weak cold front will slide southward into the area Saturday night. Accompanying the front will be scattered thunderstorms moving generally from north to south. Short range forecast models indicate that the heavier storms may produce up to 2" of rainfall locally. Best chances for heavy rains will occur over and near the mountains and along the frontal boundary as it slides southward.

Not much change in the 10-day forecasts with more hot and dry afternoons. Scattered mountain thunderstorms will be of the hit and miss nature but a few good rainfall totals will also be possible there. 

There is good news on the horizon. Climatology-wise we have peaked on average for seeing the hottest part of the year. Overall we can expect to see a very slow and gradual decrease in temps from now through the beginning of the meteorological fall (Sept 1st). We are not done with the hot dog days of summer but overall we start the slow slide downward in temps. On average August and September are our two wettest months of the year in the Southeastern plains.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!


National Hurricane Center.

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

2.1 Downtown Carlsbad, NM 7-Day Temp Graph

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