My Blog Archive List (July 2010 - August 2025).

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A Few Isolated T-Storms Roday.

Today-


Wednesday.

An isolated t-storm or two will be possible today into
this evening along and east of the dryline. Most of 
us will continue to see our daily high temps in the
80's this week continuing into the weekend. Our
lows will be closer to normal as well with readings
in the 40's & 50's.

(Oct 6, 2011)

"Currently, La Niña is not as strong as it was in September 2010.  Roughly one- half of the models predict La Niña to strengthen during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter (Fig. 6).  Of these models, the majority predict a weak La Niña (3-month average in the Niño-3.4 region less than -0.9oC).  In addition, a weaker second La Niña winter has occurred in three of the five multi-year La Niñas in the historical SST record since 1950."

"However, the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS.v1) predicts a moderate-strength La Niña this winter (between –1.0oC to –1.4oC) and CFS.v2 predicts a strong La Niña (less than 
–1.5oC), which rivals last year’s peak strength. For CFS forecasts made at this time of year, the average error for December-February is roughly ±0.5oC, so there is uncertainty as to whether this amplitude will be achieved. Thus, at this time, a weak or moderate strength La Niña is most likely during the Northern Hemisphere winter."

Late Fall - Early Winter Outlook-


2011 Oct-Dec Temperature Forecast.

2011 Oct - Dec Precipitation Forecast.

(Jan 1st - Oct 10th, 2011)

Chaves County-

Eddy County-

Lea County-

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Current US Hazardous Weather Watch/Warning Map

New Mexico

Eddy County

Guadalupe Mtns Eddy & Culberson County

Chaves County Plains & Mtn's

Lea County

Lincoln County

Otero County

Pagosa Springs, Colorado Flooding Oct 12, 2025

Arizona Flooding - Oct 12, 2025

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Ruidoso Live Webcam

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New Mexico Weather Tweets

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures & Rainfall/Snowfall

My Rainfall Totals. 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM.

My Top 10 Most Popular Posts

Artesia, NM Mothership Supercell Thunderstorm. 9-17-2016.

Monster Of A Snowstorm Coming This Christmas Weekend?

Powerful Winter Storm Is Hammering New Mexico! Worst Is Yet To Come.

25th Anniversary Of The Carlsbad, NM (May 31, 1991) Tornado Coming Up.

Major Winter Storm May Paralyze/Bury Parts Of NM & Nearby Areas Tonight Into Wednesday!

2011 Skywarn Spotter Training Classes & My Thoughts.

Tonight's GFS Is As Drunk As This Mornings ECMWF. Historic Snowstorm Next Weekend?

Are We Fixing To Go From Drought To Flood In SE NM?

Major Winter Storm To Hammer New Mexico & West Texas Thanksgiving Week!

Cloudcroft & Ruidoso, NM Seasonal Snowfall Totals.

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Disclaimer

This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.