April Showers & Mountain Snows This Weekend.

(As Of 4 PM MDT Friday, April 16,2021).

RTMA Apaarent Temperatures.
(As Of 4 PM MDT Friday, April 16,2021).

Surface Map Analysis.
( At Noon MDT Friday, April 16,2021).

(Valid At 6 PM MDT Saturday, April 17, 2021).

Looking at the mid-level upper air pattern at noon today (Friday) we find an elongated trough of low pressure draped from southwest of California eastward to well east of the Eastern U.S. seaboard. A weak low was centered over northwestern Kansas.

GFS 500 MB (18,000") Forecast.
(Valid At 6 PM MDT Sunday, April 18, 2021).

A weak mid-level low is forecast to form on the western edge of this mid-level trough of low pressure by Sunday afternoon and evening. This weak storm will help produce mountain snows and lowland rains over New Mexico this weekend.

Cold For Mid-April.

Low clouds, dense fog, with pockets of light drizzle and mist have blanketed the local area (east of the mountains) for the past couple of days. This will repeat tonight as a colder airmass to our north filters in over the area. Here at our home in Carlsbad, I actually managed to measure .03" over the past two days. 

Colder temps along with a chance for measurable rainfall will occur tonight into Monday. Temperatures have already dropped down to 41ºF in Clayton in northeastern New Mexico as of 4 PM MDT this Friday afternoon. 



NWS NDFD Forecast Low Temperatures.

Saturday Morning.

Sunday Morning.


High temperatures behind the cold this weekend will only be in the 50's across the Southeastern Plains. Lows will be chilly as well with readings in the low 40's Saturday morning and the 30's Sunday morning.

(Valid Friday Night Through Monday Morning).

NWS NDFD Snowfall Forecast.
(Valid Friday Night Through Monday Morning).

April Snow For The Mountains.

A couple inches of wet snow is forecast for the Capitan and Sacramento mountains tonight into Sunday. The higher east-facing slopes may see a little more than this. Snow levels are forecast to drop down to around 6,000'. 

A cold rain is forecast for the Southeastern Plains. The lucky ones may see up to a quarter of an inch of rain by Monday morning. Don't be surprised to see a rain/snow mix down as low as the Hondo and Dunken areas.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!


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