Cool Rainy Day Saturday - More Of That Today.



As was expected a strong cold front moved into southeastern New Mexico Friday night dropping our high temperatures on Saturday down into the 70's. With overcast and rainy skies for much of the local area yesterday certainly felt and looked more like a fall day.



As Of 5:30 AM MDT This Sunday Morning.
  
As Of 5:30 AM MDT This Sunday Morning.



Valid @ Noon MDT Wednesday.

Valid @ Noon MDT Wednesday.

Moderate rain is falling in Carlsbad, New Mexico as I write this. More pockets of light to moderate rain are in our forecast today for southeastern New Mexico and West Texas. Scattered embedded thunderstorms will also be roaming about the area. Locally heavy rainfall is once again possible today. 

All eyes will be on Tropical Disturbance 91E today into Wednesday as it continues to get a little better organized and strengthens slightly, then heads northward into the Desert Southwest. The GFS is forecasting heavy amounts of rainfall for parts of Arizona and New Mexico by Wednesday. Localized flash flooding will become a concern in some areas. 

We will have to keep a close eye on this disturbance as an upper level low off of the Pacific Northwest Coasts sinks south and turns the flow aloft over New Mexico southwesterly. Just how far south and how fast this upper level low sinks will be a determining factor in how much tropical moisture gets drawn into the local area by mid week.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Critical to Extreme fire weather conditions are expected today! Please be smart and try to avoid outdoor burning and starting campfires this Memorial Day weekend. Any new fire starts will spread rapidly. It is extremely important today to follow safety protocols and regulations issued by local authorities, including any evacuation orders. Outdoor burning is highly discouraged and potentially illegal and very dangerous. Your neighbors lives and livelihood may be affected by your actions.

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